# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/21 "2026-11-03T22:00:17Z")

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6pm EST. The avalanche has started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/22 "2026-11-03T22:03:57Z")

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Isn’t it 5:03 pm EST now?

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/23 "2026-11-03T22:04:28Z")

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It is.

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**Author:** ![Cardigan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cardigan/32/187_2.png) [@Cardigan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Cardigan)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/24 "2026-11-03T22:05:03Z")

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I’m guessing maybe they’re referring to exit polls

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**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/25 "2026-11-03T22:08:04Z")

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Maybe they missed the time change?

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/26 "2026-11-03T22:09:10Z")

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Yep, I was surprised that “how important is government corruption to you and your vote” came back 90% Very or Somewhat Important, vs 10% Not Really Important.

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/27 "2026-11-03T22:09:20Z")

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Since Arizona doesn’t change I forgot to account for the hour difference. Sorry.

In other news, the local theater shows on Tuesday the Tuesday Night Classic. This week’s is _Chinatown_. I don’t know if there was commentary meant by that or not.

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**Author:** ![kambuckta](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/53a042/32.png) [@kambuckta](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kambuckta)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/28 "2026-11-03T22:13:50Z")

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Praying here downunder that sensible (and blue) heads prevail this election.

Good luck folks!

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**Author:** ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/29 "2026-11-03T22:22:13Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> What are some good online resources with with to follow the goings-on of the day/evening in detail. . .breaking news related to the election, and later, vote counts? I’m not usually a live media person.

I’m planning on watching the live election coverage on Talking Points Memo (TPM)'s YouTube channel. Their live stream begins at 8pm ET. And of course I’ll be following the thread here.

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**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/30 "2026-11-03T22:30:59Z")

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> [@zimaane](#):
>
> New York Times is making their election updates available to all

NPR’s always are. Along with everything else.

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**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/31 "2026-11-03T22:40:31Z")

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Yeah, I’ll be following events here live as well, and I like having the NYT updates, but I was also looking for a live video broadcast that spoke about breaking events and how the votes usually come in (lots of red/blue votes late from certain precincts, etc). I’ll look at the Talking Points Memo broadcast.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/32 "2026-11-03T22:46:47Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> 8 pm: Florida closes. They count quickly

[![](https://thumb.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/62/Thomas_C._Lea_III_-_That_Two-Thousand_Yard_Stare_-_Original.jpg/500px-Thomas_C._Lea_III_-_That_Two-Thousand_Yard_Stare_-_Original.jpg) ](https://thumb.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/62/Thomas_C._Lea_III_-_That_Two-Thousand_Yard_Stare_-_Original.jpg/500px-Thomas_C._Lea_III_-_That_Two-Thousand_Yard_Stare_-_Original.jpg)

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/33 "2026-11-03T22:50:34Z")

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Ohio here. Come on Sherrod Brown!🙏

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/34 "2026-11-03T23:19:04Z")

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Per CNN - very early (29% reported) in IN-5, and Ford (D) is pulling 64% of the vote, which would be an overperformance.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/35 "2026-11-03T23:19:21Z")

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Galen Druke:

> Happy “1% of the vote tallied in Kentucky” for those who celebrate!

Early returns looking great for Democrats. But it’s 1%.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/36 "2026-11-03T23:26:57Z")

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Lakshya Jain says

> **This is as bad of a start as you could have expected for Republicans.** The early ballot drops in Indiana show a double-digit swing towards Democrats from 2024. If there was a tsunami, this is the way it’d start. At 6:24, Victoria Spartz is in real trouble of losing Trump +17 IN-05. We’ll see how it continues, but this might be an ugly night for Republicans if it’s mirrored elsewhere.

(happy dance)

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**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/37 "2026-11-03T23:29:05Z")

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All fingers crossed. And the toes.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/38 "2026-11-03T23:42:39Z")

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Sending power thoughts to Talarico.

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/39 "2026-11-03T23:45:16Z")

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My appendages are crossed as well. I remember early in the 2024 thread reports were coming in that the NC governor’s race would go to the Dems which was taken to be indicative of NC and thus the rest of the country shifting blueward, but it was really just John Stein being really popular and outperforming (and, granted, actually winning). Still, it’s certainly better than bad initial news.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/40 "2026-11-03T23:51:16Z")

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This is the worst part of the night when you have two tiny data points and are trying to extrapolate an entire nation out of it.

In about 10 minutes we will likely start getting much more, which will confirm or refute the early signs. Or, perhaps more likely, just muddle it.

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