# water

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [March 17, 2015, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245 "2015-03-17T23:38:40Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [March 17, 2015, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/1 "2015-03-17T23:38:40Z")

</div>

This has really started to bother me recently. Maybe it is just neurosis, anxiety and/or paranoia, but where I live, we have been seeing weeks of unusually dry weather. Our snowpack, that feeds our rivers, is [below 10% in some major areas](http://www.thorntonweather.com/snow-basins.php), which means we will, at the very least, have rationing this summer.

[An LA Times editorial claims California has a year’s worth of water in reserve](http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-famiglietti-drought-california-20150313-story.html), meaning two years of weather patterns similar to the one we are in could put at least the Central/San Joaquin valley areas into dustbowl conditions.

[One Pollyanna-ish blog throws out some numbers](http://halfwaytoconcord.com/drought-in-california/) that say there is no shortage of water at all in California, while an EarthFirst page claims [it is not a drought _per se_](http://earthfirstjournal.org/newswire/2014/12/29/there-is-no-drought-californias-twisted-water-ways/) because the San Joaquin Valley is a natural desert that has of late been in an unusual wet period (many decades long).

We are not near a crisis-level situation at this point, but we are, I think, teetering. Some areas of the valley in California are subsiding alarmingly due to the loads being placed on ancient aquifers, ground that will not again retain water because of compaction. A real drought could make the _Llano Estacado_ no-man’s-land look minor and could have national, even international repercussions.

Because we are still OK, _now_ is the time to act. We really need to coördinate water management on a national level, perhaps even to the point of creating a cabinet-level agency. Waiting until it gets catastrophic is just foolish.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lamar\_Mundane](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/85f322/32.png) [@Lamar\_Mundane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamar_Mundane)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 12:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/2 "2015-03-18T00:37:00Z")

</div>

It’s not really a national problem. California and Arizona and Las Vegas have to get their shit together. I read somewhere recently that California (at least parts of it) have never had mandatory watering restrictions. That’s crazy. Add in Arizona with their golf courses and fake lakes. It’s a disaster in progress but it has to be fixed by the people there, unless Wisconsin or Michigan decide to let them build a pipeline from the Great Lakes.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/3 "2015-03-18T00:46:54Z")

</div>

I am thinking in terms of ag. California produces _a lot of food_, if they start having severe drought, you may not be able to afford orange juice or Almond Joys.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Blake](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/a9a28c/32.png) [@Blake](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Blake)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/4 "2015-03-18T01:16:46Z")

</div>

> [@eschereal](#):
>
> I am thinking in terms of ag. California produces _a lot of food_, if they start having severe drought, you may not be able to afford orange juice or Almond Joys.

Or politicians might need to actually honour free trade agreements and remove tariffs/subsidies. That won’t increase the price of oranges or almonds, it will just mean that some US farmers will need tor grow other crops/herds rather than growing oranges subsidised by the very consumers who buy the products.

If it is economical to transport oranges from Brazil to Australia and Spain, there is no way in hell that it can be unviable to transport it the short distance to the US. Everything I have seen says that doing so would cause a slight decline in the price Americans pay for oranges, not an increase.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/5 "2015-03-18T01:26:23Z")

</div>

I think you are right to be concerned, and I think it is more than a localized problem for exactly the reason you state, **eschereal**.

California _does_ produce a lot of food, and way more than just oranges and almonds.

The primary water problem is to do with ag, though drinking water for communities will also become problematic. De-sal alleviates some of the problem, but de-sal is expensive and there is no way to make it less so in the foreseeable future. De-sal is only practical for drinking water, and even then only in extreme situations – into which you appear to be heading.

Waiting until it is catastrophic _is_ foolish, but it is what we do.

I’ve already pleaded with every person I care for in Southern California to get the hell out while they can still sell their properties for a reasonable price. I believe that scarcity of water will soon become a major consideration in the value of properties in all drought-prone regions of the Southwestern USA.

If you want a promo, do some research on what’s happened in Australia due to their droughts. In each instance, water for ag is _hugely restricted_.

[Continuing drought in South Australia](http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2014/oct/07/drought-fears-across-southern-australia-after-months-of-below-average-rainfalls), [Restricted water use resulting therefrom](http://www.climatehotmap.org/global-warming-locations/sydney-australia.html).

Citizens are also allotted very restricted personal use. I saw this up close when I was visiting relatives there and saw how they washed their dishes in 2 inches of water and didn’t rinse them, only dried them before putting them back into their cupboards. Showers were limited to five minutes.

I’m sorry, but I fear it’s where you’re headed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/6 "2015-03-18T01:32:15Z")

</div>

> [@Blake](#):
>
> If it is economical to transport oranges from Brazil to Australia and Spain, there is no way in hell that it can be unviable to transport it the short distance to the US. Everything I have seen says that doing so would cause a slight decline in the price Americans pay for oranges, not an increase.

