# US Open (golf) Pool

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [June 14, 2010, 6:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174 "2010-06-14T18:43:51Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![don\_t\_ask](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@don\_t\_ask](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/don_t_ask)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 12:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/21 "2010-06-17T12:04:47Z")

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Toms $40  
Mallinger $30  
Baddeley $30

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 1:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/22 "2010-06-17T13:26:48Z")

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> [@gonzomax](#):
>
> I have seen nothing that makes me think Weir or Davis are ready to fight for a major.

I just dropped 5-spot on Davis because of the odds. He’s been struggling for some time, but has knocked at the door on occasion. While I highly doubt he’ll win or even seriously threaten, I thought he might be in the top 5 after one of the rounds.

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 2:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/23 "2010-06-17T14:04:59Z")

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Entries are closed, here is a summary of the votes.

14 entries

The most popular picks:

Phil Mickelson…10 Picks  
Ernie Els…9 Picks  
Tiger Woods…8 Picks  
Lee Westwood…6 Picks

The most money wagered…

Phil Mickelson…$210  
Ernie Els…$145  
Tiger Woods…$115  
Lee Westwood…$70

Players ‘perceived’ as the best “value” (Odds \* amount wagered)

John Mallinger…$12000 (1 pick @ $30, 400/1)  
Davis Love III…$7000  
David Toms…$6750  
Mike Weir…$5500  
Miguel Angel Jimenez…$5000  
Rocco Mediate…$5000  
Stuart Appleby…$5000

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 2:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/24 "2010-06-17T14:12:35Z")

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Incredibly, the guy who has won the last two PGA Tournaments at Pebble Beach, Dustin Johnson was not picked by any of the 14 entrants.

Here is the list of players that were not picked by any entrant (with their odds).

Dustin Johnson 40/1  
K.J. Choi 50/1  
Robert Karlsson 50/1  
Ben Crane 50/1  
Hunter Mahan 50/1  
Stewart Cink 66/1  
Martin Kaymer 66/1  
Nick Watney 66/1  
Zach Johnson 66/1  
Graeme McDowell 66/1  
Robert Allenby 80/1  
Y.E. Yang 80/1

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**Author:** ![borschevsky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/97f17d/32.png) [@borschevsky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/borschevsky)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 2:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/25 "2010-06-17T14:13:54Z")

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Weir is a bit of a flier pick, but he has done well in several US Opens, and where he’s had trouble recently is with having a bad round or two each tournament, rather than just consistently poor play. It wouldn’t be out of the ordinary for him to put up an excellent score in one of the first couple rounds, such as he did last year.

Having said that, I don’t think anyone would be too surprised if he just missed the cut.

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**Author:** ![Edward\_The\_Head](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/ce73a5/32.png) [@Edward\_The\_Head](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Edward_The_Head)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 2:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/26 "2010-06-17T14:28:25Z")

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Damn it I thought about going with Choi too. I wonder what made me skip him.

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 3:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/27 "2010-06-17T15:50:16Z")

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> [@Edward\_The\_Head](#):
>
> Damn it I thought about going with Choi too. I wonder what made me skip him.

I thought Choi would be picked, I even listed him as an example in how I calculate the payback.

That list of players that were not picked were the players with the shortest odds, that were not picked.

A lot of “longshot” players were not picked. A lot.

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 17, 2010, 8:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/28 "2010-06-17T20:09:31Z")

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You got my last minute e-mail saying to put it all on Cabrera-Bello, didn’t you?

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**Author:** ![Lamar\_Mundane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/85f322/32.png) [@Lamar\_Mundane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamar_Mundane)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 12:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/29 "2010-06-18T00:36:42Z")

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Where’s Justin Rose?

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 12:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/30 "2010-06-18T00:55:10Z")

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Justin Rose didn’t qualify. The US Open does not exempt PGATour winners. At the cutoff date he was not in the top 50 in the world rankings.

