# US Midterm Election watch along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 29
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/561 "2022-11-11T02:30:46Z")
House 195d - 211r. 2 republicans just won races. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/562 "2022-11-11T02:37:30Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > We now have 87% of the votes in and Kotek is leading 47.6% to 43.0% and the major news services still haven’t called it. They have now. Great news! > **[Tina Kotek, a Progressive, Will Be Oregon’s Next Governor (Published 2022)](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/10/us/politics/oregon-governor-kotek-drazan.html)** > > She will also be one of two of the nation’s first openly lesbian governors. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 2:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/563 "2022-11-11T02:43:26Z")
That’s wonderful news!! Hey, Phil Knight – eat my… errr… well. Nevermind. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/564 "2022-11-11T02:51:51Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > New numbers…Nevada, Cortez got 61 % of the vote Clark county, 56% of the vote in Carson, she is making up ground and getting the percentages she needs. Even better, quoting from 538: " In addition, Francisco Aguilar — Democrats’ candidate for secretary of state — has [taken the lead](https://twitter.com/RileySnyder/status/1590892395536666624) over Republican Jim Marchant, who [falsely believes](https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/23/politics/fact-check-jim-marchant-nevada-soros-pelosi-schumer-schiff) recent elections have been rigged." ---
**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/565 "2022-11-11T02:53:01Z")
> [@EllisDee](#): > > To your point, more likely McCarthy (or whoever) will be unable to block raising the debt ceiling in the face of unanimous Democratic support. Well, if he actually WANTS to block it, he can just not bring the bill to the floor. But to agree with everyone else, McCarthy ain’t no Pelosi. I’d wager that very few politicians are in Pelosi’s caliber. She’s a master of the stick & carrot and getting bills passed that virtually no other Speaker would be able to accomplish. In his memoir, Boehner said that Pelosi was potentially the most powerful Speaker in the nation’s history because of her “killer political instinct”. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/566 "2022-11-11T03:00:51Z")
> [@BigT](#): > > Marijuana legalization lost, though. It’s still only medical marijuana I didn’t realize AK already had medical marijuana. Both North Dakota and South Dakota voted down recreational pot. But Missouri and Maryland approved it. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/567 "2022-11-11T03:03:53Z")
> [@Railer13](#): > > Both North Dakota and South Dakota voted down recreational pot They both have medical though. What’s interesting is that SD voted in recreational two years ago and it was overturned on a lame technicality so they had to have a new election. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/568 "2022-11-11T03:05:30Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > she is making up ground and getting the percentages she needs. The number I see on CBS news website is that she’s trailing by 13k. Is that the latest count? Can she still make up the difference? ---
**Author:** ![BigT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bigt/32/12044_2.png) [@BigT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BigT)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/569 "2022-11-11T03:05:53Z")
> [@Railer13](#): > > > [@BigT](#): > > > > Marijuana legalization lost, though. It’s still only medical marijuana ⁢ > > I didn’t realize AK already had medical marijuana. > > Both North Dakota and South Dakota voted down recreational pot. But Missouri and Maryland approved it. ⁢ I assume you meant AR(kansas). (Alaska has had full legalization since 2014.) Yeah, we got it in 2020. And to me it seemed most people were okay with recreational (and the business interests were definitely into it). I was surprised that even the big cities didn’t go for it. Or at least the places that are culturally more Southern Missourian than Arkansan. The one thing I wonder is if the business stuff being in the law was part of it. And I know there were some people saying that they wouldn’t vote if you couldn’t grow your own. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/570 "2022-11-11T03:06:12Z")
Yes and the smart money is that she probably will. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/571 "2022-11-11T03:06:17Z")
Arizona just dumped a bit batch of numbers. Kelly and Hobbs had padded their leads. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/572 "2022-11-11T03:06:18Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > They both have medical though. I didn’t know that either. Thanks for the info. Strange that SD rejected recreational this time around. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/573 "2022-11-11T03:07:24Z")
She can as long as she stays above 53 % of the remaining vote. There are about 90k left to tally in the state. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/574 "2022-11-11T03:07:33Z")
> [@BigT](#): > > I assume you meant AR(kansas). Yes, my bad. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 3:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/575 "2022-11-11T03:22:41Z")
2 more house seats called, 197d - 211r. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/576 "2022-11-11T04:05:32Z")
Washoe county just dropped numbers in Nevada Cortez got 61 % of the vote, the gap is narrowing! The lead is a tad over 8k votes. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/577 "2022-11-11T04:07:59Z")
And that’s in Washoe. That’s the more “conservative” part of the state! I’m not worried about Clark County. They trend far more Democratic. I think we’ve got Nevada. And Dems need to snitch away only 4 more seats to prevail in the House. 😃 Three of those could happen in California. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/578 "2022-11-11T04:19:10Z")
Add one more to the d tally in the house, up to 198. ---
**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 4:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/579 "2022-11-11T04:27:21Z")
The Snitchedelic is on. ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 6:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/580 "2022-11-11T06:21:30Z")
I’m trying to crunch the numbers myself on the “Trump in Heels” governor race in Arizona. If I’m interpreting the Arizona SOS numbers correctly, then I think the final numbers should hopefully come out to : Hobbs (D) 1,336,000 votes (51.2%) Lake (Q) 1,272,000 votes (48.8%) For the “remaining ballots left to count, per county” I’m deferring to the Arizona SOS website, rather than the CNN website. I’m sure these numbers will change between now and tomorrow, rendering this post completely moot but, for example AZ SOS says that they’ve counted 19,000 votes in Apache County, and that represents 100% of the expected votes from there. CNN says that they’ve counted 19,000 votes in Apache County, and that represents only 67% of the expected votes from there. Using the AZ SOS percentages of expected remaining votes, and applying the current vote split %'s by county (i.e. Hobbs 55%, Lake 45%, etc) to the remaining expected votes, that’s how I come to my totals above. [AZ SOS as of Friday AM 12:15 Central](https://apps.arizona.vote/info/bps/2022-general-election/33/0) [AZ per CNN as of Friday AM 12:15 Central](https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/arizona/governor) [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=28) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=30)