# USA Election Watch 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/1 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")
This thread is to discuss the results of today’s midterm elections as they are announced and things related to it like turnout, polling and what’s happening at polling places. This is not for political debates about the candidates or other major issues. ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/2 "2026-11-03T18:46:50Z")
Thanks for starting this. I probably won’t post again until late this evening, because I’ll be out from ~7ET to about ~11ET, but I’ll (hopefully) enjoy catching up. ---
**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 7:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/3 "2026-11-03T19:20:07Z")
Kornacki. ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/4 "2026-11-03T19:26:09Z")
Looking at party only, registered Republicans have a large plurality in early voting in Florida despite 7% more of the Democrats voting percentagewise. And to make things worse, some of those missing Republicans will vote on election day, furthering the gap, and NPA voters broke Republican last time around too. In order to counteract this, NPAs will have to severely break for the Democrats (along with some Republicans as well.) > **[Voting Trend](https://votingtrend.com/?eevt_state=FL&eevt_election_id=2)** > > Understanding Voters ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 7:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/5 "2026-11-03T19:46:09Z")
The Senate races to watch are: MI: El-Sayed (D) vs Rogers (R) TX: Talarico (D) vs Paxton (R) ME: Jackson (D) vs Collins (R) OH: Brown (D) vs Husted (R) KS: Hamilton (D) vs Marshall (R) AK: Petola (D) vs Sullivan (R) IA: Turek (D) vs Hinson (R) ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 8:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/6 "2026-11-03T20:06:07Z")
I made a Costco run this morning and bought a 5-pack of 187ml bottles of Stella semi-sparkling wine in case things go well and a handle of Bulleit in case they do not. ---
**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 8:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/7 "2026-11-03T20:35:19Z")
I was just thinking that a liquor store could probably make a killing on a buy two, get one free Election Day special. Handles only. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 8:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/8 "2026-11-03T20:37:27Z")
Here are the chances of a Democratic takeover in both houses from various pollsters Nate Silver: House 96.4%, Senate 82.4% The Hill: House 84%, Senate 65% Fox (Decision Desk): House 84%, Senate 64% CNN: House 92%, Senate 71% Feel free to cut and paste and add more as you find them ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 8:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/9 "2026-11-03T20:50:22Z")
From the Ettengermentum Chat, I offer, but do not necessarily recommend, the Senate Drinking Game: Shot for D loss in GA, MN or NH Shot for loss, beer for win: ME, MI, OH, TX, AK Beer for win in any other State ---
**Author:** ![ZipperJJ](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zipperjj/32/211_2.png) [@ZipperJJ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ZipperJJ)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 8:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/10 "2026-11-03T20:57:08Z")
My friend invited me to a watch party in Akron with the woman running for our House Rep, Emilia Sykes. I think she has an extremely good chance of winning (D district, incumbent, does a great job) so that will be a good party but I’m afraid of all the other outcomes. I just wanna curl up under a blanket at home. So I will. ---
**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/11 "2026-11-03T21:11:30Z")
What are some good online resources with with to follow the goings-on of the day/evening in detail. . .breaking news related to the election, and later, vote counts? I’m not usually a live media person. ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/12 "2026-11-03T21:16:50Z")
My understanding is that if you download the NY Times app, you can read their coverage tonight only for free. Otherwise, the Guardian will have a good live blog. Or if you want to go super nerdy, you could subscribe to Nate Silver’s Substack for access to the liveblog with this superstar lineup: > Hosting rotates between **Nate Silver, Jerusalem Demsas, Lakshya Jain, Galen Druke, and Matt Yglesias**. Guests include **Dave Weigel, Eli McKown-Dawson, Larry Sabato, Sean Trende, Clare Malone, Greg Bluestein, Lenny Bronner, Nathaniel Rakich, Kelsey Piper, Jeremiah Johnson** , and more. I anticipate this thread will probably be quite active as well! ---
**Author:** ![zimaane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/a3d4f5/32.png) [@zimaane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zimaane)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/13 "2026-11-03T21:17:26Z")
New York Times is making their election updates available to all, [nytimes.com](http://nytimes.com) ---
**Author:** ![zimaane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/a3d4f5/32.png) [@zimaane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zimaane)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/14 "2026-11-03T21:20:11Z")
Another is SC: Graham (R) vs Andrews (D), although it’s likely to go R. The results should be in early and if Andrews wins, you can break out the champagne. ---
**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/15 "2026-11-03T21:29:44Z")
Thanks, appreciate it. ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/16 "2026-11-03T21:31:02Z")
What to expect this evening: 6 pm ET (less than two hours!) polls close in Kentucky. The only competitive race there is in the 6th Congressional District, which Nate Silver actually has as the closest race in the entire country. And Kentucky counts fast, so this could be the first meaningful data point of the night. 7 pm: polls close in South Carolina, which also counts fast and which is considered a longshot possible Dem pickup. A win here would pretty much mean the celebration can begin. 7:30 : Ohio and North Carolina close, both count pretty quickly. 8 pm: Florida closes. They count quickly, so anything other than a quick call for the GOP would be a good sign nationally. Also Maine, but they probably won’t have results until tomorrow. 9 pm: TX, IA and KS close, and count quickly. MI, MN and NE close, but do not count quickly. Midnight: Polls close in Alaska, and most of the vote gets counted quickly, but if it’s a close race it could be a couple weeks before the sled dogs bring in all the ballots from remote areas. ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/17 "2026-11-03T21:43:37Z")
The first official results are in! Dixville Notch has gone Republican 5-2. Should we be worried? ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/18 "2026-11-03T21:48:54Z")
I posted a link to this convoluted guide that I pulled from Reddit, over in the “Senate 2026” thread, but it might work better here. [[Album] imgur.com ![](https://i.imgur.com/3d5Wi0v.jpeg?fb "imgur.com") ](https://imgur.com/a/EXq1VlQ) ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/19 "2026-11-03T21:54:58Z")
Both CNN and MSNBC are saying that at the top of the hour (six minutes from now) they’ll be reporting “First Voter Polls”. Not sure what that means, or how that differs from the numbers we’ve been getting for weeks now. ---
**Author:** ![whitetho](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whitetho/32/1059_2.png) [@whitetho](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/whitetho)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/20 "2026-11-03T21:56:27Z")
A Republican narrowly won the govenorship of Guam. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=2)