# USA Election Watch 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 42
**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/821 "2026-11-04T16:08:08Z")
> [@asterion](#): > > Well, a lot are basically a lock either way. Well, a lot were basically _supposed_ to be locks for Republicans. šŸ˜„ (Granted, itā€™s extremely unlikely that there will be any errors in the other direction this cycleā€¦) ---
**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/822 "2026-11-04T16:09:34Z")
> [@Thing.Fish](#): > > Lauren Boebertā€™s race now a tossup. Oh please oh pleaseā€¦ Iā€™m adding Virginia Foxx (also in a dead heat) to that plea. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/823 "2026-11-04T16:11:34Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > colom is speaking in miss. he sounds very confident. they must be doing some crazy math. Many of the outstanding votes left to be counted are in heavily Dem areas where he is a popular presence. They know how many outstanding votes remain to be counted, and how many predictably will go to Colom. Heā€™s in a good position to win at this point. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/824 "2026-11-04T16:13:38Z")
tupelo is still in play. the push is getting provisional cured. 43k in play. ---
**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/825 "2026-11-04T16:18:43Z")
> [@GESancMan](#): > > Regarding the Oregon Governor race: for the last couple of months the media has been doing their usual ā€œOMFG! Itā€™s a horse race! Theyā€™re neck-and-neck! It could go either way!!ā€ thing. _Bullshit_, I thought. _Thereā€™s no way a republican stands a chance in this state._ I wasnā€™t too worried, but it shouldnā€™t have been as close as it was. As of now (75% of votes counted), Kotek leads by 6 points (versus polls that showed her ahead by ~3%). In a blue state in this election cycle, it should have been 20%. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/826 "2026-11-04T16:23:18Z")
Iā€™m still sitting here unbelieving of the Texas election results. It took Texas Republicans years after Wā€™s gubernatorial win in 1994 to consolidate power statewide. Democrats just knocked off every statewide officeholder (and look like they will take the State House) in a single election. It wasnā€™t even close ā€“ every single Republican statewide officeholder lost by seven points. Itā€™s breaking my brain a little bit. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/827 "2026-11-04T16:25:48Z")
schumer is saying the right things. i would like to see a new leader in senate. corey booker would be really good. ---
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/828 "2026-11-04T16:29:01Z")
> [@asterion](#): > > SpaceX and Tesla are both down last I looked. Not to mention my favorite source of Market Watch schadenfreuda. [https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/djt](https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/djt) Down 13% to $5.15 at posting ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/829 "2026-11-04T16:40:56Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > schumer is saying the right things. i would like to see a new leader in senate. corey booker would be really good. Iā€™d vote for Booker for president, but I guess he made some pretty anti-gun comments that people feel makes him a bad candidate. I hope he is the Senate leader. That would make a Black man in charge of house and Senate. Wow. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/830 "2026-11-04T16:50:07Z")
JD Vance on why they lost is partially correct, but it still smells of ā€œweā€™re all trying to find the guy who did this.ā€ [US midterm elections 2026 live updates: Vance blames Iran war for Republicansā€™ brutal midterms losses as Democrats retake Congress](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2026/nov/04/midterm-elections-results-senate-house-michigan-maine-mississippi-latest-updates?page=with%3Ablock-6aeb1f818f0804bcc28a4fe3) > ā€œThe real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone ā€¦ The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night,ā€ Vance said in a lengthy post on X. ā€œIf youā€™d like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, thatā€™s at least honest. > > ā€œEveryone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there,ā€ added Vance, who had reportedly been sceptical about the unresolved war, which Trump launched in February alongside Israel. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/831 "2026-11-04T16:52:21Z")
Thatā€™s like a morbidly obese guy blaming his health problems on the Snickers bar he ate after lunch today. ---
**Author:** ![Kent\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kent_clark/32/105_2.png) [@Kent\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kent_Clark)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 4:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/832 "2026-11-04T16:58:16Z")
Speaker Mike Johnson announced he will not run for Minority Leader in the next Congress. 30 minutes later Jim Jordan threw his hat in the ring. ---
**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/833 "2026-11-04T17:03:10Z")
There is also the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact to consider (need states with 271 electoral votes to sign on), but the Supremes might shoot that down. Texas was formerly shown as unlikely, but they by themselves would get it close to the magic number. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/834 "2026-11-04T17:08:05Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > schumer is saying the right things. i would like to see a new leader in senate. corey booker would be really good. I have no doubt Booker will be running for president. Itā€™s probably not a good idea to take on that leadership role while campaigning. ---
**Author:** ![ZipperJJ](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zipperjj/32/211_2.png) [@ZipperJJ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ZipperJJ)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/835 "2026-11-04T17:08:21Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > There are some very angry farmers in Iowa. This is beyond a shellacking. This is salting Carthage. Man I just looked at Iowa - They have 4 house districts. Used to be Rx4 now itā€™s Rx1. They had 2 R senators, now just one. And a newly minted D governor! Farmers have had enough!! ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/836 "2026-11-04T17:13:03Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > I have no doubt Booker will be running for president. Itā€™s probably not a good idea to take on that leadership role while campaigning. Man, he polled so poorly among Dems when he ran in 2020, heā€™ll need to think twice (or thrice) about that. Meanwhile, Jeffries is on MSNOW saying ā€œThe American people donā€™t want us to get even; they want us to get things done on their behalf.ā€ Just the framing of _get even_ instead of _hold them accountable_ reinforces my doubts about this guy. ---
**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/837 "2026-11-04T17:14:10Z")
I spoke too soon, Jake Johnson is narrowly (~400 votes) ahead of Finstad (MN district 1) Another flip ? Brian 324 vote separation, 391 write in votes ---
**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/838 "2026-11-04T17:15:12Z")
I missed the edit window on my post, but it should be changed to the last wrinkled relic of the Confederacy Virginia Foxx is losing by 99 votes, it hasnā€™t been called yet.šŸ˜ . That sucks, but it gave me another chance to insult herā€¦.I loathe that elderly racist. ---
**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/839 "2026-11-04T17:19:16Z")
> [@Maserschmidt](#): > > JD Vance on why they lost is partially correct, but it still smells of ā€œweā€™re all trying to find the guy who did this.ā€ Try looking in the beauty salon that got built at the Pentagon with taxpayer funds. The perpetrator ā€“ or at least a plausible fall guy to take heat off the actual perpetrator ā€“ might be holed up in there. ---
**Author:** ![moes\_lotion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/7ba0ec/32.png) [@moes\_lotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/moes_lotion)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/840 "2026-11-04T17:28:24Z")
The results of these elections reminded me of this, and looking up a link for the print Iā€™m glad to see that the wave is moving from left to right! > **[The Great Wave off Kanagawa](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Wave_off_Kanagawa#/media/File:The_Great_Wave_off_Kanagawa_LACMA_M.81.91.2_(1_of_2).jpg)** > > The Great Wave off Kanagawa (Japanese: ē„žå„ˆå·ę²–ęµŖč£, Hepburn: Kanagawa-oki Nami Ura; lit.ā€‰'Under the Wave off Kanagawa')\[a\] is a woodblock print by the Japanese ukiyo-e artist Hokusai (1760ā€“1849), created in late 1831 during the Edo period of Japanese history. The print depicts three boats moving through a storm-tossed sea, with a large, cresting wave forming a spiral in the centre over the boats and Mount Fuji in the background. The print is Hokusai's best-known work and the first in his series Thi... [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=41) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=43)