# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 15

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**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/281 "2022-11-09T14:05:35Z")

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Any word on the State legislators? I know the GOP was close to veto proof majorities in both houses.  
(Although I live in MN, I work and spend quite a bit of time in WI)

Brian

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**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/282 "2022-11-09T14:06:24Z")

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It’s even worse here in Florida. 59-40 DeathSentence?! Yeah, the Dems propped up a political zombie against him, again, but judging from the headlines of our local rag (Times-Union) very little of D’s malfeasance ever gets out into the media in this state apparently. And like an idiot I am planning to move to OH (born there) next year (dream job + dream apartment, nightmare state), sigh…

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/283 "2022-11-09T14:06:27Z")

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> [@kayaker](#):
>
> Maryland and Missouri voted to allow recreational use of cannabis.

This is great news. Unfortunately it was voted down in ND, SD and AR.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/284 "2022-11-09T14:10:13Z")

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Florida, on the other hand, is a total lost cause. How sad. (Scroll down to the “shift in margin” map).

> **[Florida Governor Election Results](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-florida-governor.html)**
>
> See full results and maps from the 2022 Florida elections.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/285 "2022-11-09T14:12:12Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> In the house the GOP has flipped 9 seats. Dems flipped 3 seats. GOP needs to net 5 flips to take the House which will probably happen.

A 2-3 seat Republican majority in the House would be entertaining, at least. With that thin of a margin, every individual Republican member will be able to threaten to withhold their vote to get what they want. Kevin McCarthy (assuming he’s elected Speaker) would need to find a way to placate both his nutcases and his few remaining sane members. This same dynamic ultimately undid John Boehner as Speaker and he had a 17-seat margin.

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**Author:** ![deltogre](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deltogre/32/5041_2.png) [@deltogre](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/deltogre)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/286 "2022-11-09T14:19:46Z")

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Well, I, for one, will be glad to have you in Ohio.

And @solost, I remember the Jan. 6th dress rehearsal. I just need to learn your methods of reducing the size of the mob. I can count on one hand the Democrats in my county, and all but two of them are family members.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/287 "2022-11-09T14:20:51Z")

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mccarthy is not a good leader and may not be elected speaker with a thin majority. good news is boebert is still down in the count.

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**Author:** ![Toxgoddess](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/f08c70/32.png) [@Toxgoddess](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Toxgoddess)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/288 "2022-11-09T14:24:24Z")

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Not sure if this was mentioned yet but Fetterman won by a comfortable margin over Oz. He’ll have to go back to one of his ten properties and console himself with crudites.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/289 "2022-11-09T14:29:41Z")

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> [@Skypist](#):
>
> I’m so disappointed about Texas. I’m feeling so trapped. Even if the whole rest of the country were deep blue, Abbott et al would keep us in the Middle Ages forever, and with SCOTUS the way it is, it’s even easier.

I understand and to some extent share the feeling as a fellow Texan, but the long-term trends are favorable. As deep red as rural Texas is, it’s still only about 15% of the population and shrinking. Trump only won by 5.5% in 2022. We’re not a purple state by any means, but the fundamentals are there.

The question is where do Texas Democrats go now? Beto is a spent force. The Democrats in the state legislature are a clown show after their farce of a walkout last summer. I guess there’s always the Castro brothers, although Julian seems pretty checked out of Texas politics and Joaquin has been pretty invisible in Congress.

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**Author:** ![Tride](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tride/32/13907_2.png) [@Tride](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tride)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/290 "2022-11-09T14:34:24Z")

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Looks like the Montana anti-abortion measure is failing, which is a relief for sure. I’m sure Zinke will win, which is not.

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**Author:** ![kayaker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kayaker/32/441_2.png) [@kayaker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kayaker)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/291 "2022-11-09T14:45:03Z")

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> [@Toxgoddess](#):
>
> Not sure if this was mentioned yet but Fetterman won by a comfortable margin over Oz.

I was happy to see this, however my rural county went big for Oz. It scared me when I looked at results and my county came up instead of the state.

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**Author:** ![MandaJo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ac91a4/32.png) [@MandaJo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MandaJo)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/292 "2022-11-09T14:49:41Z")

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Some of the county judges were pretty impresove during COVID. Former Dallas ISD superintendent Michael Hinojosa is also a possibility.

