# US Midterm Election watch along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 9, 2022, 12:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619 "2022-11-09T00:29:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/121 "2022-11-09T04:40:59Z")

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not to mind.

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/122 "2022-11-09T04:44:44Z")

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It’s still early yet, and while there may well still be a “red wave,” it looks like Democrats have avoided the “red tsunami” that they experienced during Clinton’s and Obama’s first midterms. Even if Republicans take the House, a narrow margin will vastly complicate Kevin McCarthy’s ability to get his caucus on board with an agenda.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/123 "2022-11-09T04:46:13Z")

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Yeah, this is no red tsunami. GOP waves in FL and NY for sure, and maybe NV, but this is not the train wreck I expected. (knocks on wood)

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/124 "2022-11-09T04:48:49Z")

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Is there any word in when Nevada will start counting? I’d like to go to bed with at least a good idea that control of the Senate won’t once again rest on a Raphael Warnock runoff.

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**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/125 "2022-11-09T04:49:07Z")

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Hmm, the NYT needle for the Senate just tipped a little closer to D. I wonder what race that was.

Also, and good sites for watching governorships?

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/126 "2022-11-09T04:49:50Z")

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> [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](#):
>
> That was a gimme. Really, it was.

I take nothing for granted. 😉

And just to mention, you’re talking to maybe the only person on this board who said Dems weren’t necessarily going to lose the House or the Senate.

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/127 "2022-11-09T04:55:18Z")

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> [@puzzlegal](#):
>
> Hmm, the NYT needle for the Senate just tipped a little closer to D. I wonder what race that was.

My guess is the PA race. Fetterman is still ahead and Philadelphia county is still only about 2/3 in.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/128 "2022-11-09T04:57:12Z")

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I live in Pennsylvania. He had no chance. None. When you’re so crazy that even the Republicans come out against you you’re only getting the morons who can’t read any letter but R in the voting booth. And to all appearances, that’s exactly what happened.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/129 "2022-11-09T04:57:38Z")

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Msnbc is stating that the house maybe a tie. Rebulican 219 with a margin of error of 13. Uff da! This is going to be a bumpy ride.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/130 "2022-11-09T04:58:30Z")

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Oh, I’m not arguing with you. I would always defer to a resident of a state’s opinion. I just wasn’t following that race all that closely. I’m glad it went as it did.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 4:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/131 "2022-11-09T04:58:39Z")

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I notice the NYT has moved Wisconsin back into “Tossup” range (I think they had them in the R column earlier) so that may have something to do with it.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/132 "2022-11-09T05:00:09Z")

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Oh, I know. I’m just saying that the outcome of that race was never in doubt. If Shapiro had been murdered last week he still would have won.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/133 "2022-11-09T05:00:50Z")

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The house will be up in the air for a bit. Dem.s just bumped a republican seat in North Carolina.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/134 "2022-11-09T05:05:11Z")

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And just like that, they’ve moved Wisconsin back to (R) favored.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/135 "2022-11-09T05:06:14Z")

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Secretary of State in Michigan has held her seat.

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**Author:** ![JaneDoe42](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/janedoe42/32/14104_2.png) [@JaneDoe42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JaneDoe42)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/136 "2022-11-09T05:07:38Z")

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Things are amazingly sane here in Arizona. Hobbs and Kelly both have very substantial leads. The issue is that there were problems with a few of the tabulating machines not accepting ballets because the printers were set too light, so of course Lake and Masters are going to demand recounts and ninjas and it will never ever stop.

Imma gonna stock up on booze and weed.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/137 "2022-11-09T05:12:29Z")

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According to the AP, Warnock is down less than a thousand with 89% reporting. Which makes me sick to report, because in a sane, just world, he should be running away with this.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/138 "2022-11-09T05:13:34Z")

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Yeah, that got me going too. Wonder what data glitch caused that.

My bigger question, when the hell will Nevada start reporting??

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/139 "2022-11-09T05:14:42Z")

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Looks like either way it’s unlikely either of them will break 50%.

Let’s do it all again in a month or so? Maybe without the other races turnout will favor Warnock like it did in the last recount? Does it matter if the the balance of power is in doubt or not? I guess I’ll hope for “not” since that means the Dems held on in NV.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 9, 2022, 5:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-midterm-election-watch-along-thread/974619/140 "2022-11-09T05:14:44Z")

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AP still hasn’t called it yet, but at 79% of expected votes, Kathy Hochul (D. - 54%) is ahead of Lee Zeldin (R. - 46%) in NY’s race for Govenor.

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