# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 19

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/361 "2022-11-09T18:25:16Z")

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In Oregon, Tina Kotek’s lead is increasing. 😀

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/362 "2022-11-09T18:42:35Z")

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The Kansas gubernatorial race has not had an update since late last night. I suspect they are counting mail-in ballots and waiting for additional ballots to arrive. It’s possible that it won’t be called for several days.

Governor Laura Kelly jumped out to a big early lead, but the margin steadily shrunk throughout the evening. Right now, with ‘\>95%’ of the votes counted (according to AP), Kelly’s lead is 14,255. There may be as many as 50,000 votes to count, so nothing is decided quite yet.

As an update to an earlier post I made regarding this race, the Independent candidate (GOP state senator, running on his own), and the Libertarian candidate have amassed over 30,000 votes between them. Without these two running, this election is a likely win for GOP candidate Derek Schmidt.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/363 "2022-11-09T18:45:55Z")

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And thank goodness for that.

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**Author:** ![RickG](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rickg/32/5174_2.png) [@RickG](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickG)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/364 "2022-11-09T18:48:54Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> In CO-2 with 90% of the vote counted, Frisch leads Boebert 50.6-49.4

Nitpick: She’s in CO-3. Hope those numbers hold up. Looks like the new district, CO-8 is close as well–I think that was by design.

I live in CO-2, and am happily represented by Joe Neguse (D), who will probably win 2:1. We were formerly represented by now-Gov. Jared Polis. Something would have to go very strange for a Republican to win here.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/365 "2022-11-09T18:50:16Z")

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> [@Railer13](#):
>
> Governor Laura Kelly jumped out to a big early lead, but the margin steadily shrunk throughout the evening. Right now, with ‘\>95%’ of the votes counted (according to AP), Kelly’s lead is 14,255. There may be as many as 50,000 votes to count, so nothing is decided quite yet.

Railer13, we appreciate the info, but you’ll be happy to know networks called the race for Governor Kelly several hours ago.

(The bad news from Kansas, though, is the resurrection of the awful, slithery, immigrant-bashing Kris Kobach).

[https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2022-us-governor-election-results-live-map](https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2022-us-governor-election-results-live-map)

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/366 "2022-11-09T18:50:52Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> In Oregon, Tina Kotek’s lead is increasing. 😀

> [@susan](#):
>
> And thank goodness for that.

Indeed.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/367 "2022-11-09T18:53:16Z")

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The most recent Senate map I just saw had Dems 46, GOP 48 Ind 2 (Caucus with Dems), with three seats not solid, two of which lean Dem(GA and AZ), one leans GOP (NV). But I guess GA will be a run -off?

Whatever the end is, there was no Red Wave as predicted.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/368 "2022-11-09T18:57:07Z")

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> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> but you’ll be happy to know networks called the race for Governor Kelly several hours ago.

I had not heard that! Thank you! I’ve been only following the NYT and AP web pages.

And fuck Kris Kobach.

ETA: the AP called it about 2 hours ago.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/369 "2022-11-09T18:57:22Z")

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The Independents are King in ME and Sanders in VT.

AK will go to one of two Reps because of their run off system so it is essentially 49-48 GOP right now. AZ and NV are undecided as is GA which will go to a run off.

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**Author:** ![CastletonSnob1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ccd318/32.png) [@CastletonSnob1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CastletonSnob1)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 6:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/370 "2022-11-09T18:59:13Z")

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How much of DeSantis and Abbott’s wins are due to their states being red, and how much is due to Florida and Texas’s Democratic Party being incompetent?

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/371 "2022-11-09T19:00:14Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> The most recent Senate map I just saw had Dems 46, GOP 48 Ind 2 (Caucus with Dems), with three seats not solid, two of which lean Dem(GA and AZ), one leans GOP (NV). But I guess GA will be a run -off?
> 
> Whatever the end is, there was no Red Wave as predicted.

