# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 19

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/361 "2026-11-04T03:30:18Z")

</div>

> [@Gatopescado](#):
>
> MTG was on CNN today calling for his removal from office.

[assuming the early calls all hold and the western states hold their own]

I’m declaring it now. He won’t last past March. Take your pick: illness (25th’ed) or death, enough Goop senators cross over to vote him out, or he just buggers out to Moscow or someplace without even giving us the goddamn common courtesy of a resignation speech.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/362 "2026-11-04T03:30:38Z")

</div>

Can’t you people count votes _faster_?!, Wednesdays and Thursdays I have to go to the office and for that I have to wake up 6:30 AM, it’s already 12:20! I’m older now and can’t function very well without at least 6 hours of sleep…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/363 "2026-11-04T03:30:51Z")

</div>

> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Something called “Decision Desk” has called it.

Decision Desk has been around since at least 2016, I used to subscribe to them. They’re pretty good, and by good I mean heavy analytics.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/364 "2026-11-04T03:30:52Z")

</div>

Even though it’s like 1994, the Dems need to remember this win isn’t because they offered a vision Americans agreed with, but because the other side was so openly corrupt and incompetent.

Dems need to form their own “Contract With America”, and soon.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/365 "2026-11-04T03:31:23Z")

</div>

Keep this to election day please.

**Moderating:**

There other threads for such.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/366 "2026-11-04T03:31:45Z")

</div>

> [@Frodo](#):
>
> Can’t you people count votes _faster_?!, Wednesdays and Thursdays I have to go to the office and for that I have to wake up 6:30 AM, it’s already 12:20! I’m older now and can’t function very well without at least 6 hours of sleep…

Just to wake you up a bit, I’ll tell you I saw your man live two nights ago and he scored an annoyingly fantastic goal.

(now back to cautiously celebrating)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/367 "2026-11-04T03:31:45Z")

</div>

38% in NE, Dan Osborn (I) up by 10%. There is no Democrat in this race, so Osborn is the de facto Dem candidate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/368 "2026-11-04T03:32:10Z")

</div>

> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> It’s beginning to look a lot like Smurfmas  
> On Election Day!

Some may view Papa Smurf as conflicted. I see it differently— the old man is rubbing it in.

_“Not far now …”_

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/369 "2026-11-04T03:32:23Z")

</div>

Are any of the state legislatures also up for election in the blue swinging states? If so then maybe they will flip as well and overturn their US House gerrymanders. That is, if they can get enough over 50% of the state vote to overcome their state house gerrymanders.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/370 "2026-11-04T03:33:01Z")

</div>

Kate Riga at TPM posted that all four Texas Supreme Court seats are leaning D, and the statehouse itself could be a possible flip. Holy crap, that would be historic!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/371 "2026-11-04T03:33:56Z")

</div>

> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Something called “Decision Desk” has called it.

They have right wing ties but I do not think that matters.

My recollection is that on average they call races just a bit earlier than the rest.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/372 "2026-11-04T03:35:05Z")

</div>

Florida held republican control of the state. They lost their super majority in the state congress and senate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/373 "2026-11-04T03:35:16Z")

</div>

Just saw from the Daily Show:

“Touching: Darlene Graham honors her brother, the late Lindsay Graham, by finishing on bottom.”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/374 "2026-11-04T03:35:23Z")

</div>

NBC has adjusted its House projection upward to 248-187.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sylvanz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/fbc32d/32.png) [@Sylvanz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sylvanz)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/375 "2026-11-04T03:35:29Z")

</div>

Heh, I bet.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/376 "2026-11-04T03:36:11Z")

</div>

> [@Ludovic](#):
>
> Are any of the state legislatures also up for election in the blue swinging states? If so then maybe they will flip as well and overturn their US House gerrymanders.

The DNC spent a bunch of money on Down ballot races.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/377 "2026-11-04T03:36:19Z")

</div>

Tom Cotton (R) retains AR.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sylvanz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/fbc32d/32.png) [@Sylvanz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sylvanz)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/378 "2026-11-04T03:37:13Z")

</div>

MS Now is prediction235 to something I don’t remember the r number.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/379 "2026-11-04T03:38:55Z")

</div>

> [@Frodo](#):
>
> Can’t you people count votes _faster_?!, Wednesdays and Thursdays I have to go to the office and for that I have to wake up 6:30 AM, it’s already 12:20! I’m older now and can’t function very well without at least 6 hours of sleep…

The Democrats won both Houses but not with veto-proof majorities.

Go to bed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/380 "2026-11-04T03:38:56Z")

</div>

My district, MO-02, appears likely to be a flip from Ann Wagner (R) to Fred Wellman (D). I never thought I would see it…

Also it looks like the state is going to reject the abortion ban _and_ the gerrymandered maps the state legislature tried to force through.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=18)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=20)
