# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 40

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**Author:** ![romansperson](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/romansperson/32/17100_2.png) [@romansperson](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/romansperson)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/781 "2026-11-04T14:09:20Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> And it looks like Democrats are poised to take the majority in the NC House of Representatives.

This is so sweet - if the numbers hold, NC will have flipped a total of SIX Congressional seats. Crazy.

Our state house has also gone blue - another completely unexpected result - and the state senate is close - things currently stand at 24 Dem and 23 Rep, with three uncalled seats.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/782 "2026-11-04T14:09:55Z")

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Any idea if this favors one side or the other?

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**Author:** ![wguy123](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wguy123/32/3161_2.png) [@wguy123](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wguy123)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/783 "2026-11-04T14:11:59Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Risch (R) retains in ID.

Idaho remained solidly backwoods red. They love oppressing women and overwhelmingly voted to keep abortion as illegal as possible (don’t tread on me is all lip-service). And most importantly, Idaho now has a state gun.

🙄

My biggest surprise was the morons didn’t think to allow a write-in because I know the heavily idolized AR15 would’ve won in an absolute landslide.

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**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/784 "2026-11-04T14:12:14Z")

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If neither of the top candidates gets 50%, the question is, who did the majority of the voters for the other Dan Sullivan (now in last place) pick as their second choice?

I have no idea why people would have voted for him. Confused him with the “real” one? Protest vote? If so, against whom? Anyone have any idea?

Also, in MS, if there’s no recount, ballot curing will become VERY important. That’s where voters whose early or mail-in ballots were disqualified for some reason (signature mismatch, missing ID, wrong envelope, etc.) take steps to “cure” or fix the problem.

For the last couple weeks my wife has spent six to eight hours a day calling people in states across the country to help people cure their ballots. I’m pretty sure MS and AK will be their focus today.

Of course, in MS there was a Black independent candidate who got 20,000 votes. If he hadn’t run, chances are good Colom would have won hands down.

Likewise, in MT, a dem actually gave the win to the Republican. From the AP:

> Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, a former president of the University of Montana, has prolific fundraising and the backing of former Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, who lost re-election in 2024. Bodnar and some Democratic lawmakers have pushed Democrat Alani Bankhead, a retired U.S. Air Force lieutenant colonel, to exit the race to clear the field for Bodnar but she refused to do so.

Bankhead got almost 50,000 votes which probably would have put Bodnar over the top.

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/785 "2026-11-04T14:13:34Z")

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> [@wguy123](#):
>
> And most importantly, Idaho now has a state gun.

Well, don’t keep us hanging about this super important political issue… Which gun won the race? 🙄

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**Author:** ![Dorjan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dorjan/32/12440_2.png) [@Dorjan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dorjan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/786 "2026-11-04T14:24:26Z")

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Still counting, I think, but the Winchester Model 1873 is in the lead.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/787 "2026-11-04T14:25:05Z")

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it looks mixed, not like michigan where the votes were coming from around detroit; this is all over the state, not in one area. waiting on mail-in/absentee and 15,000 provisional outstanding. for the provisional they have until nov. 10th to cure.

43 vote lead at the moment.

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**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/788 "2026-11-04T14:26:04Z")

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Wowza. I recall how devastated I was in 2016, never thinking it would get WORSE in 2024.

The only downer for me is from the Florida (where I lived for 50 years mas or menos) special Senate election, Dem lost by ~2 points. Florida used to be only slightly pink, Clinton won it once Obama twice, but one of my sisters says it’s all the MAGA imports from the Northeast who have loaded the GOP side of the scale, and pissing off the Hispanics there wasn’t enough to turn the tide in this state at least. Apparently the DNC spent very little time and money in there, tho it did apparently lose its state supermajorities.

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**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/789 "2026-11-04T14:26:48Z")

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> [@Dorjan](#):
>
> Still counting, I think, but the Winchester Model 1873 is in the lead.

That’s a solid choice.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/790 "2026-11-04T14:28:25Z")

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> [@commasense](#):
>
> I have no idea why people would have voted for him. Confused him with the “real” one? Protest vote? If so, against whom? Anyone have any idea?

