# USA Election Watch 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2026, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377 "2026-11-03T18:32:08Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 48

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 5:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/944 "2026-11-05T17:33:58Z")

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With the latest drop, Colom (D) is up by 1724 votes in MS.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/945 "2026-11-05T17:44:25Z")

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Saw an interesting post re: gerrymanders.

One of the states where the GOP resisted Trump’s efforts to force through an extreme gerrymander was South Carolina. Some strategists were pushing for a 7-0 lockout map. If that map had gone through and the results were what they were on Tuesday, it’s possible the new districts would have gone 6-1 for the Dems. Instead, using the existing map, it looks like it will be 5-2 for the GOP even though Democrats won state-wide.

It shows that there are some risks in pushing your gerrymander too hard, and the old strategy of shoring up your majority in the face of an opposition wave has some merit to it.

ETA: Apparently Indiana would have gone 8-1 Democrats if the GOP had pushed through the gerrymander Trump wanted.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 6:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/946 "2026-11-05T18:04:52Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> The first official results are in!
> 
> Dixville Notch has gone Republican 5-2. Should we be worried?

Is it okay to admit now that this one actually had me a little bit concerned at the start of the night? 🙂

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 6:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/947 "2026-11-05T18:10:46Z")

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> [@commasense](#):
>
> That gives us some schadenfreude, of course, but as my wife points out, that’s like one of us finding that a candidate we gave $3 to lost. Makes absolutely no difference to him.

Looking at it as a percentage, sure, but even if you’re filthy rich $300-million has to vex.

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**Author:** ![Gordon\_G](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/3da27b/32.png) [@Gordon\_G](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gordon_G)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 6:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/948 "2026-11-05T18:24:56Z")

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One analyst thought the blue tsunami was due in part to GOP ads on TV. With all the worrisome issues, the GOP though “men playing girl’s sports” was what voters were most concerned about! Instead all but the most bigoted MAGAts recoiled in disgust as GOPsters showed their hollowness.

It may be good to preserve some of these ads, as a snapshot of what, we should hope, is the nadir of GOP hypocrisy.

- Here is Husted’s ad: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQqlsWRvPa4](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQqlsWRvPa4)
- Senator Tim Scott, unfortunately not up for voter rejection, helps his fellow GOPster: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyptNbNe-ps](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyptNbNe-ps)
- Some anti-Kamala lies from 2024: [https://www.youtube.com/shorts/VVU7pYq3WHw](https://www.youtube.com/shorts/VVU7pYq3WHw)

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 6:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/949 "2026-11-05T18:47:16Z")

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> [@Gordon\_G](#):
>
> With all the worrisome issues, the GOP though “men playing girl’s sports” was what voters were most concerned about! Instead all but the most bigoted MAGAts recoiled in disgust as GOPsters showed their hollowness.

However, in the wake of the 2024 loss, there were plenty of pundits who said that the Dems needed to focus more on pocketbook issues and not be all trans all the time. _Even though they weren’t_. So I am not sure if I buy that people realized that the Dems had the saner take on trans issues than the GOP.

Both can be true of course. It’s possible that some people say “sure, they’re both focusing too much on men playing girls sports [even though the Dems aren’t], but what about my pocketbook?”

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/950 "2026-11-05T21:47:05Z")

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I saw a clip where Scott Colom was informed that Hyde-Smith had, in her presumptuous victory speech last night, bragged about blocking his judicial appointment. He broke into a long smile, pausing, and then said “bless her heart!”

I wish I could see the moment where she was informed that her election was in trouble.

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/951 "2026-11-05T21:51:20Z")

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So has Lauren Bobert officially lost yet? Cripes.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/952 "2026-11-05T21:53:39Z")

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Here are the live results for CO-4. It’s not looking good for her but it’s not decided yet.

> **[Colorado House District 4 Midterm Election 2026: Live Results](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/colorado-us-house-district-4-results)**
>
> Get live 2026 election results as midterm voters decide who will be chosen to represent Colorado's House District 4 for the next two years.

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/953 "2026-11-05T21:55:18Z")

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Thanks! Happy 30 days of Dead on [dead.net](http://dead.net) to you!

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/954 "2026-11-05T21:56:55Z")

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Thanks my friend 🙂

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 9:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/955 "2026-11-05T21:58:13Z")

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> [@Maserschmidt](#):
>
> Please god please let turncoat Jeff van Drew continue to lose.

hahaha NBC just called this flip. Fuck that opportunistic weasel van Drew.

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**Author:** ![Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/elmer_j.fudd/32/1211_2.png) [@Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elmer_J.Fudd)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 10:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/956 "2026-11-05T22:11:05Z")

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> [@DesertDog](#):
>
> Looking at it as a percentage, sure, but even if you’re filthy rich $300-million has to vex.

Musk’s stock portfolio probably lost more than that yesterday.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 11:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/957 "2026-11-05T23:12:08Z")

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I saw that! It was absolutely brilliant!

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**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 5, 2026, 11:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/958 "2026-11-05T23:56:52Z")

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> [@Maserschmidt](#):
>
> He broke into a long smile, pausing, and then said “bless her heart!”

Which of course is Southern for “What an idiot.”

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**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2026, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/959 "2026-11-06T00:13:03Z")

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> [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](#):
>
> Hopeful that my next congressman will be a Democrat. Amish Shah leads Jay Feely by seven points with 90% of the vote in.

AP called the race for Shah. So far called races are 5-1 for Ds with three yet to call (all led by Rs, but at least one is very close.

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2026, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/960 "2026-11-06T00:14:18Z")

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> [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](#):
>
> AP called the race for Shah.

I’m really happy for you. 🙂

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2026, 12:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/961 "2026-11-06T00:17:40Z")

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A New York Times article, while not making a projection, predicts Mary Peltola will win:

[In Alaska, Ranked-Choice Ballots Are Unlikely to Be Enough for the Republican](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/11/05/us/alaska-ranked-choice-data-sullivan-peltola.html?unlocked_article_code=1.OVE.T6iZ.3AQU51CCoWfv&smid=url-share)

> [@](#):
>
> If Ms. Peltola doesn’t win the 50 percent needed to win outright and the race advances to ranked-choice tabulation on Nov. 18, the analysis suggests that Mr. Sullivan might not even claw back half of a point in ranked-choice tabulation, which would not be enough to overcome Ms. Peltola’s expected advantage.

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2026, 12:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/962 "2026-11-06T00:17:57Z")

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CNN has it 253-156 in the house.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2026, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/usa-election-watch-2026/1034377/963 "2026-11-06T00:24:57Z")

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There are four uncalled house races in CA where both candidates are Democrats. Does anyone know if those seats are already included in the 253?

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