# US Midterm Election watch along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 33
**Author:** ![Dr.Strangelove](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.strangelove/32/6613_2.png) [@Dr.Strangelove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Strangelove)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 8:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/641 "2022-11-11T20:35:44Z")
> [@Aspenglow](#): > > Dayum! That was a lot of work! Your results definitely zero in on where Cortez Masto needs to win, and by what kind of numbers. Yep, sure thing (spreadsheets make this kind of thing easy, and Discourse makes it easy to paste tabular data). At any rate, I definitely hope the trend shifts, as well it might (for example, the aforementioned mail-in ballots being possibly blue-biased). No reason to write the state off at this point; it’s just that this isn’t a case of the blue counties finishing their counts last. There has to be some other effect for Cortez to win. ---
**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 8:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/642 "2022-11-11T20:41:35Z")
> [@EllisDee](#): > > For context, it’s Republicans saying that Republicans weren’t able to vote in Republican strongholds because they ran out of paper ballots. Boy - them Dems sure are impressive in their shenanigans! 😉 ---
**Author:** ![DeadTreasSecretaries](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deadtreassecretaries/32/4817_2.png) [@DeadTreasSecretaries](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DeadTreasSecretaries)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 8:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/643 "2022-11-11T20:44:20Z")
It goes deeper than I thought! ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/644 "2022-11-11T21:06:27Z")
Has anyone followed the attorney general races? I know there were concerns about that, but it hasn’t made the headlines. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 9:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/645 "2022-11-11T21:09:03Z")
ABC just projected another Dem which brings it to 211-200 GOP but two uncalled races in California have two Democratic contestants so we can call it 211-202. That leaves 22 races. Democrats lead in 12 of them but they need to win 16 to keep the house. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 9:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/646 "2022-11-11T21:11:53Z")
Do you know is that counting Alaska for the Ds or Rs? I’m pretty sure that will end up in the D column. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/647 "2022-11-11T21:13:13Z")
I believe it includes AK as a D ---
**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 9:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/648 "2022-11-11T21:33:44Z")
The vibe I’ve been getting from following Jon Ralston & Co is that CCM will likely take the lead as the remaining ballots are counted though Democrats will fall short for holding the governor’s seat. As a side note, CCM is expected to benefit more from ballot curing since the Culinary Union is actively working to help get those ballots cured with 200 canvassers reaching out to get ballots corrected by Monday. I don’t think there’s any similar presence on the GOP side. From what I gather, the ballots that need to be cured are public record (not the vote, of course, but the name) so they cross-reference it against party registration and go find the person to let them know that they need to take care of it for their ballot to count. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/649 "2022-11-11T22:47:43Z")
Next AZ vote drop at 8pm local time. (7pm in CA). ---
**Author:** ![Dr.Strangelove](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.strangelove/32/6613_2.png) [@Dr.Strangelove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Strangelove)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/650 "2022-11-11T22:48:00Z")
> [@Dr.Strangelove](#): > > There has to be some other effect for Cortez to win. FiveThirtyEight at least seems to think it looks promising: > **[How Election Week 2022 Went Down | FiveThirtyEight](https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/350181/)** > > According to election officials in Maricopa County, Arizona, the crucial county will report its next vote update at 8 p.m. local time (10 p.m. Eastern). If that… > In [Nevada](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/nevada-2022-midterm-election-results/story?id=92010185), Laxalt leads Cortez Masto 49 percent to 48 percent (a margin of 8,988 votes). Cortez Masto should take the lead here as more mail ballots are counted. ---
**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 10:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/651 "2022-11-11T22:54:33Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > Next AZ vote drop at 8pm local time. (7pm in CA). This drop should include 17k in-person votes which will skew them redder than future drops which will only consist of early votes dropped off on election day. ---
**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/652 "2022-11-11T23:10:25Z")
Doubts are being raised about McCarthy’s ability to win the speakership should Republicans prevail in the House, as seems very likely. The disturbing aspect of this is that Rep Andy Biggs, who I believe is chairman of the Freedom Caucus, accused McCarthy of not being sufficiently committed to impeaching Biden! These people are just malevolent lunatics. > **[Kevin McCarthy faces rocky road to speakership as hardliners emboldened by...](https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/politics/kevin-mccarthy-speakership-race-house-freedom-caucus/index.html)** > > Members of the pro-Trump House Freedom Caucus are withholding their support for House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy's speakership bid and have begun to lay out their list of demands, putting the California Republican's path to securing 218 votes in peril... ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/653 "2022-11-11T23:14:53Z")
What happens if a majority party cannot get a majority of their membership to agree on their House leader (and thus speaker)? ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/654 "2022-11-11T23:16:02Z")
Maybe a large moderate faction can get some Democrats to join them. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/655 "2022-11-11T23:18:20Z")
And maybe elect a neutral outsider, perhaps a retired judge? ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/656 "2022-11-11T23:18:56Z")
> [@DSeid](#): > > What happens if a majority party cannot get a majority of their membership to agree on their House leader (and thus speaker)? The majority party leader does not automatically become Speaker (although that IS what happens in the Senate with Majority Leader). He or she would still need to win a majority vote of the whole House, and Members can vote for whomever they wish. Members can also put anyone they want into nomination, or even vote for someone who has not been nominated. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/657 "2022-11-11T23:18:58Z")
Both parties put up a name, it would be very funny if it turns out to be a democrat. ---
**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/658 "2022-11-11T23:20:49Z")
I can’t wait to find out what it is they plan to impeach Biden over. I mean, with Trump, at least the reason was clear. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/659 "2022-11-11T23:22:48Z")
Ooooh, wouldn’t it be fun if they put in cheney’s name… ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 11, 2022, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/660 "2022-11-11T23:25:56Z")
Liz or Dick? 😜 [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=32) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619.md?page=34)