# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 30

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/581 "2026-11-04T05:24:57Z")

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Alright, I’m gonna start making enchiladas while I continue to watch the results come in, but this has been a good night.

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/582 "2026-11-04T05:25:14Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> NE is now a dead tie with 56% in.

I don’t think you can really call that a tie because the NYT gives the GOP a \>95% chance to win. The “running score” means very little. I think it’s better to watch the projections from the NYT, AP or other reputable outlets. That way you can have a far more realistic look at any candidates chances.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/583 "2026-11-04T05:25:17Z")

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> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#):
>
> Some numbers from MI just moved Abdul up by almost 7 points with about 60% now in!

CNN still shows him up by .9%?

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/584 "2026-11-04T05:28:22Z")

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So just AK and MI left that can go either way?

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/585 "2026-11-04T05:29:20Z")

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As of right now, Dems lead in all eight Colorado Congressional races! I am Rocky Mountain High!

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/586 "2026-11-04T05:29:22Z")

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Talarico now giving a victory sermon about David and Goliath.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/587 "2026-11-04T05:29:48Z")

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Abdul is pulling away. The Hill’s Decision Desk shows 60% in for Michigan and Abdul is up by 6.5.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/588 "2026-11-04T05:29:59Z")

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TN-4 where Trump won by 24 (!) points might become a D pickup, 99% in the Dem candidate leads by 280 votes.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/589 "2026-11-04T05:30:17Z")

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> [@commasense](#):
>
> It would be great if Alaska went blue, but it will be at least a hour before we know, and probably longer.

Good point, I was skipping that race. oops.

> [@JKellyMap](#):
>
> The fact that one could call Nebraska a “key race” is astounding. It says everything about this amazing day.

It is leaning R, with 59% counted.

> [@kenobi\_65](#):
>
> MS NOW is reporting that Susan Collins has conceded to Troy Jackson.

Wow.

> [@GreysonCarlisle](#):
>
> Okay, now I’m pouring that drink. Root beer and Fireball.

🙀 🤮

> [@hajario](#):
>
> So just AK and MI left that can go either way?

No, there is Nebraska. The R has a slim lead.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/590 "2026-11-04T05:30:21Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> CNN still shows him up by .9%?

The AP is, too. 49.5% - 48.6%, with only 50% in, as of 12:29am Eastern.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/591 "2026-11-04T05:30:47Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> Holy shit! If we got rid of anyone, I very much wanted it to be Collins.

How about this for getting rid of someone: Lauren Boebert is down by 2 points (49.4 to 47.6) with 78% of the vote in.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/592 "2026-11-04T05:30:57Z")

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ALL POWER TO THE PEOPLE’S GLORIOUS REVOLUTIONARY PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/593 "2026-11-04T05:31:31Z")

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D-194–r- 115 house

D-52– r- 40 senate

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/594 "2026-11-04T05:32:09Z")

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Go to The Hill. They’ve got more current numbers.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/595 "2026-11-04T05:32:14Z")

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Talarico is speaking. On the front of his lectern, it says, “Love thy neighbor.” He is completely serious abiut that.

A new day.

🙂

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sylvanz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/fbc32d/32.png) [@Sylvanz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sylvanz)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/596 "2026-11-04T05:34:30Z")

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MS Now has put the Senate race as leaning Democrat.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/597 "2026-11-04T05:35:02Z")

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Which one?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/598 "2026-11-04T05:35:10Z")

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> [@Sylvanz](#):
>
> MS Now has put the Senate race as leaning Democrat.

Which one?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/599 "2026-11-04T05:35:36Z")

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Mississippi NOW?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/600 "2026-11-04T05:35:48Z")

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In Washington State, 8 of the 10 House seats are called for Democrats. Of the 2 left, one seems sure to go Republican but the last one is only 1 point apart with only slightly more than half votes counted so it could still go either way.

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