# What are the odds of Trump winning the Presidency in 2024?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-of-trump-winning-the-presidency-in-2024/996454>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [January 21, 2024, 11:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-of-trump-winning-the-presidency-in-2024/996454 "2024-01-21T23:50:59Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 55

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [January 22, 2024, 8:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-of-trump-winning-the-presidency-in-2024/996454/55 "2024-01-22T20:56:37Z")

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> [@DWMarch](#):
>
> > [@pulykamell](#):
> >
> > I’m prepared for another 4 years
> 
> If Trump wins, he will be President until he dies. He has no intention of respecting the rules and if he is re-elected, he has been forgiven for trying to overthrow the government and given permission in perpetuity to do it again as he sees fit.

Pardon me for bringing this up again, but there is a way Trump can be President a third time “within the rules,” although it helps to have friends on the Supreme Court.  
Going by a strict reading of the 22nd Amendment, nothing prevents Trump from becoming President in a way other than being elected, which means he is “constitutionally eligible” to be President, which means he is eligible to be elected Vice-President, so the Republicans can nominate somebody they are certain would resign immediately after being sworn in for President, with Trump as his running mate.

The main stumbling block in this is, a Supreme Court that wouldn’t be too thrilled with Trump serving a third term might decide, “Well, even though the 22nd Amendment ‘says’ that he cannot be ‘elected’ again, it ‘means’ he cannot be President again at all. Trump is Not My President, Not Your President, Not Anybody’s President.”

As for being elected in 2024 in the first place, am I the only one worried about a repeat of 1876? If, somehow, the Republicans control both the House and Senate, it has to be considered within the realm of possibilities, although I have a feeling at least one Republican Senator would never support it.

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