# Wanna Track Early Voting? Check Here! **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [October 23, 2012, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wanna-track-early-voting-check-here/638656 "2012-10-23T20:22:26Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 3\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2012, 12:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wanna-track-early-voting-check-here/638656/21 "2012-11-05T12:21:04Z")
Not much insight to offer from me. I do note that the numbers are pretty much dead on to marginally better for the Democratic side with 2008 in NC. This time Dem 47.7%, Rep 31.5%, None/Oth 20.9% compared to 2008’s Dem 47.4%, Rep 31.6%, None/Oth 21.0%, and with a few more having voting early (62.7 of 2008’s total vote compared to 60.6% last time). Last time Obama eked out a very narrow win 49.9 to 49.5 with Bob Barr picking up 0.6%. Don’t know if Virgil Goode’s write-in campaign there will pick as much. But it is looking closer than 538’s 2 point Romney win prediction anyway. PA wasn’t ever in question but these numbers are indeed hard to parse. Yes, still only one in twenty voted early, but that’s over 25% more than last time. Last time early voters were overwhelmingly Republican, 53 to 38%, this time it’s closer, 47 to 42, but GOP still in the lead. So a relatively poorer showing early voting for the GOP than last time (with more having voted early) and they lost last time. I can’t say that means too much. Of note, with 51% of 2008’s total voters having voted early FL looks to be marginally better for Obama than it was in his 2008 2.8 margin win. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2012, 1:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wanna-track-early-voting-check-here/638656/22 "2012-11-05T13:02:26Z")
One thing to note about early voting- in 2008, McCain’s campaign and the GOP in general were _awful_ at early voting- they didn’t really emphasize it or make much of an effort for it. Romney has improved this by quite a bit, but it was a low bar to clear. And Romney’s not running against McCain- he’s running against Obama- so even if Romney doubles McCain’s early votes, it may not mean much because it’s very possible that a lot of those voters would have voted on election day anyway, and Obama is counting on early voting to get the “sporadic” (read- unreliable) voters out there. And it looks like in just the raw numbers (not the ratio of D to R), Obama might be doing better in early voting than he did in 08. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2012, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wanna-track-early-voting-check-here/638656/23 "2012-11-06T04:48:55Z")
Noted in another thread: In Florida, per [Gravis](http://www.gravispolls.com/2012/11/final-florida-poll-shows-dead-heat.html) > [@](#): > > President Obama holds a five percentage point lead with early voters (52 to 47 percent), while Mitt Romney leads by 4 percentage points with those who have not yet cast their ballot (50 to 46 percent). Half of voters (50 percent) say they have already voted in Florida. Note in NC, according to the link I cited before, 63% of likely voters have already voted with a D 48, R 31, N/O 21 split. The ones who have not yet voted, 50% of Florida LVs and 37% of NC LVs favor Romney enough that both states should be close … if they come out and vote. But boy it’s going to bit [nasty outside](http://www.weather.com/news/election-weather-forecast-20121019) tomorrow … > [@](#): > > Thunderstorms are possible as the frontal system slides through Florida. > > This system will affect the weather in two swing states: Florida and North Carolina. The best chance for soaking rain in Florida will be in northern and central parts of the state, considered Republican leaning. Lighter rain amounts are expected in more Democratic-leaning South Florida. > > The worst weather (best chance of rain, windy conditions) in the Tar Heel State will be in southern and eastern North Carolina … And guess what? That southeastern section of NC [went pretty strong GOP](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:North_Carolina_Presidential_Election_Results_by_County,_2008.svg) in 2008. Just sayin’ … Man, Obama does not play fair. 🙂 [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wanna-track-early-voting-check-here/638656.md?page=1)