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**Author:** ![Skypist](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skypist/32/169_2.png) [@Skypist](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skypist)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/293 "2022-11-09T14:50:44Z")

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Yeah, I have no idea. Beto was the best chance of kicking out Ted Cruz or Abbott, and it just didn’t work. He came so close to Cruz in his senate run that I thought maybe at least TX was at least heading purple, but now I don’t think so.

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**Author:** ![MandaJo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ac91a4/32.png) [@MandaJo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MandaJo)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/294 "2022-11-09T14:51:13Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> A 2-3 seat Republican majority in the House would be entertaining, at least. With that thin of a margin, every individual Republican member will be able to threaten to withhold their vote to get what they want. Kevin McCarthy (assuming he’s elected Speaker) would need to find a way to placate both his nutcases and his few remaining sane members. This same dynamic ultimately undid John Boehner as Speaker and he had a 17-seat margin

At the very least, it means they can’t ritually impeach Biden every week.

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**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/295 "2022-11-09T14:55:44Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> It’s down to the GA runoff in early December. Warnock is ahead by just shy of 1%. The Libertarian got a little over 2% of the vote. Which way do they break?

My cautious hope is that most of the Lib votes came from people who were out to vote for Kemp but who couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Walker even knowing how tight/important the race was. So maybe they’ll just stay home during a runoff.

I have no idea how Johnson keeps getting elected. That guy says the dumbest shit. Happy to see MI with its localized blue wave.

IL looks like it’ll put two Democrats on the state supreme court. There was buzz about a potential GOP majority on the court that could roll back abortion protections in the state. Not sure how likely that was but now I don’t need to find out. Gov race was a foregone conclusion and the senate race was so dull that I forgot Duckworth was even up for reelection and running against someone until I got my ballot. I’m not sure how the measure to add collective bargaining protections to the state constitution will do – the rules are that it needs 3/5ths (60%) of votes on the measure or 50%+ of the total ballots cast. It’s under 60% right now.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/296 "2022-11-09T14:57:47Z")

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Oz just conceded. So did the GOP candidate for MI governor. This sets a good tone.

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**Author:** ![solost](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/solost/32/11776_2.png) [@solost](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/solost)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/297 "2022-11-09T15:07:53Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> Oz just conceded. So did the GOP candidate for MI governor.

Good to hear that Tudor Dixon finally condeded. As a Great Election Lie proponent who held out for several hours after the MI Gov race was called for Whitmer, I was expecting her to come out this morning yelling “RIGGED!”

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/298 "2022-11-09T15:08:59Z")

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It turns out I shouldn’t have bothered staying up late. We get a Georgia runoff for senate control for the second election in a row. This is going to be a shitshow.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/299 "2022-11-09T15:09:50Z")

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Yup. I just wrote in the 2022 US Senate Races thread:

NEVADA: Not looking good for Cortez Masto, but we probably won’t know for sure until maybe tonight or even tomorrow.  
ARIZONA: Looking good for Kelly. I expect to know by mid-afternoon today.  
WISCONSIN: Happy to see a surprisingly strong showing by Barnes – he almost overcame all those attack ads – but sadly, the key word is “almost.” He’ll likely lose by just a few thousand votes. Pretty amazing “comeback,” but not enough to oust the idiot traitor Johnson.

So that means it all comes down to a GEORGIA runoff – again! Get those Peach State postcards and likely-voters-who-need-reminders lists going! (My wife, son, and I hand-wrote a thousand of them two years ago, while listening to James Brown, R.E.M., and Outkast).

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 3:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/300 "2022-11-09T15:15:31Z")

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> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> So that means it all comes down to a GEORGIA runoff – again! Get those Peach State postcards and likely-voters-who-need-reminders lists going! (My wife, son, and I hand-wrote a thousand of them two years ago, while listening to James Brown, R.E.M., and Outkast).

I know it won’t happen, but I’d like to see Jimmy Carter do an ad for Warnock. Something to the effect of “Raphael Warnock is a good, decent Christian man. I’m proud to be voting for him in the runoff.” No mention at all of Walker. In a race that’s likely to be determined by a few thousand votes, that might make the difference.

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