# Werewolf (Mafia)--The Split \[Signups--In progress\] **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [February 13, 2009, 3:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/werewolf-mafia-the-split-signups-in-progress/485692 "2009-02-13T15:44:54Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 1479
**Author:** ![Telcontar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/3bc359/32.png) [@Telcontar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telcontar)\ **Post date:** [March 27, 2009, 2:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/werewolf-mafia-the-split-signups-in-progress/485692/1479 "2009-03-27T14:20:34Z")
> [@Oredigger77](#): > > Ummm . . . I know that Tel is pseudo-confirmed town but we think there are two wolves remaining and there are two people who don’t like the no lynch idea. I think mahaloth is rising in my suspicions. Just noticed something interesting and figured I’d point it out. **mahaloth** is also pseudo confirmed innocent. I want to kill primarily because 1.) I don’t think it hurts the villagers as a whole 2.) anything that helps end the game earlier helps my faction 3.) we’re a fragging lynch mob, killing people is what we do. Anyway, in the even that i’m not around tomorrow i have really good feelings about \*\*rex \*\*and **oredigger77** , and I trust the test results of **mahaloth**. That means that, from my perspective, dawn tomorrow would see Innocent: **Mahaloth Oredigger77 Rexnervous** Potentially guilty: **Allwalker [Undecided] Adrian the II Jimmy Chitwood MHaye** If I’m right about **oredigger77** and\*\* rexnervous\*\* (and people agree i’m right) the game is trivial. Test 1. If not guilty, lynch 2. Next day: test 3, if not guilty lynch 4. Why **Mhaye** is less innocent than **Oredigger77** and **Rex** : Looking at the voting around the death of **EH** , I noticed that **Mhaye** was happy to vote for me, but didn’t want to tie it. He said this right before the vote and was definitely around to break any future ties that developed. The aversion to ties makes jack sense, but I’m willing to pass on that per se. Had **EH** switched his vote twenty minutes earlier (perfectly sensible defensive voting) then mhaye could have swept in and broken the new tie (justifying it by his aversion to ties). **EH** lives, I die, wolves are in a much better position. It would also reframe the **mhaye** - **justin** standoff as wolf wolf, which explains why\*\* justin\*\* was so willing to die and makes\*\* mhaye’\*\*s testerizer analysis look like a bold wolf play. **Jimmy** broke the \*\*mhaye-justin \*\*tie near the end, which would count in his favor, but only if **mhaye** wasn’t also a wolf. Anyway, i’d say test **jimmy** tomorrow. if he’s a wolf deal with him and then take a hard look at **mhaye** for the next day. Problems: Are **Rex** and **Oredigger** innocent? Rex in particular has cast a lot of the right votes. His analysis is almost always on point, and now that we know a few alignments his random pairings for the research task a few days back look solid (known townies investigating known wolves, no conspicuous patterns). Oredigger I’m much less sure about, but he was going after EH long before it was cool. My suspicion of him was largely driven by “why would anyone argue X,” especially around the **seeker** votes. Looking back, i’m more comfortable putting him in the innocent category than any of the four other plays. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/werewolf-mafia-the-split-signups-in-progress/485692)._