Well, we’re outsourcing everything else. Farmers should have been more responsible and studied things that would get them through the inevitable changes.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![gazpacho](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/6f9a4e/32.png) [@gazpacho](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gazpacho)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/7 "2015-03-18T01:41:48Z")

</div>

> [@Lamar\_Mundane](#):
>
> It’s not really a national problem. California and Arizona and Las Vegas have to get their shit together. I read somewhere recently that California (at least parts of it) have never had mandatory watering restrictions. That’s crazy. Add in Arizona with their golf courses and fake lakes. It’s a disaster in progress but it has to be fixed by the people there, unless Wisconsin or Michigan decide to let them build a pipeline from the Great Lakes.

80% of water is used by agriculture in California. 83% of water in Nevada is used by agriculture. It is not golf courses and swimming pools that are the problem.

While people should not waste water, conservation by individual consumers is not going to fix the main problem. Which is: water costs to agriculture are to low given the supply.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/8 "2015-03-18T01:59:43Z")

</div>

> [@Lamar\_Mundane](#):
>
> … It’s a disaster in progress but it has to be fixed by the people there, unless Wisconsin or Michigan decide to let them build a pipeline from the Great Lakes.

Wisconsin and Michigan have no jurisdiction over the Great Lakes, which is subject to the international Boundary Waters Treaty and subsidiary agreements and legislation, and managed by the [International Joint Commission](http://www.ijc.org/en_/).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Deeg](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deeg/32/2955_2.png) [@Deeg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Deeg)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/9 "2015-03-18T03:30:40Z")

</div>

> [@gazpacho](#):
>
> While people should not waste water, conservation by individual consumers is not going to fix the main problem. Which is: water costs to agriculture are to low given the supply.

That’s what I think, too. Water is too cheap in the Southwest desert.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![engineer\_comp\_geek](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/engineer_comp_geek/32/504_2.png) [@engineer\_comp\_geek](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/engineer_comp_geek)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 3:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/10 "2015-03-18T03:59:36Z")

</div>

California is sitting right next to one of the biggest sources of water on the entire planet, the Pacific Ocean. The only reason they don’t suck more water out of it is that no one wants to pay for the desalination plants. It’s a money issue, not a resource issue. They would rather fight over cheap water than do what it takes to insure their state’s water supply for the future.

If the drought lasts long enough, they’ll find out how short-sighted their existing strategy really is.

I hope for California’s sake the Carlsbad desalination plant ends up turning a decent profit. If it does, then maybe the other dozen or so proposed plants all up and down the coast will have a decent chance of actually getting built.

It takes several years to build a decent sized desalination plant. If you run out of water this year, a new plant won’t be ready next year to help you out.

I’m glad I don’t live there. That state seems to be perpetually short-sighted and mis-managed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Trinopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/2bfe46/32.png) [@Trinopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Trinopus)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/11 "2015-03-18T04:50:06Z")

</div>

> [@engineer\_comp\_geek](#):
>
> . . . I’m glad I don’t live there. That state seems to be perpetually short-sighted and mis-managed.

About the same as most other places, less in some ways, more in others. American exceptionalism is hogwash…and so is Californian exceptionalism. (We were just lucky to be sitting on the continent’s biggest hunk of gold.)

You’re certainly right that desalination is an approach. It’s sort of like tar-sands for oil: it’s costly, but if the price rises high enough, it becomes feasible.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![eschereal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschereal/32/18939_2.png) [@eschereal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschereal)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 7:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/12 "2015-03-18T07:04:27Z")

</div>

As a less expensive comparatively practical alternative to desalination, they could put up tubes in the air at places like Eureka and San Francisco, suck up all the fog, condense it to liquid in capped highland reservoirs and run it into the valleys. If you sucked away all the fog in Eureka, I suspect people would be startled to see an actual town or two there.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Dr.Strangelove](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.strangelove/32/6613_2.png) [@Dr.Strangelove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Strangelove)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 8:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/13 "2015-03-18T08:22:43Z")

</div>

I’ve said this in other threads, but:

Desalination is not the right answer. It’s the thing you try only after every other effort has failed.

It costs around $2000 per acre-foot. Meanwhile, some farmers pay as little as $2 per acre-foot due to historical water rights.

Obviously, these farmers will not sell their rights back to the state for $2/a-ft. But it is entirely reasonable to pay for the value of the crop, which I can virtually guarantee is much less than $2000/a-ft. And if the farmers will not sell even then–well, that’s what eminent domain is for.

Farming in CA produces about 1/30 the value in dollars per unit water as compared to the CA economy as a whole. It’s the first thing you get rid of, especially since you can focus on a handful of crops that are especially bad (like rice and avocados).

