# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 36

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**Author:** ![GreysonCarlisle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a87d85/32.png) [@GreysonCarlisle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GreysonCarlisle)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/701 "2026-11-04T07:05:26Z")

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Shah (D) is leading the AZ District 1 house race over Feely (R), 54.86% to 43.26%.  
74% reporting.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/702 "2026-11-04T07:06:39Z")

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In the NY Times:

> In Adam Hamilton’s Senate win in Kansas, two counties in the western part of the state — Finney and Seward — shifted around 50 percentage points to the left. Both are majority-Hispanic counties and are home to a large number of meat packing plants. The area is known as the Golden Triangle of Meat Packaging.

50 points!!!

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**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/703 "2026-11-04T07:06:41Z")

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> [@Biffster](#):
>
> Now if they decide to impeach the orange felon shitgibbon, they can actually follow through with consequences.

Not without getting multiple Republican Senators to vote to convict. The GOP will have at least 42 seats in the next Senate, and it takes 67 votes in the Senate to convict on an impeachment.

(Edit: I corrected myself, as I’d initially written it takes 60.)

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**Author:** ![Ancient\_Nerd](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ed655f/32.png) [@Ancient\_Nerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ancient_Nerd)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/704 "2026-11-04T07:07:32Z")

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> [@kenobi\_65](#):
>
> it takes 60 votes in the Senate to convict on an impeachment.

Actually, it takes 67.

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**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/705 "2026-11-04T07:08:08Z")

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> [@Ancient\_Nerd](#):
>
> Actually, it takes 67.

Your post was simultaneous with me correcting my post. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Ancient\_Nerd](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ed655f/32.png) [@Ancient\_Nerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ancient_Nerd)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/706 "2026-11-04T07:08:44Z")

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> [@kenobi\_65](#):
>
> Your post was simultaneous with me

Great minds think alike.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/707 "2026-11-04T07:09:44Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> Major props to Chuck Schumer, who called out Colon as a promising race and diverted funds and effort to Mississippi.

Nitpick: it’s Colom.

The AP hasn’t updated the counts there in quite while. Still a 28-vote lead.

In CO-04, Boebert continues to trail, now by 1.6 percentage points with 80% vote in.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/708 "2026-11-04T07:09:46Z")

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54.3% of AK is in

Petola (D): 78,961 - 48.1%  
Dan S. Sullivan (R): 78,709 - 48.0%

One of the Independents is Daniel J Sullivan Jr with 2,693 - 1.6%  
This is the basis of a potential lawsuit.

The Republicans did the same thing with a House race in Texas and it probably cost the Dems the seat there.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/709 "2026-11-04T07:11:12Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> Nitpick: it’s Colom.

Fuck, until my autocorrect learns his name that’s gonna be a recurring problem.

> [@dtilque](#):
>
> The AP hasn’t updated the counts there in quite while. Still a 28-vote lead.

Never let anyone tell you that your vote doesn’t matter!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ancient\_Nerd](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ed655f/32.png) [@Ancient\_Nerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ancient_Nerd)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/710 "2026-11-04T07:13:32Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> a 28-vote lead

Let the chads dangle.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/711 "2026-11-04T07:13:33Z")

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Anyone notice that Alabama has its first trans legislator?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/712 "2026-11-04T07:18:02Z")

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> [@dtilque](#):
>
> The AP hasn’t updated the counts there in quite while. Still a 28-vote lead.

From another source, I heard they’ve stopped counting the votes for the night in at least one of the MS counties in this district. Quite possibly in all of them.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/713 "2026-11-04T07:18:06Z")

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Dr. Senator Abdulrahmad Mohamed El-Sayed: “To AIPAC who spent $42 million against us, thank you for giving me the opportunity to beat you twice”.

I love this man so much.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/714 "2026-11-04T07:18:13Z")

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I think maybe Michigan pollworkers and county clerks have gone to bed - no more updates until tomorrow. Alaska, where it’s not as late at night yet, is still counting, but not for much longer (until tomorrow). I’m guessing.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/715 "2026-11-04T07:20:31Z")

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97% in and Colom is leading MS by **28** votes.

This one’s gonna be a nailbiter.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/716 "2026-11-04T07:21:48Z")

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Democrats won that back and forth gerrymandering battle handily. The Republicans failed to clip most of the seats they gerrymandered - I think they got two? Meanwhile, every single retributively gerrymandered seat in California went to the Dems.

This is what that blue wave that never materialized would have been like.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/717 "2026-11-04T07:21:59Z")

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Nate Silver said that the remaining MS ballots may be largely provisional which typically tend towards Democrats.

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**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/718 "2026-11-04T07:27:21Z")

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I thought Alaska had ranked-choice voting. Doesn’t that pretty much shoot the whole cunning, “fake Dan Sullivan” plan in the foot?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/719 "2026-11-04T07:28:15Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> Doesn’t that pretty much shoot the whole cunning, “fake Dan Sullivan” plan in the foot?

It do.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 7:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/720 "2026-11-04T07:28:33Z")

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Great question. I don’t understand well enough how it works to answer that

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