# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 18

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/341 "2022-11-09T17:41:09Z")

</div>

> [@Jophiel](#):
>
> I doubt it. He _could_ but I assume he’d just get primaried out next time anyway.

The man voted to remove Trump from office four times. He would get destroyed in a Republican primary. His only hope is to ride the horse he’s on.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ISiddiqui](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/97f17d/32.png) [@ISiddiqui](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ISiddiqui)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/342 "2022-11-09T17:45:16Z")

</div>

> [@Jophiel](#):
>
> My cautious hope is that most of the Lib votes came from people who were out to vote for Kemp but who couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Walker even knowing how tight/important the race was. So maybe they’ll just stay home during a runoff.

The problem will be if it’s for control of the Senate. Then those conservatives will hold their nose and vote for Walker, alas.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/343 "2022-11-09T17:45:48Z")

</div>

> [@Jophiel](#):
>
> Manchin is already Chair of the Committee on Energy & Natural Resources which seems to be where he wants to be.

But he won’t be if the Pubs have 51 in the Senate. They would put a (R) in there.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/344 "2022-11-09T17:47:22Z")

</div>

> [@ISiddiqui](#):
>
> The problem will be if it’s for control of the Senate. Then those conservatives will hold their nose and vote for Walker, alas.

Yeah, maybe. But everyone knew it might be for control of the Senate yesterday as well. I’d think those people would have held their nose yesterday. Fingers crossed, anyway.

> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> But he won’t be if the Pubs have 51 in the Senate. They would put a (R) in there.

Well, if it’s a scenario where Republicans win 51 seats without him… I hate to say “who cares” but I’ll certainly care a lot less.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/345 "2022-11-09T17:48:20Z")

</div>

Better than expected for Team Blue, worse than expected for Team Red, near total disaster for Agent Orange.

I sure hope AZ and NV turn blue so we don’t need to sweat out a GA runoff. How in heaven’s name can Herschel Walker be competitive? Once again we may need GA’s runoff to keep Moscow Mitch from blocking every federal judge Biden may name.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/346 "2022-11-09T17:49:14Z")

</div>

Does anyone know when the next batch of AZ or NV votes are expected to drop?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/347 "2022-11-09T17:53:39Z")

</div>

Or the result of Alaska’s 2nd round?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CastletonSnob1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ccd318/32.png) [@CastletonSnob1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CastletonSnob1)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/348 "2022-11-09T17:55:57Z")

</div>

Comparing these two maps, the blue counties got bluer between 2018 and 2022, and Republican margins in Tarrant, Denton and Collin County shrank.

2018: [Texas Election Results 2018: Live Midterm Map by County & Analysis](https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/)

2022: [Texas Governor Election Results 2022: Live Map | Midterm Races by County](https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/texas/statewide-offices/)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ISiddiqui](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/97f17d/32.png) [@ISiddiqui](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ISiddiqui)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/349 "2022-11-09T17:57:32Z")

</div>

> [@Jophiel](#):
>
> Yeah, maybe. But everyone knew it might be for control of the Senate yesterday as well. I’d think those people would have held their nose yesterday. Fingers crossed, anyway.

Not necessarily. A lot of Republicans were expecting a red tsunami and thought they wouldn’t need GA for control of the chamber

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/350 "2022-11-09T17:58:41Z")

</div>

The expectation was huge. Red as far as the eye could see. Total humiliation for Biden. Instead we got a muffled pink fart.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/351 "2022-11-09T17:59:21Z")

</div>

> [@ISiddiqui](#):
>
> A lot of Republicans were expecting a blue tsunami

We know you meant “red.” (I forget sometimes, too, having grown up when “better dead than red” was associated with Republicans…)

edit: since corrected

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/352 "2022-11-09T18:00:52Z")

</div>

> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> Or the result of Alaska’s 2nd round?

Nov. 24, I think.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/353 "2022-11-09T18:03:42Z")

</div>

In CO-2 with 90% of the vote counted, Frisch leads Boebert 50.6-49.4

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/354 "2022-11-09T18:07:25Z")

</div>

> [@CastletonSnob1](#):
>
> Comparing these two maps, the blue counties got bluer between 2018 and 2022, and Republican margins in Tarrant, Denton and Collin County shrank.

Not exactly. Admittedly Ted Cruz is more polarizing than Abbott. That being said, in 2018 Beto won Tarrant county 49.9% to 49.2 %. Last night he lost it 47.1% to 51.5%. 2018 Denton county was 45.5% to 53.7% in a Beto loss. 2022 was 42.9% to 55.7% in a Beto loss. In 2018 Beto lost Collin county 46.5% to 52.7%. Last night Beto lost Collin county 44.3% to 54.4%. And that’s just the Dallas suburbs. The story is the same in the Houston suburbs, the I-35 corridor between San Antonio and Austin, and the Rio Grande Valley.

ETA: All numbers are from the maps you linked to.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TheTooth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/919ad9/32.png) [@TheTooth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheTooth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/355 "2022-11-09T18:07:45Z")

</div>

But Boebert’s a buffoon! It should be 90-10.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CastletonSnob1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ccd318/32.png) [@CastletonSnob1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CastletonSnob1)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/356 "2022-11-09T18:08:18Z")

</div>

I was comparing the 2018 and 2022 gubernatorial elections.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/357 "2022-11-09T18:09:11Z")

</div>

> [@Sage\_Rat](#):
>
> In general, I’d say that the California primary produced a better slate of Republicans than it did Democrats. Across the board (mostly) they rejected Trump and they advocated for fairly normal, uninteresting things.
> 
> To be fair, most of the Democrats seemed fairly middling acceptable or, when they were idiots, the Republican was also an idiot. I don’t think this is the end of the world. But it is still regrettable.

Yeah, here’s the thing - I sorted through the Republicans running, lined them up, scanned for instant disqualifiers, then if there were none balanced them against their Dem opponents. None quite passed.

Take Newsom vs Dahle for example. Though he is on my general political wavelength I’ve never been crazy about Newsom (a better Mayor Carcettti from The Wire) and Dahle is sanish and moderate as Republicans go. But he voted for Trump in 2020 and that triggers an instant disqualification for me (not 2016, just 2020). So, nope - Newsom it is.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gatopescado](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gatopescado/32/5711_2.png) [@Gatopescado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gatopescado)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/358 "2022-11-09T18:13:43Z")

</div>

> [@TheTooth](#):
>
> But Boebert’s a buffoon! It should be 90-10.

No kidding. Races between Sane and Crazy are so close, it really is pretty disturbing. What the fuck is wrong?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/359 "2022-11-09T18:17:31Z")

</div>

Easy, if you never ever hear about the worst of the crazy from anyone or anything you pay attention to, and all of those sources further phrase the less crazy as not such a bad idea, and you’re already inclined to believe it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/360 "2022-11-09T18:17:33Z")

</div>

georgia goes to run off. mr sterling says that georgia is ready and is working on proofs and approvals for the ballots.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=17)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=19)
