# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/61 "2026-11-04T00:32:10Z")

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Oh wow! That is amazing!

Ms now is still leaning dem for ossoff.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/62 "2026-11-04T00:32:22Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Fearless Leader has announced that he is turning the election coverage off because the Fox News anchor has an annoying voice.

Uh oh, someone’s getting fired.

> [@Smapti](#):
>
> NBC calls GA for Ossoff.

Ossoff results are looking great.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/63 "2026-11-04T00:32:55Z")

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NBC just called it for Ossoff.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/64 "2026-11-04T00:33:18Z")

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Looks like Bottoms is also winning, which could be relevant to Ossoff’s 2028 chances. More immediately, Georgia might start accepting Federal subsidies for their citizens on Medicaid, which is kind of a big deal.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/65 "2026-11-04T00:33:45Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> Uh oh, someone’s getting fired.

I think a LOT of people are getting fired tonight.😁

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/66 "2026-11-04T00:35:56Z")

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Around 60% counted in many congressional districts in Florida and the vote is very close to 50/50 in many of them. Gonna be some real nailbiters.

And probably some recounts.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/67 "2026-11-04T00:36:54Z")

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Does that mean that the Ds are over performing?

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/68 "2026-11-04T00:37:21Z")

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That is what the big boards are showing.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/69 "2026-11-04T00:37:36Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> Florida

> [@Babale](#):
>
> recounts

[![](https://i.imgur.com/lhZac3R.jpg?1) ](https://i.imgur.com/lhZac3R.jpg?1)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/70 "2026-11-04T00:38:20Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> Does that mean that the Ds are over performing?

It’s looking good so far but it’s very early, is how I’d put it.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/71 "2026-11-04T00:39:16Z")

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Looks like Dems are winning a couple deep red Congressional seats, IN-5 and KY-6, both of which voted for Trump by at least 15 points. So it seems safe to say we aren’t _unde_rperforming!

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/72 "2026-11-04T00:39:24Z")

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> [@Babale](#):
>
> Around 60% counted in many congressional districts in Florida and the vote is very close to 50/50 in many of them. Gonna be some real nailbiters.
> 
> And probably some recounts.

Probably not, because a large percentage of the outstanding votes are in the heavily Republican Florida panhandle. Those votes haven’t been counted yet because the polls are still open, due to being on central rather than eastern time.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/73 "2026-11-04T00:39:35Z")

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On Silver’s blog they are saying that very early results are consistent with polling not having discounted Republicans

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/74 "2026-11-04T00:41:05Z")

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Early results in Ohio looking good for Brown, even better for Acton.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/75 "2026-11-04T00:43:35Z")

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One thing mentioned on Silver’s blog and relevant to FL so far is that the Latinx shift to the Republicans has strongly reversed. No need to speculate on why that might be

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/76 "2026-11-04T00:43:58Z")

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Andrews (SC Senate) is now a 3:1 favorite on prediction markets, for what that’s worth.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/77 "2026-11-04T00:44:29Z")

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Florida is starting to seesaw.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/78 "2026-11-04T00:44:32Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> One thing mentioned on Silver’s blog and relevant to FL so far is that the Latinx shift to the Republicans has strongly reversed. No need to speculate on why that might be

Yes, but even if Latinos have reversed and gone heavily D, the panhandle has fewer Latinos, and has not yet been counted. I’ll keep my fingers crossed, but I’d be very surprised if Florida goes blue.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/79 "2026-11-04T00:47:00Z")

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No argument there but maybe some House flips

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 12:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/80 "2026-11-04T00:47:15Z")

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House is currently 11-8 in Democrats’ favor.

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