# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 15

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/281 "2026-11-04T02:51:22Z")

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Hinojosa up 18 points in TX.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/282 "2026-11-04T02:52:21Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Elon Musk has not tweeted in five hours. He may be on a plane to Moscow as we speak.

I think that flushing sound I hear might be all those millions of dollars he spent on the GOP going down the toilet.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/283 "2026-11-04T02:52:24Z")

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Hagerty (R) retains TN.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/284 "2026-11-04T02:52:32Z")

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Texas is going crazy. The votes are outstanding in the big urban centres and Talarico is leading by a lot in same day voting.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/285 "2026-11-04T02:52:41Z")

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NY state Republican candidate for Governor lost his home district by 9.

Hochul easily won reelection as Governor for New York.

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**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/286 "2026-11-04T02:53:26Z")

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Oiga!

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/287 "2026-11-04T02:54:26Z")

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OH is tightening. 68% in, Brown up 1.9%.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/288 "2026-11-04T02:55:00Z")

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I’m at the hospital with my mom (not where I wanted to be for Super Bowl Tuesday). I see Abdul is ahead by about 10 with about 18% reporting. Can someone give me an idea of what they’re saying about this race? Are the projections still looking good for him?

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**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/289 "2026-11-04T02:55:03Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Elon Musk has not tweeted in five hours. He may be on a plane to Moscow as we speak.

Not a rocket to Mars? Wimp!

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**Author:** ![Biotop](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/biotop/32/321_2.png) [@Biotop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Biotop)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/290 "2026-11-04T02:55:31Z")

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We have a weekly protest of Trump and ilk here in little Black Mountain NC every Monday. Anywhere from 50 to 100 folks standing on the street corner holding our signs. The response from passers-by has been more and more positive over the last few months, and the air this past Monday was absolutely electric. Can’t wait for our celebration next week.

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/291 "2026-11-04T02:57:28Z")

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It looks like most of the votes that haven’t been counted yet are in the big cities, though, so I’d expect more blue votes soon.

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**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/292 "2026-11-04T02:57:42Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> If only Charlie Kirk were alive to see this 😢

If only Mitch McConnell were alive to see this.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/293 "2026-11-04T02:58:18Z")

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> [@Steve\_MB](#):
>
> If only Mitch McConnell were alive to see this

He’s only mostly dead.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/294 "2026-11-04T02:58:30Z")

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Last I saw Toledo was barely counted.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/295 "2026-11-04T02:58:42Z")

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Andrews wins SC! Second flip.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/296 "2026-11-04T02:58:47Z")

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> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#):
>
> I’m at the hospital with my mom (not where I wanted to be for Super Bowl Tuesday). I see Abdul is ahead by about 10 with about 18% reporting. Can someone give me an idea of what they’re saying about this race? Are the projections still looking good for him?

Sending you and your mom best wishes.

The NYT “needle” has been all over it, all night. They have Abdul at an 81% chance to win, considering the current count, and the votes left to tally.

[https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/11/03/us/elections/results-michigan-us-senate.html](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/11/03/us/elections/results-michigan-us-senate.html)

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**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/297 "2026-11-04T02:59:25Z")

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> [@thorny\_locust](#):
>
> Ellman D is leading Tenney R 60.2 to 39.7!!!
> 
> OK, that’s with only 2.9% in, and this district was gerrymandered out the wazoo to keep Tenney safe. I don’t suppose it’ll hold. But let me enjoy it while it lasts

With 26.7% in Ellman’s still leading, 54.3 to 45.7. Do I dare to hope?

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**Author:** ![Exapno\_Mapcase](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/exapno_mapcase/32/1051_2.png) [@Exapno\_Mapcase](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Exapno_Mapcase)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/298 "2026-11-04T02:59:44Z")

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I’ve been watching the incredibly low numbers for Republicans everywhere. No doubt whatsoever in my mind that millions of Republicans are simply staying home. They aren’t switching parties; they’re just furious and disgusted at the current scene.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/299 "2026-11-04T02:59:53Z")

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Keep in mind Trump won SC by double digits.

This is a huge flip.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/300 "2026-11-04T03:00:29Z")

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Democrats are now +5 in the House. They need +3 for a majority, so if this holds, things are looking good.

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