# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/21 "2022-11-09T01:50:05Z")

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In other news that will make our blue members happy, Fetterman has over 80% of Pennsylvanian votes.

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/22 "2022-11-09T01:51:14Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Yeah, but Warnock is doing even better in those large cities than he did in 2020, so that is a significant data point, even though the raw totals are very misleading.

Maybe I wrote it wrong. Warnock has a big lead even without a lot of returns from the urban areas.

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**Author:** ![deltogre](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deltogre/32/5041_2.png) [@deltogre](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/deltogre)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/23 "2022-11-09T01:55:03Z")

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I think you’re right. However, two years ago, it was all about the blanket statement that there would be more Blue later in the night than otherwise.

My larger point is that they appear to be milking this thing out from start to finish simply for ratings.

And we are all suckered in.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/24 "2022-11-09T01:58:10Z")

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I’m using the BBC Election pages, pretty good.

> **[Pennsylvania midterm election 2022 results](https://www.bbc.com/news/election/2022/us/states/pa)**
>
> Get the latest news and election results in the 2022 election from BBC News

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/25 "2022-11-09T01:59:45Z")

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> [@deltogre](#):
>
> My larger point is that they appear to be milking this thing out from start to finish simply for ratings.

Many of these races are genuine nail-biters. No need to milk for ratings.

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/26 "2022-11-09T02:02:25Z")

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Hershel Walker is now ahead on the Washington Post latest count.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/27 "2022-11-09T02:06:16Z")

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BBC shows Warnock’s lead over Walker larger than 30 minutes ago. About 5% now.

> **[Georgia midterm election 2022 results](https://www.bbc.com/news/election/2022/us/states/ga)**
>
> Get the latest news and election results in the 2022 election from BBC News

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**Author:** ![deltogre](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deltogre/32/5041_2.png) [@deltogre](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/deltogre)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/28 "2022-11-09T02:07:10Z")

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I agree!!! Please see my prior posts… Why call a race 14 minutes after the polls closed when less than 1% of the precincts are reporting, when the current (at that time) data indicates otherwise?

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/29 "2022-11-09T02:09:17Z")

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Sorry if you felt I was disparaging you. I wasn’t. I was only pointing out that the ratings are kind of beside the point. There are a lot of very close races in these mid-terms – which is worthy of comment in and of itself. Weren’t Republicans supposed to be running away with a red wave this year? Isn’t that the customary conventional wisdom? 😉

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**Author:** ![BigT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bigt/32/12044_2.png) [@BigT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BigT)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/30 "2022-11-09T02:12:41Z")

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For my state-level results, most of it is a foregone conclusion. The exception are the ballot initiatives. The best data I can find suggests that most are going the way I wanted, except the one about legalizing pot (and not just medical marijuana). However, that one seems to be the one changing the most, with the numbers going up.

> **[Arkansas Election Results](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-arkansas.html)**
>
> See full results and maps from the 2022 Arkansas elections.

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**Author:** ![deltogre](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deltogre/32/5041_2.png) [@deltogre](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/deltogre)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/31 "2022-11-09T02:19:13Z")

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I dig it, AG. Things have tightened up, considerably, here in Ohio. DeWine is (predictably) kicking Whaley’s teeth in, issue 2 (disenfranchisement, written into the ORC) is winning by a factor of ten, and Ryan’s lead is negligible.

Also of note, the local news crawl is listing EVERYTHING, including local school district levies, but NOT our judiciary. (Which we elect, stupidly.) INCLUDING our Chief Justice of the Ohio Supreme Court. Also, two other seats.

Dammit, Ohio.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/32 "2022-11-09T02:21:50Z")

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What is becoming clear is, there’s a lot of ticket-splitting. For example in Georgia, Raffensberger is running away, as is Kemp. But that didn’t translate into support for Walker. I think Warnock is going to prevail, though it will be close.

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**Author:** ![Love\_Rhombus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/love_rhombus/32/10694_2.png) [@Love\_Rhombus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Love_Rhombus)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/33 "2022-11-09T02:25:08Z")

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I’ve heard Maxwell Frost in FL won, but that’s a lone victory for us in that state, I think.

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/34 "2022-11-09T02:26:13Z")

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O’Dea in Colorado closing the gap in Colorado for Senate. I don’t think he’ll win but as a moderate Pub he has about 25,000 more votes than the (R) Governor candidate and Trumper Ganahl has gotten.

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/35 "2022-11-09T02:27:42Z")

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> [@Mahaloth](#):
>
> Hershel Walker is now ahead on the Washington Post latest count.

CNN shows 50.9 to 47.3 in Warnock’s favor with 66% of the vote tallied

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/36 "2022-11-09T02:29:06Z")

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This is good news. I saw an article early in the month saying ticket splitting R/D for those type races was unlikely.

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/37 "2022-11-09T02:29:10Z")

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And Boebert is only up 5% in her district. Looks like Trump has lost his influence in the Centennial State.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/38 "2022-11-09T02:30:11Z")

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In Michigan, no senate race but we’ve got the top three state offices on the ballot, plus three statewide propositions. The one I’m most nervous about is Prop 3, which would enshrine reproductive rights in the state constitution. With 8.5% in, the yes votes are up about 57-43.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/39 "2022-11-09T02:37:11Z")

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That’s already started to shrink. What won’t shrink is Shapiro’s win over Mastriano. Which leads me to wonder: who in the world would vote for Shapiro and then would turn around and vote for the Jersey quack? You’d think Shapiro’s coattails would make this an easy win for Fetterman, those votes should be pretty much linked.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 2:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/40 "2022-11-09T02:38:29Z")

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Colorado called for Michael Bennett. \< whew \>

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