# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 20

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/381 "2022-11-09T19:31:29Z")

</div>

Nice. And for more levity, FiveThirtyEight’s summary title of a CA ballot measure gave me a chuckle:

**Proposition 31: Tobacco Must Taste Like Tobacco**

Bad news for anyone who prefers their addictive brown leaves to taste like something more delicious. Sixty-two percent of Californians voted to uphold a ban on flavored tobacco products, ending the sale of everything from old reliable menthol cigarettes to whimsically flavored vaping liquids.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/382 "2022-11-09T19:33:20Z")

</div>

> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> Why isn’t it big news?

I think it will be big news when all the discussion of candidates dies down. This is an open carry state, and anything gun-control-related has often gone the way of the dodo. That said, we have suffered several mass shooting incidents. Maybe people are finally waking up. Responsible gun owners shouldn’t have any problem with this legislation. And they didn’t!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/383 "2022-11-09T19:49:21Z")

</div>

> [@TheTooth](#):
>
> It’s a better decision than marrying Trump.

It’s hard to conceive of a worse decision.

Too bad WI stuck with their crazy Ronnie.

Questions of the hour- are there enough uncounted votes in NV to keep the state blue? Isn’t it about time they called AZ for Kelly?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lancia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lancia/32/17174_2.png) [@Lancia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lancia)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/384 "2022-11-09T19:55:26Z")

</div>

> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> Maybe people are finally waking up. Responsible gun owners shouldn’t have any problem with this legislation.

But what are the consequences for violating any of the new laws? I seem to recall something in the voter’s pamphlet about there being no language about consequences if gun owners simply ignore the new regs.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/385 "2022-11-09T19:57:27Z")

</div>

I don’t think there will be many consequences for current gun owners.

Where I expect to see change is from the regulations going forward. Fewer high-capacity magazines in the mix, more scrutiny of and better safety training for new gun owners. Over time, it will have a positive effect.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 7:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/386 "2022-11-09T19:58:14Z")

</div>

Not gonna happen because they are all law abiding citizens-They _said_ so!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/387 "2022-11-09T20:03:11Z")

</div>

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Questions of the hour- are there enough uncounted votes in NV to keep the state blue?

Jon Ralston did a piece trying to figure this out but we don’t know until they say how many mail-in ballots they received. Which they won’t know until the 12th since mail-ins have that long to arrive.

> **[The (now-post) early voting blog, 2022 - The Nevada Independent](https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2022)**
>
> The Nevada Independent, established by Jon Ralston in 2017, is a nonpartisan, nonprofit platform for ethical, unbiased, & transparent journalism.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/388 "2022-11-09T20:04:00Z")

</div>

for nevada, usps has until saturday to deliver ballots post marked 11/8/2022, people have until monday to cure ballots. over 5000 ballots need to be cured at this time, this number may rise. 5555 provisional ballots are undergoing processing, these are electronic votes.

drop boxes and usps ballots from monday and tuesday are being processed now.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/389 "2022-11-09T20:12:57Z")

</div>

> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> Responsible gun owners shouldn’t have any problem with this legislation.

The question is will the supreme court?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/390 "2022-11-09T20:16:01Z")

</div>

deleting this as this is not a good place for a gun control debate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/391 "2022-11-09T20:21:36Z")

</div>

I am trying to do the Senate math. Dems have 46, likely 47, +2 indy. GOP has 48+ 1 maybe. +1 runoff.

So, say 49 Dem votes, 49 GOP votes, 1 run off. Where is the missing seat?

Even if the GOP gets GA, that only bring them to 50, right?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/392 "2022-11-09T20:23:07Z")

</div>

Assuming AK is red, AZ, NV, and GA are yet to be determined. Whoever wins two of those latter three controls the Senate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/393 "2022-11-09T20:23:18Z")

</div>

GOP has 49 if you include Alaska  
Dem has 48 including independents.

NV is leaning GOP right now.  
AZ is leaning Dem right now.

GA will go to runoff.

Dems need 50 to win since they have the VP vote. Reps need 51 to win.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/394 "2022-11-09T20:33:41Z")

</div>

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> Where is the missing seat?

I think it’s the Alaska seat, which isn’t “official” yet but is a GOP seat.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/395 "2022-11-09T20:39:02Z")

</div>

> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> usps has until saturday to deliver ballots post marked 11/8/2022

I hope someone is keeping an eye on those post offices.

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> deleting this as this is not a good place for a gun control debate.

Thanks. And I apologize – I didn’t mean to introduce an element of gun control debate into this thread, but this legislation is a big deal in Oregon, so I wanted to mention it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![k9bfriender](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/k9bfriender/32/3283_2.png) [@k9bfriender](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/k9bfriender)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/396 "2022-11-09T20:41:54Z")

</div>

> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> I hope someone is keeping an eye on those post offices.

Yeah… about that.

I mailed my rent check on October 25th. The office just got it today.

I do wonder if there was a slowdown specifically to delay vote by mail ballots.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/397 "2022-11-09T20:45:05Z")

</div>

yes, it should be in the republican count as they are the only candidates.

48 D - 49 R is the senate count now. 3 races to go, one decided by dec., two by end of this week or next week.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/398 "2022-11-09T20:51:54Z")

</div>

> [@TheTooth](#):
>
> It’s a better decision than marrying Trump.

Or _still_ not freakin’ divorcing him.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/399 "2022-11-09T20:53:24Z")

</div>

Most of the coverage is on the Senate, but there’s one usually R House seat that may go D this time. You may remember the Mary Peltola (D) won the bye-election for Representative in Alaska earlier this year. The same people are on the ballot for the next term and it’s looking good for Peltola. The BBC has this result, which I assume is only tabulating voters’ first choices:

| Alaska at large | Party | Votes | Pct. |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Mary Peltola\* | Democrat | 100,538 | 47.1% |
| Sarah Palin | Republican | 56,791 | 26.6% |
| Nick Begich | Republican | 51,765 | 24.3% |
| Chris Bye | Libertarian | 3,704 | 1.7% |

71% of votes counted.

If those percentages hold out, Peltola is almost certain to win, due to lots of Begich voters not liking Palin and so giving Peltola their 2nd choice. At least that’s how she won the special election.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/400 "2022-11-09T20:57:03Z")

</div>

> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> > [@TheTooth](#):
> >
> > It’s a better decision than marrying Trump.
> 
> Or _still_ not freakin’ divorcing him.

Probably some provision in their prenup that makes it disadvantageous for her to do so at this time.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=19)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=21)