**Dinsdale** , No, did not receive an email. Sorry about that, Chief.

I have the standings after round 1 posted after the SDMB nightly poker game. Come and join us. 10 pm edt.

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**Author:** ![Sam\_Stone](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecccb3/32.png) [@Sam\_Stone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sam_Stone)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 1:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/31 "2010-06-18T01:20:35Z")

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My man Weir is one shot off the lead. Go Mikey!

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**Author:** ![gonzomax](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/e8c25b/32.png) [@gonzomax](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gonzomax)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 3:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/32 "2010-06-18T03:32:47Z")

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> [@Sam\_Stone](#):
>
> My man Weir is one shot off the lead. Go Mikey!

Strange round 5 bogies and 6 birdies.

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/33 "2010-06-18T04:33:48Z")

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Standings after Round 1. I am kind of tired tonight, if you see an error, please tell me.  
1 borchevsky 1400  
1 Sam Stone 1400  
3 Van Landry 1050  
4 don’t ask 600  
5 Yeticus Rex 453  
6 Dinsdale 200  
7 Gray Ghost 75  
8 NFM 66  
9 Lamar Mundane 0  
9 spoilervirgin 0  
9 phungi 0  
9 glowacks 0  
9 gonzomax 0  
9 Edward The Head 0

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**Author:** ![Yeticus\_Rex](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/y/a698b9/32.png) [@Yeticus\_Rex](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Yeticus_Rex)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 6:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/34 "2010-06-18T06:24:07Z")

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POS PLAYER ROUND 1

```
T1 S. Micheel -2 												 	
T1 P. Casey -2 												 	
T1 B. De jonge -2 												 	
T4 A. Cejka -1 												 	
T4 R. Ishikawa -1 												 	
T4 R. Cabrera - bello -1 												 	
T4 K. Choi -1 												 	
T4 M. Weir -1 												 	
T4 I. Poulter -1 												 	
T10 G. Mcdowell E 												 	
T10 D. Johnson E 													
T10 L. Donald E 													
T10 D. Toms E
```

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 1:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/35 "2010-06-18T13:25:59Z")

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I couldn’t remember if I had picked Casey or not. Will be interesting to see who does what today and tomorrow. Pretty amazing for neither Tiger nor Phil to score a single bird!

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 4:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/36 "2010-06-18T16:09:28Z")

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Early on Friday nobody’s lighting it up. Scores look pretty similar to yesterday’s. Weather looks pretty consistent thru the weekend.

I predict -5 will win the tourney. Anyone else?

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/37 "2010-06-18T16:17:45Z")

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Oh yeah - just to further entertain myself here - the cut is top 60 + ties.  
If 2 of my guys (Mick and O’Hair) get moving, I might have a whopping 8/10 plaing the weekend… :rolleyes:

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 5:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/38 "2010-06-18T17:15:33Z")

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Frickin Casey - a SNOWMAN?! :mad:

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**Author:** ![notfrommensa](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/f14d63/32.png) [@notfrommensa](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/notfrommensa)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 5:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/39 "2010-06-18T17:16:23Z")

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> [@Dinsdale](#):
>
> Oh yeah - just to further entertain myself here - the cut is top 60 + ties.  
> If 2 of my guys (Mick and O’Hair) get moving, I might have a whopping 8/10 plaing the weekend… :rolleyes:

**Dinsdale** , the cut is top 60 and ties, or anyone within ten shots of the lead. If no one runs away with the lead today, I expect the 10-shot rule to be the cutline rather than the top 60.

I expect 1 under to be leading. That means anyone at +9 or better makes the cut. Currently there are 142 players at plus 9. By the end of the day, I would not be surprised if +9 or better has 80-90 players.

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**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\
**Post date:** [June 18, 2010, 5:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/us-open-golf-pool/543174/40 "2010-06-18T17:38:27Z")

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Thanks for the correx.

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