# USA Election Watch 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 43
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/841 "2026-11-04T17:30:40Z")
i have a version of that on my shirt this morning. ---
**Author:** ![Hermione1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/d07c76/32.png) [@Hermione1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hermione1)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/842 "2026-11-04T17:40:00Z")
I’m baffled as to why he didn’t do better in 2020. He’s committed, passionate, no scandals, doesn’t drink or smoke, rescued someone from a burning building for cryin’ out loud… If he does get elected in the near future…well, it’s not a huge political point but he recently got married, and we haven’t had a First Baby since poor little Patrick Kennedy. ---
**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/843 "2026-11-04T17:40:32Z")
If no one gets over 50%, the second choices of the people who voted for the lowest candidate are added to the top two. That’s why I asked about the other Sullivan, because his voters’ second choices might favor the Dem and put her over before the third-place guy’s votes are distributed. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/844 "2026-11-04T17:46:22Z")
Ah. Thanks for the clarification. My guess is that most of them are Republicans who mistakenly voted for the wrong Dan ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/845 "2026-11-04T17:51:00Z")
according to msnow, in miss., hines still counting is leaning dem; rankin still counting is leaning rep.. with tupelo and biloxi in the mix. they did not say which way they lean. ---
**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/846 "2026-11-04T17:58:14Z")
Hinds County is the capital city of Jackson and is heavily Democratic-voting. Rankin is a suburban county directly to the east of Hinds – once a white-flight county but perhaps more of a mixed bag today. I would expect Tupelo to largely be Republican voting and Biloxi to be the same, but less strongly. Could look at previous US Senate races at the county level to get a baseline. EDIT: **[Some current county-level numbers in Mississippi](https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/mississippi-us-senate-results/)**. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 5:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/847 "2026-11-04T17:59:56Z")
From conservative West Michigan: my worthless congressman Bill Huizenga (MI-4) looks to be headed to the unemployment line. His opponent Sean McCann has made a speech declaring victory, even if the race hasn’t been officially called. This district has always been a Republican lock, with the old Dutch Reformed, rural and wealthy Lake Michigan lakeshore voters. It was just redrawn recently to include SW Michigan (Kalamazoo and surrounding areas) after a statewide referendum to have an independent body draw congressional maps. According to NBC, there are about 9500 votes left to be tallied and Huizenga would need to win 86% of them to win the race. > **[Michigan House District 4 Midterm Election 2026: Live Results](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/michigan-us-house-district-4-results)** > > Get live 2026 election results as midterm voters decide who will be chosen to represent Michigan's House District 4 for the next two years. This R loss along with an Abdul win were really all I was asking for Christmas this year, so Feliz Navidad to me! ---
**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/848 "2026-11-04T18:02:29Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > according to msnow, in miss., hines still counting is leaning dem; rankin still counting is leaning rep.. with tupelo and biloxi in the mix. they did not say which way they lean. My favorite tweet from last night: “They take so long to count because they have to say ‘Mississippi’ after each one.” ---
**Author:** ![GreysonCarlisle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a87d85/32.png) [@GreysonCarlisle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GreysonCarlisle)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/849 "2026-11-04T18:05:17Z")
Y’all remember Paul LePage of Maine, right? He’s currently running against Matthew Dunlap for Maine house district 2. LePage (R) 152,951 50.0% Dunlap (D) 152,889 50.0% 87.4% reporting. ---
**Author:** ![Exapno\_Mapcase](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/exapno_mapcase/32/1051_2.png) [@Exapno\_Mapcase](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Exapno_Mapcase)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/850 "2026-11-04T18:06:07Z")
Evil fucker Mike Constantino wins Elise Stefanik’s safe seat in New York by two points. Is he grateful? > **[In obscenity-laced speech, Constantino orders 7 News crew to leave...](https://www.wwnytv.com/2026/11/04/obscenity-laced-speech-constantino-orders-7-news-crew-leave-election-night-party/)** > > Republican congressional candidate Anthony Constantino ordered a 7 News reporter and cameraman to leave his election-night party while he was thanking supporters and criticizing the news media in general. > Constantino continued to speak, then, in a bizarre move, randomly singled out 7 News reporter Garrett Domblewski. > > He called Domblewski and 7 News anchor Jeff Cole a\*\*holes. He also called a reporter from a different organization a “f\*\*king a\*\*hole.” > > Constantino then ordered Domblewski to leave and led the crowd in a chant, “Kick him out. Kick him out.” > > Five or six security guards escorted Domblewski out of the building. > > While Domblewski was led outside, Constantino and the crowd chanted, “F\*\*k the evil media.” ---
**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/851 "2026-11-04T18:08:34Z")
> [@ZipperJJ](#): > > just looked at Iowa - They have 4 house districts. Used to be Rx4 now it’s Rx1. They had 2 R senators, now just one. And a newly minted D governor! > > Farmers have had enough Those people who thought previous Trump voters would never change their votes? Looks like you were wrong. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/852 "2026-11-04T18:09:57Z")
thank you berdelond. that is very helpful. also named bort, good one! ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/853 "2026-11-04T18:14:34Z")
Yes, exactly. That’s what i meant by the “second choice”. The second choice of the lowest ranked will get distributed to the rest. And if that doesn’t push anyone over 50%, the next lowest will be redistributed (and any of the second choices that went to him will get reassigned based on their third choices.) I expect the Republican Sullivan to win in the second choices of the other Sullivan. There’s an outside chance those people were mostly voting “against the establishment” rather than by mistake, in which case their second choices will mostly go to #3, and when that candidate’s votes get redistributed, i expect the Republican Sullivan to win. And, if a majority of the voters prefer someone other than the Democrat, that’s how ranked choice voting is supposed to work. It prevents minor candidates from being spoilers. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/854 "2026-11-04T18:15:02Z")
And MI-4 has been called for the good guy! 🎉🤓🎆🥳😲😻🌟💥🔥 ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/855 "2026-11-04T18:16:21Z")
🎉🎊🎇🎆🎉 (Yes, that was a complete sentence, Discourse) ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/856 "2026-11-04T18:29:08Z")
> **Summary** > > Who will be the Democratic nominee for president based on what we know now from this election. > > - Talarico > - Osoff > - Someon else? > > I loved Kamala Harris, but apparently our nation won’t elect a female leader…no idea why. But I would discourage her from running. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/857 "2026-11-04T18:30:25Z")
> **Summary** > > If Harris doesn’t run, I think that Newsome has the inside track currently. ---
**Author:** ![Hawkeyeop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/958977/32.png) [@Hawkeyeop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hawkeyeop)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/858 "2026-11-04T18:33:17Z")
> **Summary** > > Over 100 women were elected to the house yesterday for the Democrats. Maybe we can stop thinking women can’t win because two mediocre candidates lost close races. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/859 "2026-11-04T18:34:19Z")
> **Summary** > > I don’t think Clinton or Harris were mediocre. And they both faced a monstrosity. To be fair to Clinton, she did win the popular vote by quite a bit, showing we are voting for women leaders. ---
**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2026, 6:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/860 "2026-11-04T18:36:31Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > Who will be the Democratic nominee for president based on what we know now from this election. We do have an entire thread for that discussion. 🙂 > [@Frontrunners for Democratic presidential nomination in 2028, {DO NOT rehash past candidates}](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/frontrunners-for-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028-do-not-rehash-past-candidates/1013036/2853): > > Talerico’s victory speech sure sounded like the start of a presidential campaign to me, too. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=42) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377.md?page=44)