# US Midterm Election watch along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 17
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/321 "2022-11-09T16:35:39Z")
ABC just called WI for Johnson (R). Not a surprise. It’s now 49-48 GOP given that a Republican will win AK, we just don’t know which one. NV, AZ and GA not yet called. ---
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/322 "2022-11-09T16:50:01Z")
> [@Toxgoddess](#): > > He’ll have to go back to one of his ten properties and console himself with crudites. I can see him drowning his sorrows with tequila while he apathetically dips yet another limp asparagus spear in overpriced guacamole. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/323 "2022-11-09T17:02:18Z")
> [@DavidNRockies](#): > > There’s also that whole “he’s 98 years old” thing. That doesn’t mean he can’t film a simple 30 second commercial. AFAIK he doesn’t suffer from dementia. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/324 "2022-11-09T17:08:56Z")
Democratic Rep Sean Maloney, who chaired the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this cycle, lost his own race for reelection in New York. Talk about good news/bad news - “Sean, you beat all expectations for Democrats in the House this election. Also, you’re fired.” ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/325 "2022-11-09T17:18:14Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > It’s now 49-48 GOP given that a Republican will win AK, we just don’t know which one. As I said before in this thread, if it is Murkowski she could act as a centralizing force a la Joe Manchin so the division may be fuzzier than the straight numbers. Speaking of that, any scenario where Manchin switches parties? ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/326 "2022-11-09T17:22:11Z")
house at 186 D - 202 R per cnn. ---
**Author:** ![CaptMurdock](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/captmurdock/32/11736_2.png) [@CaptMurdock](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CaptMurdock)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/327 "2022-11-09T17:23:36Z")
I’m waiting to see the turnout percentage. I’m hoping this wasn’t a typical midterm. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/328 "2022-11-09T17:24:10Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > Democratic Rep Sean Maloney, who chaired the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this cycle, lost his own race for reelection in New York. The NY Dems shit the bed in general. One of the rare places where Reps overperformed. > [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > As I said before in this thread, if it is Murkowski she could act as a centralizing force a la Joe Manchin so the division may be fuzzier than the straight numbers. For sure. Liberals should be strongly rooting for Murkowski and that is the most likely outcome. ---
**Author:** ![CastletonSnob1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ccd318/32.png) [@CastletonSnob1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CastletonSnob1)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/329 "2022-11-09T17:25:51Z")
Is there any evidence that Texas is getting bluer/more purple? Should Democrats stop wasting money on Texas? ---
**Author:** ![Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/b77776/32.png) [@Paul\_was\_in\_Saudi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Paul_was_in_Saudi)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/330 "2022-11-09T17:27:33Z")
The TV says Georgia will go to a runoff. ---
**Author:** ![MulderMuffin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldermuffin/32/2862_2.png) [@MulderMuffin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MulderMuffin)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/331 "2022-11-09T17:30:21Z")
Any current reporting on whether there is any mathematical/electoral chance of avoiding a runoff in Georgia? Obviously, Warnock could mathematically get over 50% if he wins all of the outstanding votes, but is there any breakdown anywhere of WHAT is outstanding and the likely/potential lean of those votes? Or is a runoff inevitable? ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/332 "2022-11-09T17:30:59Z")
ABC news says that although NV is leaning red right now, the uncounted ballots are strongly blue and may be enough for a takeover. AZ is leaning blue right now but the uncounted ballots are leaning red but probably not enough for a takeover. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/333 "2022-11-09T17:32:37Z")
> [@BobLibDem](#): > > I’m one happy Michigander, and I suppose my wife is one happy Michigoose. Cra-cra Dixon and Karamo lose. Abortion rights affirmed by a clear margin. And, thanks to the referendum creating an impartial redistricting commission, Democrats control both chambers of the legislature. > > Here in Michigan we’ve always looked down on Ohio, and now it’s with more reason that ever. Really, Buckeyes? Jimongus Douchebag Vance?.. I know, and as an Ohioan, please permit me to apologize. You voted for Biden in 2020, too, while Trump did even better here than he had in 2016. Ugh ugh ugh. ---
**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/334 "2022-11-09T17:32:42Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > Speaking of that, any scenario where Manchin switches parties? I doubt it. He _could_ but I assume he’d just get primaried out next time anyway. And he’d probably argue that he’s better off “moderating” the Democrats in power than giving the keys to a bunch of Republicans under Trump’s sway. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/335 "2022-11-09T17:32:47Z")
> [@CastletonSnob1](#): > > Is there any evidence that Texas is getting bluer/more purple? > > Should Democrats stop wasting money on Texas? As a lifelong Texan, I can’t say that I see the state becoming any more blue. IMHO it’s not a matter of money. At the senate and gubernatorial level I think it would be better to take alot of the money spent on Texas (and Florida) and focus on states like Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and on shoring up Nevada. Unless a major realignment happens, Texas isn’t going to go blue in the foreseeable future, by which I mean decades rather than years. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/336 "2022-11-09T17:35:00Z")
> [@Jophiel](#): > > > [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > > > Speaking of that, any scenario where Manchin switches parties? > > I doubt it. He _could_ but I assume he’d just get primaried out next time anyway. And he’d probably argue that he’s better off “moderating” the Democrats in power than giving the keys to a bunch of Republicans under Trump’s sway. Right. He gets to call a lot of shots in the current senate. If he were a Republican he would have to go along to get along. Any attempts at trying to stick out would result in his getting told something to the effect of “you’re a carpetbagging newcomer, why should we listen to you?” ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/337 "2022-11-09T17:35:46Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > The NY Dems shit the bed in general. One of the rare places where Reps overperformed. New York is a perfect example of how Democrats shoot themselves in the foot by adopting “bipartisan commissions” to redistrict in states they control, while Republicans gleefully gerrymander in states they control (e.g.Florida). ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/338 "2022-11-09T17:36:22Z")
> [@Jophiel](#): > > I doubt it. He _could_ but I assume he’d just get primaried out next time anyway. My thought was if it is 50/50 and he trades parties for a powerful committee chairmanship. But that is tempered by the fact that he runs for re-election in 2024. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/339 "2022-11-09T17:39:46Z")
house now 187 D- 203 R, per cnn. ---
**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\ **Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/340 "2022-11-09T17:40:22Z")
Manchin is already Chair of the Committee on Energy & Natural Resources which seems to be where he wants to be. And offering him something higher would mean kicking some dues-paying Republican down the chain. I don’t appreciate Manchin’s mechanics (though I pragmatically realize that even Manchin being an ass is better than a Republican in his seat) but he has reliably voted for Democratic appointees, judges, etc and largely come through when it mattered. I can’t see him saying “I’d rather vote for the Republican stuff now” and it would be foolish to think that’ll help his political survival in a GOP primary. He’s better off staying Democratic and arguing for his “moderation” [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=16) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=18)