More relevant is the 2.3% that went to Heikes who is another Republican. If Petola doesn’t get 50%+1, she’s cooked. Pundits seem to think that the 25% uncounted will sway left.

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**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/791 "2026-11-04T14:30:35Z")

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Not everyone puts in a 2nd choice and those that do aren’t always what you expect. She can certainly win with ~49

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**Author:** ![gnoitall](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/bb73d2/32.png) [@gnoitall](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gnoitall)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/792 "2026-11-04T14:34:22Z")

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Wikipedia’s article about that ballot item:

> **[2026 Idaho Official State Gun Question](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Idaho_Official_State_Gun_Question)**
>
> The 2026 Idaho Official State Gun Question is a legislatively referred advisory question that will be decided alongside the November 2026 elections in the US state of Idaho. Idaho voters will decide between six guns which they would prefer to be the official state gun in the non-binding referendum. As of 2023, ten U.S. states have an official state gun. On March 18, 2026, State Representative Jason Monks introduced House Bill 932, the bill containing the advisory question. Monks said the intentio...

However, I like the picture in the article.

[![](https://thumb.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4e/Sign_for_the_2026_Idaho_State_Gun_Question.jpg/1920px-Sign_for_the_2026_Idaho_State_Gun_Question.jpg?utm_source=en.wikipedia.org&utm_campaign=index&utm_content=thumbnail) ](https://thumb.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4e/Sign_for_the_2026_Idaho_State_Gun_Question.jpg/1920px-Sign_for_the_2026_Idaho_State_Gun_Question.jpg?utm_source=en.wikipedia.org&utm_campaign=index&utm_content=thumbnail)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/793 "2026-11-04T14:36:43Z")

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The stock market just opened and is reacting very positively to the news.

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**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/794 "2026-11-04T14:38:42Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> > [@commasense](#):
> >
> > I have no idea why people would have voted for him. Confused him with the “real” one? Protest vote? If so, against whom? Anyone have any idea?
> 
> More relevant is the 2.3% that went to Heikes who is another Republican. If Petola doesn’t get 50%+1, she’s cooked. Pundits seem to think that the 25% uncounted will sway left.

Yeah, I’m guessing that the Republican will win on the second choices.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/795 "2026-11-04T14:42:43Z")

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From Andy Borowitz:

# Record-setting Red Wave Appears on Oval Office Wall

[![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ku6u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4943bb7e-baed-438a-801d-74f14de83117_768x768.jpeg) ](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ku6u!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4943bb7e-baed-438a-801d-74f14de83117_768x768.jpeg)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/796 "2026-11-04T14:55:09Z")

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> [@Mahaloth](#):
>
> Shame they won’t get rid of Greg “I’m a little piss baby” Abbott.

I think it hadn’t occured to me that they might dump piss-baby, but they did! Wow.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/797 "2026-11-04T14:55:46Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> So far, the Dem candidate leads for Governor 55-42%.

I was wrong! He did lose, which is great for the state and nation.

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**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 2:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/798 "2026-11-04T14:59:30Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> The stock market just opened and is reacting very positively to the news.

SpaceX and Tesla are both down last I looked.

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/799 "2026-11-04T15:05:22Z")

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Re Idaho gun results, with 89 percent counted behind a NY Times paywall, the Winchester Model 1873 “Gun that Won the West” is up by six points. When you think about what it meant to win the west – not a good result for native Americans, or I’d say anyone.

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/800 "2026-11-04T15:07:08Z")

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> [@romansperson](#):
>
> This is so sweet - if the numbers hold, NC will have flipped a total of SIX Congressional seats. Crazy.
> 
> Our state house has also gone blue - another completely unexpected result - and the state senate is close - things currently stand at 24 Dem and 23 Rep, with three uncalled seats.

I love seeing the gerrymandering backfiring so hard after they spent so much time on it, and that nasty old racist Virginia Foxx lost by 99 votes…..sweet!

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