# US House races 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [September 23, 2025, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336 "2025-09-23T16:38:16Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 23, 2025, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/1 "2025-09-23T16:38:16Z")
Here’s our thread on the upper house: [Senate races 2026](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534) Thought we ought to have one on the House of Representatives, as well. Here’s Wiki: [2026 United States House of Representatives elections - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections) These may also be of interest: > **[Analysis: Democrats are doing better than ever in Trump-era special elections...](https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/10/politics/democrats-special-elections-trump)** > > Rep.-elect James Walkinshaw won a special election Tuesday by 50 points. It’s just the latest Democratic over-performance. > **[Democrats' chances of flipping Congress from Republican c...](https://www.newsweek.com/democrats-chances-flipping-congress-polls-2110470)** > > Democrats are leading generic ballot polls, but two experts told Newsweek that may not translate to a 2018-style blue wave. ---
**Author:** ![Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/elmer_j.fudd/32/1211_2.png) [@Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elmer_J.Fudd)\ **Post date:** [September 23, 2025, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/2 "2025-09-23T18:02:27Z")
I suspect control of the house will be determined by an election this year as much as those in 2026. I think it’s all riding on whether California voters approve retaliatory gerrymandering this November. ---
**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\ **Post date:** [September 24, 2025, 1:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/3 "2025-09-24T13:33:42Z")
Before we get to the 2026 election, there’s going to be some interesting politicking in certain House districts. Specifically in TN-07. Perhaps in other districts if more vacancies occur next year. With Adelita Grijalva’s win in AZ, the Rs have a 219-214 majority in the House of Representatives. There’ll be another election on 4-Nov in TX-18 to fill a vacancy there. That district is D+21, so most likely a D win. That will reduce the R margin to 219-215. But then there’s a vacancy in TN-07, which is an R+10 district. Normally, that would be fairly safe for the Rs, but in most special elections this year, the Ds have been winning by far more than the nominal partisan lean of the district in question. Usually by double digits. For example, Grijalva won by about 49 points in a D+13 district. So I expect that Tennessee district to be suddenly competitive. The primary is 7-Oct and the general 2-Dec. Ballotpedia list 4 Democrats and 11 Republicans in the primary. > **[Tennessee's 7th Congressional District special election, 2025](https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee%27s_7th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2025)** ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [September 25, 2025, 3:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/4 "2025-09-25T03:43:40Z")
CO-8 should be interesting. The last two elections have been very close. In 2022 the Democrat won by 1632 votes after the Pub messed up on the abortion issue. Then in 2024, the Pub won by 2449 votes after the Dem revealed she has depression. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [November 30, 2025, 4:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/5 "2025-11-30T04:26:05Z")
A bit of good news, and political courage, in the Hoosier State: > **[Indiana GOP state senator says he will vote no on redistricting push after...](https://www.aol.com/news/indiana-gop-state-senator-says-210251616.html)** > > Indiana state Sen. Michael Bohacek said he would vote no on a GOP push to redraw congressional districts after Trump used a slur for intellectually disabled people. ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [November 30, 2025, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/6 "2025-11-30T04:32:25Z")
CA prop 50 passed, and Texas’s racial gerrymandering is in the courts. It is possible CA redistricting will hold up (it should, it isnt racially biased and the voters approved it) but Texas plan will be kicked out. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [December 3, 2025, 2:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/7 "2025-12-03T14:31:27Z")
And in Tennessee yesterday: > **[Republicans avoided a nightmare in Tennessee. Their electoral picture is...](https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/02/politics/tennessee-special-election-republicans-midterms-analysis)** > > Republicans avoided disaster on Tuesday night by winning a special election in a solidly red Tennessee congressional district. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [December 3, 2025, 2:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/8 "2025-12-03T14:41:13Z")
> [@DrDeth](#): > > CA prop 50 passed, and Texas’s racial gerrymandering is in the courts. It is possible CA redistricting will hold up (it should, it isnt racially biased and the voters approved it) but Texas plan will be kicked out. This is the key. I’m going to be voting D, but I have no idea for which one since I live in one of the Texas districts that is / isn’t getting gerrymandered (either the 27th or 34th, depending on the day). It all depends on what the courts decide 😬 ETA. It seems some Democrats are still not campaigning well. The yard signs for the incumbent Democrat from the 34th district, Vicente Gonzalez, have a terrible message. His campaign slogan is “The right kind of Democrat”. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [December 9, 2025, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/9 "2025-12-09T17:19:47Z")
[The Hill: House GOP exits mount as gridlock deepens](https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5630833-house-republican-exodus-problem/) ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [December 31, 2025, 5:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/10 "2025-12-31T05:16:34Z")
