# Vaccine refuser data thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/vaccine-refuser-data-thread/929542>\
**Category:** The Quarantine Zone\
**Tags:** factual, covid-quarantine\
**Created:** [January 2, 2021, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/vaccine-refuser-data-thread/929542 "2021-01-02T21:01:03Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 1

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**Author:** ![Treppenwitz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/treppenwitz/32/3445_2.png) [@Treppenwitz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Treppenwitz)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2021, 9:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/vaccine-refuser-data-thread/929542/1 "2021-01-02T21:01:03Z")

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As vaccines roll out, I guess the number of refusers is going to become a pretty hot topic; so I started this thread as a place to log data on (and consequences of) refusal.

As of today I could find no live data describing how many people are refusing vaccination. I did however find a few interesting survey based publications.

**Approximately a fifth of people across the world would refuse a COVID-19 vaccine** (article based on the the last-linked paper below)

> **[Approximately a fifth of people across the world would refuse a COVID-19 vaccine](https://hospitalhealthcare.com/covid-19/approximately-a-fifth-of-people-across-the-world-would-refuse-a-covid-19-vaccine/)**
>
> A meta-analysis of international studies suggests a sizeable proportion of people would be unwilling to receive a COVID-19 vaccine

Next

[Global, regional, and national estimates of target population sizes for covid-19 vaccination: descriptive study](https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4704) (peer reviewed, BMJ)

The paper states:

> Vaccine hesitancy might be another important factor. The result of our meta-analysis (which includes 30 papers) found that 68.4% (95% confidence interval 64.2% to 72.6%) of the [global] population is willing to receive covid-19 vaccination

The raw data, which is presented by country, is actually in supplementary table S1 - see Page 57 [of this PDF](https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/suppl/2020/12/15/bmj.m4704.DC1/wanw062749.ww.pdf).

Finally (for now), the paper which the first linked article is referencing:

[International estimates of intended uptake and refusal of COVID-19 vaccines: A rapid systematic review and meta-analysis of large nationally representative samples](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.01.20241729v1.full-text) (pre-publication, not yet peer reviewed)

This is the most comprehensive and accessible of the publications - see figures S1 - S3, which report intentions by country over time.

> Twenty-eight nationally representative samples (n = 58,656) from 13 countries indicate that **as the pandemic has progressed, the percentage of people intending to vaccinate and refuse vaccination have been decreasing and increasing respectively**. Pooled data from surveys conducted during June-October suggest that 60% (95% CI: 49% to 69%) intend to vaccinate and 20% (95% CI: 13% to 29%) intend to refuse vaccination, although intentions vary substantially between samples and countries (I2 \> 90%). Being female, younger, of lower income or education level and belonging to an ethnic minority group were consistently associated with being less likely to intend to vaccinate.

My bold.

**Please feel free to add any data you find (or personal experience, for that matter). BUT I don’t intend this thread to be a forum for debating personal views on vaccination/refusal.**

j

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