# USA Election Watch 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 12
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/221 "2026-11-04T02:21:37Z")
> [@Smapti](#): > > Byron Donalds (R) wins the governorship in FL. I had assumed it was still DeSantis running. Was he term-limited out? ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/222 "2026-11-04T02:21:50Z")
My state doesn’t have any statewide elected offices up this year - the only statewide votes are three referenda, all of which are right-wing culture war bills that are expected to fail. The most exciting race we have going here is for county sheriff. > [@Chronos](#): > > Was he term-limited out? Yes. ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/223 "2026-11-04T02:22:00Z")
Right now it’s looking like about a D+11 year, which is about in line with the NYT times polling but about 3-4 points better than the polling average. ---
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/224 "2026-11-04T02:22:03Z")
So it looks like NJ has 11 of 12 seats Dem and Corey Booker holds the Senate for Dems. ---
**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/225 "2026-11-04T02:22:21Z")
A couple points maybe? I think the polling is actually pretty spot on. Just a lot of people didn’t believe it. ---
**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/226 "2026-11-04T02:22:25Z")
> [@Guest-starring\_Id](#): > > In Johnson Co. in Kansas, Hamilton (D) is up 67.5% over Marshall(R) 31.1% > Yay hey better math, woo! Johnson County is suburban Kansas City and tends to lean blue (they have the one D rep in KS in Sharice Davids). To me the better news was that Hamilton was up by about 14 points in Sedgwick County (Wichita) which is much more red. ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/227 "2026-11-04T02:22:29Z")
> [@Chronos](#): > > I had assumed it was still DeSantis running. Was he term-limited out? Yes. ---
**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/228 "2026-11-04T02:23:16Z")
So far every single uncalled House district in NC still has the D candidate ahead (and all the called seats are D). A few of the predictions have changed from Lean R or Likely R to Lean D or Likely D. I am amazed. We might end up flipping a couple more seats here. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/229 "2026-11-04T02:24:41Z")
Nc is stunning right now. Not a red spot on the map. ---
**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/230 "2026-11-04T02:24:56Z")
> [@romansperson](#): > > In the 11th Congressional district here in NC (which is Asheville and environs), the R incumbent, Chuck Edwards, withdrew his name from consideration due to allegations of sexual harassment of his staff. This is the seat formerly held by Madison Cawthorn, who basically earned the enmity of the state Republican machine and lost his primary to the hand-picked Edwards. > > It looks like the D contender in that district, Jamie Ager, is set to win that seat over the R replacement, Jennifer Balkcom. Hasn’t been called yet, but I expect it to be soon. > > Maybe this is a note to local Rs that NC really doesn’t like sex pests. While I was reading this, I got a text from Ager announcing his re-election, thanking his supporters and begging for money for his continued campaign costs. I really have come to loathe the Democratic fundraising apparatus. I know it’s a good election night when I add Fox News to my browsing stations ( I’ve been jumping between CNN, MSNBC and ABC (I like David Muir and he hasn’t “complied in advance” with Trump Adminstration like the other network news stations. ) Anyway, Sean Hannity was trying to wax philosophical and was blathering about political cycles and trying to come up with silver linings but I think they’re going to get really butthurt as the evening progresses. ---
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/231 "2026-11-04T02:24:58Z")
Shocking that NC is looking all blue. 14 seats and the senate race. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/232 "2026-11-04T02:25:27Z")
78% in SC and Andrews is leading by 7 points. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/233 "2026-11-04T02:26:19Z")
Keisha lance bottoms has won the gov. race!!! ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/234 "2026-11-04T02:26:55Z")
Hern (R) wins OK, which is a hold. ---
**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/235 "2026-11-04T02:28:19Z")
In referenda, Massachusetts voters were asked if they wanted to make pot illegal again and relax gun control laws. They said FUCK NO! ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/236 "2026-11-04T02:28:39Z")
I can’t believe it but Graham looks fucked. SC going blue? ---
**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/237 "2026-11-04T02:28:57Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > Keisha lance bottoms has won the gov. race!!! Which state? ---
**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/238 "2026-11-04T02:29:07Z")
Georgia ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/239 "2026-11-04T02:29:26Z")
Georgia, which gives Ossoff an opening to run for president without handing his Senate seat to a Republican. ---
**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/240 "2026-11-04T02:30:31Z")
Thanks. I think I remember seeing that earlier in the thread, I just didn’t remember the name. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=11) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=13)