# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 41

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 12:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/801 "2022-11-13T00:55:39Z")

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That’s funny. As a child in the 1970s, I loved the Hammond World Atlas. There was a page for each US state, and next to the map a list of all the towns and cities with their populations. I still remember distinctly how Nevada had several “towns” with a population of 1. I would think, “Boy, that must be a lonely life.”

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/802 "2022-11-13T01:05:20Z")

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Thanks. I confess to watching football then.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/803 "2022-11-13T01:05:28Z")

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Maricopa drop Hobbs gets 48% of this dump, lake got 52%so a bit of a wash there. Hobbs maintains lead.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/804 "2022-11-13T01:06:47Z")

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Watching Kornacki report on the AZ update. This tranch was supposed to be very very GOP. Of the 85K votes Lake got 4k more than Hobbs. But Hobbs still has the lead by 34,742. The remaining votes to come are expected to be much more in favor of the D.

ETA: HOBBS at 1,156,158 to LAKE 1,121,416. or 50.8% to 49.2%.

Not quite time for the Hobbs campaign to pop any corks but they definitely should have some bubbly on ice.

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**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/805 "2022-11-13T01:10:24Z")

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35,000 vote difference is pretty big at this stage of the count.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/806 "2022-11-13T01:12:10Z")

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190k left in maricopa per bill gates. Next dump tomorrow night, should be about half of the 190k. He believes they will be done by Tuesday.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/807 "2022-11-13T01:12:30Z")

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Yeah but Kornacki is saying there are still 195k to come from Maricopa county. That’s a helluva lot of votes left to report. They should be better for Hobbs but who knows.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/808 "2022-11-13T01:12:49Z")

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'Welcome. Enjoy your game. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/809 "2022-11-13T01:13:49Z")

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I’m happy about the Arizona situation right now, but will we learn Nevada’s senate winner tonight?

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/810 "2022-11-13T01:16:05Z")

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On MSNBC they are saying they expect something from Nevada to come in tonight. But who knows.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/811 "2022-11-13T01:18:36Z")

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Whoa, kornacki just exploded some brains with his house scenario.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/812 "2022-11-13T01:21:26Z")

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Yep. 217 R and 217 D with the Alaska runoff on 11/23 deciding control of the House. That would cause a major uproar.

And I can’t stop giggling imagining it happens.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/813 "2022-11-13T01:50:17Z")

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I really believe that peltola will win Alaska.

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**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/814 "2022-11-13T01:51:48Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> Whoa, kornacki just exploded some brains with his house scenario.

link?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/815 "2022-11-13T02:02:22Z")

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I don’t know if there is a link… he was going through some different ways the remaining house seats could shake out and one was the house being 217- 217 with Alaska out standing as mentioned above by kolak.

When it went back to Ali and Ayman, they didn’t know what to say, there was a bit of whoa, and wow.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/816 "2022-11-13T02:11:32Z")

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An exact link isn’t easy to find at the moment since it was on live.

I did find this article quoting where Kornacki was starting to broach the subject but this is datelined at least an hour ago so no what I just saw:  
[Korncaki suggests how Dems could control House](https://www.mediaite.com/tv/very-much-in-play-msnbcs-steve-kornacki-revises-projections-to-show-democrats-could-actually-retain-control-of-house/)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/817 "2022-11-13T02:13:20Z")

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Thanks! Fascinating.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/818 "2022-11-13T02:14:37Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> I really believe that peltola will win Alaska.

I’d say Peltola’s chances are much better than 50%.

If she does win, Republicans are going to blame RCV, which they did after the bye-election earlier this year. But it’s really many voters, including lots of Republicans, not liking Palin. Many voted for Begich with Peltola as their second choice, which put her over the top in the earlier election. So it probably wouldn’t have changed much if they’d had the standard primary plus general elections.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/819 "2022-11-13T02:16:01Z")

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Oh,oh, here we go!

61% to Cortez! She has taken the lead!!! And the race!!!

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 13, 2022, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/820 "2022-11-13T02:16:03Z")

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Cortez Masto ahead. MSNBC calls it, D has the Senate.

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