# Weather prediction

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weather-prediction/968>\
**Category:** Cecil's Columns/Staff Reports\
**Created:** [March 23, 2000, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weather-prediction/968 "2000-03-23T00:28:00Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![mommyjo2](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9e8a1a/32.png) [@mommyjo2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mommyjo2)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2000, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weather-prediction/968/1 "2000-03-23T00:28:00Z")

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I just read Cecil’s column on how weathermen calculate the percent chance of rain. We have a different way of doing it down here in Texas. A 40% chance of rain means, there were 5 people in the weather center, and 2 of them thought it would rain.

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**Author:** ![Arnold\_Winkelried](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Arnold\_Winkelried](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Arnold_Winkelried)\
**Post date:** [March 23, 2000, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/weather-prediction/968/2 "2000-03-23T00:51:00Z")

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Yes, but are those people trained weathermen, or is it whoever happens to be standing there?

[What does it mean when “X percent chance of rain” is predicted? (08-Aug-1986)](http://www.straightdope.com/classics/a2_115b.html)