# What are the odds - Plane crash kills family twice

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [November 27, 2011, 8:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272 "2011-11-27T20:52:03Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 11\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![GusNSpot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gusnspot/32/436_2.png) [@GusNSpot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GusNSpot)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/21 "2011-11-28T03:37:19Z")

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I have crashed thousands of times…

Well, that’s what they all call my arrivals.

I have made maybe 10 good landings in over 10,000 hours of pilot in command…

But I lived…

We won’t talk about my passengers… :dubious:

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**Author:** ![thelabdude](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/dc4da7/32.png) [@thelabdude](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thelabdude)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/22 "2011-11-28T03:41:26Z")

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I think we rationaize a lot. After all we are all better than average drivers… Any accidents we are in are flukes, unlikely to happen again.

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**Author:** ![thelabdude](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/dc4da7/32.png) [@thelabdude](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thelabdude)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/23 "2011-11-28T03:42:29Z")

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> [@GusNSpot](#):
>
> I have crashed thousands of times…
> 
> Well, that’s what they all call my arrivals.
> 
> I have made maybe 10 good landings in over 10,000 hours of pilot in command…
> 
> But I lived…
> 
> We won’t talk about my passengers… :dubious:

I have heard that any landing you walk away from is a good landing.

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**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/24 "2011-11-28T03:45:10Z")

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Two comments.

An old aphorism in aviation: “A fool and his money … are soon flying more airplane than he can handle.”

Launching with partial fuel is 100% ops normal & a professional & safe thing to do. _When planned & operated professionally_. That doesn’t mean you’ve got be being paid to be able to do the job right. But whether it’s your daily job or your once-a-month hobby, you do have to approach planning & executing every flight with a systematic & mature attitude & a realistic appraisal of the parameters. Which include weather, distance, load, proficiency, performance, and a host of other factors.

An airplane isn’t a car and the sky is not a freeway. And they’ll prove it to you pretty soon if you try to treat them that way. Shame about the other family members (both times).

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**Author:** ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/25 "2011-11-28T03:46:19Z")

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> [@thelabdude](#):
>
> I have heard that any landing you walk away from is a good landing.

Any landing you can walk away from, and you can still fly the plane afterward is a _great_ landing!

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**Author:** ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 4:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/26 "2011-11-28T04:47:29Z")

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> [@Johnny\_L.A](#):
>
> There was a doctor in Lancaster who liked to fly his Bonanza in the Tehachapis…

I need to amend this story. I decided to look for the incident, and **samclem** turned up an article. It was a Cherokee, not a Bonanza. My memories are from ‘hangar talk’, which can occasionally be propwash. I doubt I can verify anything other than the guy was a doctor and that he crashed.

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**Author:** ![panache45](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/panache45/32/64_2.png) [@panache45](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/panache45)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 9:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/27 "2011-11-28T09:57:18Z")

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Sabotage.

Did the victims have life insurance? Why did the son survive both crashes?

[/not entirely serious]

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 1:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/28 "2011-11-28T13:51:13Z")

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> [@scr4](#):
>
> Actually, most people do give up driving after a fatal car crash.
> 
> (I know, sorry…)

But not in this instance! After the fatal plane crash, the family died in a _second_ plane crash!

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**Author:** ![Kiber](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kiber/32/317_2.png) [@Kiber](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kiber)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 2:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/29 "2011-11-28T14:14:46Z")

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Not specifically an answer to the Op - but I will note the unusual example of Ernest Hemingway. He was in 2 plane crashes, in the same day. Luckily, he survived [both](http://www.nytimes.com/books/99/07/04/specials/hemingway-safe.html).

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**Author:** ![RearEchelon](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b4bc9f/32.png) [@RearEchelon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RearEchelon)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 3:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/30 "2011-11-28T15:58:55Z")

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> [@panache45](#):
>
> Sabotage.
> 
> Did the victims have life insurance? Why did the son survive both crashes?
> 
> [/not entirely serious]

He’s got pretty much of an airtight alibi, if foul play is suspected on his part, simply by being on the plane himself.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [November 28, 2011, 4:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-plane-crash-kills-family-twice/604272/31 "2011-11-28T16:21:39Z")

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There are old pilots, and there are bold pilots, but there are very few old, bold pilots.

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