# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 27

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/521 "2026-11-04T04:46:40Z")

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10 House seats up for grabs in Washington State. (No Senate or Governor election this year.) So far 7 are called D and the other 3 are too close to call. Though it looks like 2 will go R and one D, for 8 total seats for D.

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/522 "2026-11-04T04:47:07Z")

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> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> Those two are the ones who we don’t know how they might caucus.

Do we really not know? If they were hedging before they will be knocking at the door now. Much easier to on committees caucusing with the majority than not I would guess.

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**Author:** ![BippityBoppityBoo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bippityboppityboo/32/5745_2.png) [@BippityBoppityBoo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BippityBoppityBoo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/523 "2026-11-04T04:47:30Z")

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> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> We’re likely to have another independent in Nebraska and possibly one from Idaho. Those two are the ones who we don’t know how they might caucus.

If Osborn wins his Nebraska seat he will caucus with Democrats.

[from a Nebraska voter/polling place worker just home from counting ballots]

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/524 "2026-11-04T04:48:00Z")

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> [@Atamasama](#):
>
> 10 House seats up for grabs in Washington State.

I’ve been trying to look for local results, but KING 5’s website is down right now.

The most exciting race we’ve got going here in Olympia is for county sheriff, which I really hope Derek Sanders retains. He’s got to be the most honest and transparent cop I’ve ever heard of.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/525 "2026-11-04T04:48:17Z")

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Not only humans are rejoicing tonight. The voters of Washington, DC, have voted to outlaw foie gras.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/526 "2026-11-04T04:48:34Z")

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Thanks!

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/527 "2026-11-04T04:49:17Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> Minnesota does not look good for the Dems.

The NYT has it as \>95% chance of Dem victory.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/528 "2026-11-04T04:49:37Z")

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> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> The GOP pissed off Texans more than I thought possible.

Almost ten years ago, in a discussion about sanctuary cities:

> [@What should happen to Democrat sanctuary cities?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-should-happen-to-democrat-sanctuary-cities/780031/64):
>
> Sure [Sarcasm] Donald Trump’s deportation plan would be an economic nightmare And naturally, as The republicans in California found out, Hispanics then become more involved and never vote Republican, Say hello to Blue Arizona and Blue Texas.

[Republicans in the 80s decided to FAFO in California about immigrants and the result then was a Blue California]

I was off by a decade… The change was faster that I expected, but predictable.

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/529 "2026-11-04T04:50:18Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> Minnesota does not look good for the Dems.

Large urban areas yet to report. NYT estimates over 95% chance of a D win.

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/530 "2026-11-04T04:50:37Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> I’ve been trying to look for local results, but KING 5’s website is down right now.

I’m using this site right now:

> **[Washington U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live Results](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/washington-house-results)**
>
> Get live results from the Washington House 2026 midterm election race as the GOP looks to maintain its congressional majority.

So far it looks like the millionaire tax repeal is failing by a lot and the “parental rights” initiative is also failing (though closer). Sadly the ban on trans girls in sports is winning (though that initiative is so screwed up I have a feeling it won’t survive a court challenge as written).

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/531 "2026-11-04T04:50:37Z")

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> [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](#):
>
> The NYT has it as \>95% chance of Dem victory.

Tafoya (R) is up 6 points with 44% in, but considering that the linchpin of her entire campaign was “Minnesota sucks and I’m ashamed to live here”, I’d be surprised if that holds.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/532 "2026-11-04T04:51:50Z")

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Missouri overturned the proposition that would have made abortion illegal

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/533 "2026-11-04T04:52:02Z")

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Washington: [Washington Ballot Measures Midterm Vote 2026: Live Election Results](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/washington-ballot-measures#measure-biological-sex-requirement-for-school-sports)

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**Author:** ![Julius\_Henry](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/8797f3/32.png) [@Julius\_Henry](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Julius_Henry)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/534 "2026-11-04T05:00:45Z")

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Missouri Republican Incumbent Congresswoman Ann Wagner looks to be losing her re-election bid to Fred Wellman (D). Missouri is also passing (for the second time in as many elections) a Constitutional Amendment to protect abortion rights, and another to make it more difficult for the state legislature to overturn citizen initiative ballot measures.

And, on a very local note, my representative to the Missouri House will be a Democrat for the first time since the 1970s.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/535 "2026-11-04T05:00:45Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> Every single statewide office in Texas is currently on track to flip from Republican to Democrat.

For this to be accomplished in a single election would be astounding. I grew up in TX and go visit family a couple of times a year. I’ve known they have moved to more centrist/left positions but I had no idea anything like this was possible in general. Amazing times.

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**Author:** ![fachverwirrt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/94ad74/32.png) [@fachverwirrt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fachverwirrt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/536 "2026-11-04T05:01:01Z")

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Ann Wagner is no longer my representative\*, which is nice.

\*As of January 3.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/537 "2026-11-04T05:01:23Z")

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If everything stays the way it is with the not-yet-called races, then we should be looking at a 56-44 Senate.

Not filibuster-proof, but a solid majority.

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**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/538 "2026-11-04T05:01:34Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> Every single statewide office in Texas is currently on track to flip from Republican to Democrat.

The Republicans have done their best to turn Texas into one of those shithole countries that Trump is always talking about.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/539 "2026-11-04T05:02:14Z")

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Which was, of course, a repeat of an amendment we literally passed just 2 years ago.

We also passed a new amendment that makes it much harder for the legislature to put these kinds of things on the ballot in the future.

Oh, and we threw out the GOP gerrymander.

Nice to see a few fellow MO-02’ers on here!

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/540 "2026-11-04T05:02:47Z")

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MN now a comfortable D lead

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