In total, agriculture is under 2% of the CA GDP. No one will miss eliminating a small part of that, and it will have an outsized effect on water availability. Bans on car washing or whatever are unbelievably stupid and basically a function of the agricultural lobby. It’s a very strong lobby but there are limits.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MrDibble](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mrdibble/32/114_2.png) [@MrDibble](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MrDibble)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 9:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/14 "2015-03-18T09:57:23Z")

</div>

> [@Dr.Strangelove](#):
>
> In total, agriculture is under 2% of the CA GDP.

Jeez, did not know that - all that talk about Cali-ag being the source of every last vegetable and fruit in the US (slight exaggeration) made it sound like it had to be, like, half the state’s economy, at least.

2% of the GDP sucks up 80% of the water? That boggles the mind.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Dr.Strangelove](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.strangelove/32/6613_2.png) [@Dr.Strangelove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Strangelove)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 10:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/15 "2015-03-18T10:36:39Z")

</div>

> [@MrDibble](#):
>
> Jeez, did not know that - all that talk about Cali-ag being the source of every last vegetable and fruit in the US (slight exaggeration) made it sound like it had to be, like, half the state’s economy, at least.

We produce a crap-ton of food; there’s no doubt about that. It’s just a really low value industry, and with wasteful practices on top of that. Growing rice with flood irrigation in a _literal desert_ is just the height of idiocy.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ruken](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f475e1/32.png) [@Ruken](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ruken)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 11:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/16 "2015-03-18T11:41:06Z")

</div>

> [@engineer\_comp\_geek](#):
>
> California is sitting right next to one of the biggest sources of water on the entire planet, the Pacific Ocean. The only reason they don’t suck more water out of it is that no one wants to pay for the desalination plants. It’s a money issue, not a resource issue.

That and the enviros don’t like desal.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Musicat](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/musicat/32/20189_2.png) [@Musicat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Musicat)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 12:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/17 "2015-03-18T12:40:04Z")

</div>

> [@Lamar\_Mundane](#):
>
> It’s a disaster in progress but it has to be fixed by the people there, unless Wisconsin or Michigan decide to let them build a pipeline from the Great Lakes.

Dream on, oh dry one. Ain’t gonna happen.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Razncain](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/9d8465/32.png) [@Razncain](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Razncain)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/18 "2015-03-18T13:32:59Z")

</div>

Wichita Falls, TX and surrounding area is also in dire straights, and has been for some time now. Had major flooding in 2007 and 2008, but have had annual below average rainfall ever since. Stage 5 water restriction for about a year, with combined lake levels around 20%. Had conservation measures not been in place, we would have already been completely dry, so that has helped considerably. Things still look bleak though, we probably have more people moving out than ever before due to this. There is no lake activity any more in these parts. Kind of makes for a depressing mood year after year and makes summer not near as much fun. We’ve tried most everything, some things the city has done right, other things just plain stupid. Desperate people do desperate things.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![bump](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/7c8e57/32.png) [@bump](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bump)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/19 "2015-03-18T13:44:38Z")

</div>

> [@razncain](#):
>
> Wichita Falls, TX and surrounding area is also in dire straights, and has been for some time now. Had major flooding in 2007 and 2008, but have had annual below average rainfall ever since. Stage 5 water restriction for about a year, with combined lake levels around 20%. Had conservation measures not been in place, we would have already been completely dry, so that has helped considerably. Things still look bleak though, we probably have more people moving out than ever before due to this. There is no lake activity any more in these parts. Kind of makes for a depressing mood year after year and makes summer not near as much fun. We’ve tried most everything, some things the city has done right, other things just plain stupid. Desperate people do desperate things.

Yeah, the Californians really need to STFU about their drought. There are parts of Texas and other states that have had more severe drought for longer than any part of California.

> **[Dried Out: Confronting The Texas Drought](https://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/drought/)**
>
> In 2011, Texas endured the worst single-year drought in its history. Learn more about its impact on the state and explore options for dealing with Texas’ water challenges in the future — and share your stories.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![buddy431](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/6a8cbe/32.png) [@buddy431](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/buddy431)\
**Post date:** [March 18, 2015, 1:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245/20 "2015-03-18T13:49:10Z")

</div>

> [@Deeg](#):
>
> That’s what I think, too. Water is too cheap in the Southwest desert.

That’s exactly it. Water is a commodity, and should be treated as such.

A few years ago, the Nestle CEO got a [lot of controversy](http://naturalsociety.com/nestle-ceo-water-not-human-right-should-be-privatized/) for saying that water should be treated as a product. He was exactly right. It’s the people who think that water should be free to everyone who are putting the southwest into its current predicament.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/water/715245.md?page=2)
