# USA Election Watch 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 41
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/801 "2026-11-04T15:08:50Z")
> [@Ann\_Hedonia](#): > > I love seeing the gerrymandering backfiring so hard after they spent so much time on it, Yeah, in this cycle, the gerrymandering resulted in a Total Lib Victory. Amazing. Our gerrymandering worked and theirs did not. ---
**Author:** ![gnoitall](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/bb73d2/32.png) [@gnoitall](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gnoitall)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/802 "2026-11-04T15:08:53Z")
> [@PhillyGuy](#): > > When you think about what it meant to win the west – not a good result for native Americans, or I’d say anyone. It’s an ancient trope, hailing back to shame-free white supremacy and untrammeled manifest destiny. What a lot of MAGA voters yearn for. That outcome says a lot about the electorate. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/803 "2026-11-04T15:10:09Z")
> [@Babale](#): > > Yeah, in this cycle, the gerrymandering resulted in a Total Lib Victory. Amazing. Our gerrymandering worked and theirs did not. We did ours only as a counter to theirs. Too bad Texas. Fuck around. Find out. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/804 "2026-11-04T15:10:44Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > We did ours only as a counter to theirs. Yes, which makes it even sweeter that ours worked and theirs didn’t. Instant karma. ---
**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/805 "2026-11-04T15:14:57Z")
Kansas Republicans have had a veto-proof majority in the state House for the last 16 years; the current breakdown is 88-37. Last night, however, the Dems flipped 20 seats and held the other 37, so next year it will be 68-57. A small step in the overall scheme of things, but pretty large here in Kansas. ---
**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/806 "2026-11-04T15:16:49Z")
The PA State Senate flipped to Democratic control for the first time since 1993. This should allow an increase in the minimum wage, still $7.25 a hour only because of PA Senate opposition to going up to $15 (gradual, but immediately to $11). And there are agricultural workers around here only getting that $7.25. ---
**Author:** ![Gordon\_G](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/3da27b/32.png) [@Gordon\_G](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gordon_G)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/807 "2026-11-04T15:26:34Z")
> [@purplehorseshoe](#): > > > [@Gordon\_G](#): > > > > Jeffrey Dahmer Vance > > Okay, that’s a new one to me. IIRC I heard it from Jon Stewart. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/808 "2026-11-04T15:28:30Z")
Also hapy to see Susan Collins lost. Is this the biggest wave in midterm history? ---
**Author:** ![JRDelirious](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jrdelirious/32/9531_2.png) [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/809 "2026-11-04T15:29:31Z")
> [@Babale](#): > > Our gerrymandering worked and theirs did not. My guess is they had counted on vote suppression plus expected Democrat own-goals to make it work. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/810 "2026-11-04T15:32:06Z")
What are the analysts saying about Boebert? Is she likely to be the loser? ---
**Author:** ![Gordon\_G](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/3da27b/32.png) [@Gordon\_G](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gordon_G)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/811 "2026-11-04T15:35:33Z")
> [@asterion](#): > > > [@hajario](#): > > > > The stock market just opened and is reacting very positively to the news. > > SpaceX and Tesla are both down last I looked. I click to finance.yahoo and see a headline that the market soared up due to the election, and another that it plummeted down due to election. In our brave new world, everything is click-bait. A tiny move in the market becomes “The Apocalypse begins!!” :-- How else can the baiters out-bail each other? [/only slight exaggeration] ---
**Author:** ![mozchron](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/c2a13f/32.png) [@mozchron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mozchron)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/812 "2026-11-04T15:36:55Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > What are the analysts saying about Boebert? Is she likely to be the loser? Boebert currently losing by about 1.5% with 94% of the votes tallied. ---
**Author:** ![GESancMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gesancman/32/2923_2.png) [@GESancMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GESancMan)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/813 "2026-11-04T15:43:25Z")
Regarding the Oregon Governor race: for the last couple of months the media has been doing their usual “OMFG! It’s a horse race! They’re neck-and-neck! It could go either way!!” thing. _Bullshit_, I thought. _There’s no way a republican stands a chance in this state._ And sure enough, every time I checked last night, Kotek had a comfortable lead. There was never anything to worry about, there was never any danger that the republican would win. I really wish the media would knock this crap off. But I know they never will. ---
**Author:** ![Kron](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kron/32/12444_2.png) [@Kron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kron)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/814 "2026-11-04T15:43:33Z")
> [@Gordon\_G](#): > > In our brave new world, everything is click-bait. A tiny move in the market becomes “The Apocalypse begins!!” Throughout the day, every day, I receive notifications on my phone along the lines of “X stock plummets: will it continue?” based on a 1.5% shift. ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/815 "2026-11-04T15:45:54Z")
> [@dtilque](#): > > They’ve also called three of the four NV House seats for Dems and a Dem is leading in the fourth district. That fourth district (NV 2, and my home) has never elected a Democrat before. Our delegation now is all blue, (including 2 female senators) and all state-level offices are now held by Dems. Amazing. ---
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/816 "2026-11-04T15:46:27Z")
Check it vs. 1974 most likely, special circumstances that time also. * * * * * * ETA as I was far from correct: For Senate seats it was 1946, with 12 of 46 flipping Republican. For House seats, it was by far 1894 during Grover Cleveland’s 2nd term. over 100 seats changed. Recently, in 2010, Obama lost 64 seats. ---
**Author:** ![wguy123](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wguy123/32/3161_2.png) [@wguy123](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wguy123)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/817 "2026-11-04T15:47:38Z")
> [@Ann\_Hedonia](#): > > nasty old racist Virginia Foxx lost by 99 votes > [@Mahaloth](#): > > Also hapy to see Susan Collins lost. > [@mozchron](#): > > Boebert currently losing by about 1.5% with 94% of the votes tallied. I really hope all of these hold. So, so glad to see the furrowed brows, loony racists, and vaping public handy nutjobs out. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/818 "2026-11-04T15:48:41Z")
> [@GESancMan](#): > > Regarding the Oregon Governor race: for the last couple of months the media has been doing their usual “OMFG! It’s a horse race! They’re neck-and-neck! It could go either way!!” thing. _Bullshit_, I thought. _There’s no way a republican stands a chance in this state._ And sure enough, every time I checked last night, Kotek had a comfortable lead. Yes, I was catching that through local coverage, which was about all I was paying attention to. Drazan had such an oversized presence on ads, too. When I saw the lead that Kotek had last night on the NBC website, I went to bed and slept just fine. ---
**Author:** ![zimaane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/a3d4f5/32.png) [@zimaane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zimaane)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 3:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/819 "2026-11-04T15:52:24Z")
It’s big, but probably not the biggest. A few examples - in 1994, the Republicans won 54 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate; in 2006, the Democrats gained 31 House seats and 6 Senate spots. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/820 "2026-11-04T16:07:14Z")
jordan and scalise are throwing in their hats for minority leader, after johnson said he would not go for minority leader. colom is speaking in miss. he sounds very confident. they must be doing some crazy math. msnow is saying there is a possible 43k votes in miss. mostly around jackson (colom) and tupelo (smith). [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=40) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=42)