And see: > **[More House Republicans are leaving Congress to run for governor than in...](https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/25/politics/lawmakers-leaving-congress-vis?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc&recs_exp=more-from-cnn-right-rail&tenant_id=related.en)** > > Congressional Republicans have yet to break the record for most retirements in a single year, but some say it’s only a matter of time before widespread frustration with the current state of Washington leads to a tipping point as many in the party... ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [January 22, 2026, 1:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/11 "2026-01-22T13:43:16Z")
Summary of Times/Siena poll: Support for Trump has declined most notably among youngest voters (the same group among whom it has RISEN most quickly about a year ago). “Nonwhite” people, of all ages, shifted almost as much as “young” people — and they, too, had shifted TOWARD Trump in 2024. Why the shift? Partly it’s the idiocy like ICE Nazis and Greenland crap, but it’s mostly about….economics. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [March 10, 2026, 2:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/12 "2026-03-10T02:45:31Z")
A GOP Golden State defector: > **[California House Republican announces he's leaving GOP immediately, thinning...](https://www.aol.com/articles/california-house-republican-announces-hes-193707548.html)** > > Rep. Kevin Kiley of California said he’s registering as “no party preference" amid redistricting turmoil but will caucus with the GOP to keep his committee assignments. ---
**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\ **Post date:** [March 10, 2026, 3:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/13 "2026-03-10T03:33:25Z")
> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#): > > A GOP Golden State defector: Wrong! Not a defector at all; he’s still caucusing with them. He’s just pretending to distance himself to get low-info votes because his district was gerrymandered to blueness. ---
**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\ **Post date:** [March 12, 2026, 4:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/14 "2026-03-12T16:01:10Z")
Clyburn is insisting on running again at 85, which is just ridiculous. At that age he’s just right to be a freshman Senator instead. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [March 17, 2026, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/15 "2026-03-17T17:01:02Z")
Daily Kos: How the flood of retiring Republicans signals a growing blue wave > **[How the flood of retiring Republicans signals a growing blue wave](https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/3/6/2371943/-How-the-flood-of-retiring-Republicans-signals-a-growing-blue-wave?link_id=6&can_id=523afdad635941b18cb4d7c4672ac33a&source=email-ccpc-recommended-157&email_referrer=email_3148039&email_subject=ccpc-recommended&&)** > > Skeezy GOP Rep. Tony Gonzales of Texas announced late Thursday night that he ... ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [March 18, 2026, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/16 "2026-03-18T02:59:15Z")
Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss has won his primary in the [Illinois 9th District](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/us/elections/results-illinois-us-house-9-primary.html) seat currently held by Jan Schakowsky. He is pretty much in the same mold and managed to hold off a strong challenge from a Progressive candidate who had much less money behind her effort. Biss will almost certainly win in November. ---
**Author:** ![DWMarch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dwmarch/32/1010_2.png) [@DWMarch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DWMarch)\ **Post date:** [March 18, 2026, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/17 "2026-03-18T05:01:48Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#): > > He is pretty much in the same mold and managed to hold off a strong challenge from a Progressive candidate who had much less money behind her effort. I was hoping Kat Abughazaleh would win but a lot of dark money went into that race to convince people that the candidate who campaigns for “basic existence” was a threat based on quotes they pulled from her high school newspaper. All in all, it’s a pretty stunning indictment of the influence of money in politics. Kat would have _fed people_ with that kind of money (having said that, she wouldn’t take it in the first place but in cases where someone did a sneaky shit-PAC donation to her and it couldn’t be returned, it was donated to charity instead). > **[Dark Money Group Using Influencers to Take Down Gen Z Dem Candidate](https://newrepublic.com/post/207768/dark-money-group-influencers-gen-z-dem-candidate-abughazaleh)** > > A secretive group is offering to pay influencers to target Kat Abughazaleh as she runs for Congress. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [March 18, 2026, 3:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/18 "2026-03-18T15:25:48Z")
Yep, there were a lot of groups (looking at AIPAC) running these ads. Kat clearly scared them. Seeing she is 26 I am thinking this is just the beginning for her. I will be very interested to see what she accomplishes in the future. ---
**Author:** ![Ponch8](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ponch8/32/9883_2.png) [@Ponch8](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ponch8)\ **Post date:** [March 18, 2026, 3:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/19 "2026-03-18T15:52:57Z")
> [@DWMarch](#): > > Kat would have _fed people_ with that kind of money (having said that, she wouldn’t take it in the first place but in cases where someone did a sneaky shit-PAC donation to her and it couldn’t be returned, it was donated to charity instead She hasn’t accomplished anything in her life. She wouldn’t have done shit in Congress except become the biggest loudmouth and complain about the AIPAC bogeyman trying to keep her down. Had she won yesterday, I would have voted for the Republican in the general election. ---
**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\ **Post date:** [March 19, 2026, 10:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336/20 "2026-03-19T22:29:15Z")
Do you generally vote for Democrats? [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-house-races-2026/1023336.md?page=2)