You got it. Yes, a Georgia runoff, in four weeks. Usually that would favor a Republican candidate (they just tend to be more reliable voters in off-year or off-month elections), but some say that, without Kemp on the ballot (considered a relatively moderate Republican), fewer Republicans will come out to vote, and Warnock will win.

Time to start hand-writing those postcard reminders to would-be Warnock voters, _again…_

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/372 "2022-11-09T19:02:21Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> AK will go to one of two Reps because of their run off system so it is essentially 49-48 GOP right now. AZ and NV are undecided as is GA which will go to a run off.

Yep, whichever side can take 2 out of 3 of AZ, NV and GA will have the majority in the next Senate.

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**Author:** ![MulderMuffin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldermuffin/32/2862_2.png) [@MulderMuffin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MulderMuffin)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/373 "2022-11-09T19:02:30Z")

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> > [@Jophiel](#):
> >
> > My cautious hope is that most of the Lib votes came from people who were out to vote for Kemp but who couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Walker even knowing how tight/important the race was. So maybe they’ll just stay home during a runoff.
> 
> The problem will be if it’s for control of the Senate. Then those conservatives will hold their nose and vote for Walker, alas.

My fears, exactly. Split ticket voters who voted for Kemp, but not Walker may reconsider if it comes down to control of the Senate. They may decide that he’s not so bad, because at least he’s not a Democrat, etc. I still hope that Warnock can pull it off again. He’s actually very popular in Georgia with Democrats and independents, where Walker isn’t personally popular with many Republicans. He falls into the “I’ll vote for a rabid hyena as long as it isn’t a Democrat” category.

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**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/374 "2022-11-09T19:09:48Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> Whatever the end is, there was no Red Wave as predicted.

Let alone a Red Tsunami that had been predicted by certain Republicans.

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**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/375 "2022-11-09T19:14:58Z")

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> [@Fear\_Itself](#):
>
> > [@susan](#):
> >
> > Is the former guy saying anything?
> 
> Heads I win, tails you lose…
> 
> [https://twitter.com/mattwilstein/status/1590105710440112128?t=8OzPJmalpixqFwlmTyJ8vg&s=19](https://twitter.com/mattwilstein/status/1590105710440112128?t=8OzPJmalpixqFwlmTyJ8vg&s=19)

It’s all Melania’s fault:

> [@](#):
>
> [  
> Maggie Haberman  
> ]
> 
> [  
> @maggieNYT  
> ]
> 
> Trump is indeed furious this morning, particularly about Mehmet Oz, and is blaming everyone who advised him to back Oz – including his wife, describing it as not her best decision, according to people close to him.

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**Author:** ![TheTooth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/919ad9/32.png) [@TheTooth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheTooth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/376 "2022-11-09T19:19:18Z")

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It’s a better decision than marrying Trump.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/377 "2022-11-09T19:24:38Z")

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I’m delighted, if not a bit gobsmacked, to learn this morning that my state passed some slightly meaningful gun control legislation.

Our Measure 114, soon to be law, requires a background check, safety training, a fee for a permit to acquire firearms (not just concealed carry!) and a few other things. It also limits magazine capacities to 10 rounds going forward, though there is a grandfather clause for current owners/inheritors.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/378 "2022-11-09T19:25:43Z")

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Oregon, yes?  
Wow, that’s great! Why isn’t it big news?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/379 "2022-11-09T19:26:07Z")

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Oregon, yes.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ctnguy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@ctnguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ctnguy)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/380 "2022-11-09T19:27:14Z")

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> [@Gatopescado](#):
>
> No kidding. Races between Sane and Crazy are so close, it really is pretty disturbing. What the fuck is wrong?

Monty Python was eerily prescient 50 years ago:

[![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/7Xm_TRekjno/hqdefault.jpg "MPFC\_S02E06(ep.19) It's A Living (or School Prizes) "Election Night Special"") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Xm_TRekjno)

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