# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 6

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/101 "2022-11-09T04:18:33Z")

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> [@Win\_Place\_Show](#):
>
> Nate Silver (on the 538 live blog) : “One big question is whether Walker might perform a little worse in a runoff without Kemp to help him.”
> 
> That’s a great point I hadn’t thought of - if he can get this one to a runoff, hopefully Warnock can make it 2-for-2 in runoffs.

The other thing to consider in a runoff (and I think that’s where the race is headed) is that the result of the runoff might not matter for senate control. If Fetterman can hold on against Oz (and that seems more likely than not) and Cortez-Masto holds on (I have no idea how that one will go) we’d be going into the runoff 50D-49R. In that situation maybe the Republicans will lose some motivation, knowing that they won’t control the senate even with a Walker victory in a runoff.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/102 "2022-11-09T04:19:18Z")

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Just called for budd in nc.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/103 "2022-11-09T04:20:56Z")

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Yep! One of the MSNBC gals (McCaskill I think her name is) just made that exact same point (another that I hadn’t thought of). Hell yes!

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**Author:** ![ekedolphin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ekedolphin/32/10003_2.png) [@ekedolphin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ekedolphin)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/104 "2022-11-09T04:21:53Z")

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Fuck. Kiggans beats Luria in the Virginia 2nd District. I’m disappointed and angry, but not surprised. Kiggan signs are all _over_ Suffolk.

> **[Kiggans beats Luria in key U.S. House victory for GOP](https://www.axios.com/2022/11/09/jen-kiggans-virginia-election-results)**
>
> The Virginia Beach-anchored district was a focus of the GOP’s push to win back the House.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/105 "2022-11-09T04:22:35Z")

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Wyden for Oregon @ aspenglow.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/106 "2022-11-09T04:24:25Z")

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Murray for Washington.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/107 "2022-11-09T04:24:27Z")

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Thanks, @susan. 🙂 I wasn’t too worried about that particular race, I’m happy to say.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/108 "2022-11-09T04:24:34Z")

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Senate is at 46 to 46.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/109 "2022-11-09T04:25:55Z")

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> [@Guest-starring\_Id](#):
>
> Did Kristi Noem (D.) get mentioned already, beating Jamie Smith (R.)? (64%-33%)

Noem, unfortunately, is the incumbent GOP governor; Smith is the Democratic challenger. Noem, I believe, has her sights set much higher than Pierre, SD.

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/110 "2022-11-09T04:28:49Z")

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Never mind

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/111 "2022-11-09T04:28:57Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> Just called for budd in nc.

This was one of the more exasperating Senate races this cycle. National Democrats never seemed to invest much effort or money into Beasley’s campaign, despite Republican Senator Thom Tillis only winning reelection last cycle by 1.5 points.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/112 "2022-11-09T04:31:13Z")

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One race I’m really curious about is Utah’s senate race between Mike Lee and Evan McMullen. That would be a nice upset.

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**Author:** ![ekedolphin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ekedolphin/32/10003_2.png) [@ekedolphin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ekedolphin)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/113 "2022-11-09T04:31:19Z")

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With 74% of the vote in, NBC News reports that Lauren Boebert trails her challenger, Adam Frisch, 51.8-48.1%, in the Colorado 3rd.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/114 "2022-11-09T04:32:05Z")

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In Mi., Tom Barret (R.) at 55% is leading Elissa Slotkin (D.) at 43% in their congress race, but an important district in Michigan - no. 7 - the largest county with the capital Lansing and Michigan State U - has no results yet, and is explected to bring Slotkin back into the contention again.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/115 "2022-11-09T04:33:06Z")

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> [@ekedolphin](#):
>
> With 74% of the vote in, NBC News reports that Lauren Boebert trails her challenger, Adam Frisch, 51.8-48.1%, in the Colorado 3rd.

Please, please, please…

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/116 "2022-11-09T04:33:27Z")

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> [@Railer13](#):
>
> Noem, unfortunately, is the incumbent GOP governor; Smith is the Democratic challenger. Noem, I believe, has her sights set much higher than Pierre, SD.

Ah, thank-you. 🤦‍♂️

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/117 "2022-11-09T04:34:45Z")

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CNN just projected or called (wasn’t paying a lot of attention) Patty Murray in the state of Washington.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/118 "2022-11-09T04:35:41Z")

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How many times will we hear the world “stolen” tomorrow morning from the orange (bleep) suckers? 😁

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/119 "2022-11-09T04:37:41Z")

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Reproductive rights are winning in the states.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/120 "2022-11-09T04:39:53Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> How many times will we hear the world “stolen” tomorrow morning from the orange (bleep) suckers?

Depends on whether or not Fetterman wins. PA seems to be the most likely place where Republicans are going to try to pull that shit.

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