# What are the odds we see Senator Arpaio?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-we-see-senator-arpaio/794953>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [August 28, 2017, 7:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-we-see-senator-arpaio/794953 "2017-08-28T19:44:25Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2017, 1:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-we-see-senator-arpaio/794953/41 "2017-10-25T13:14:13Z")

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Looks like Kelli Ward has the Republican nomination for Flake’s seat wrapped up at this point. I think the only way Arpaio ever becomes senator is with McCain’s current seat, which I think is unlikely.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [October 25, 2017, 8:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-are-the-odds-we-see-senator-arpaio/794953/42 "2017-10-25T20:01:02Z")

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> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> Looks like Kelli Ward has the Republican nomination for Flake’s seat wrapped up at this point. I think the only way Arpaio ever becomes senator is with McCain’s current seat, which I think is unlikely.

I think Flake dropping out actually hurt Ward’s chances for the nomination. It was looking like she’d beat Flake easily but now there’s a lot of time for new challengers to crop up. Maybe someone more moderate than Ward. Maybe someone Trumpier. Maybe even both.

Plus Ward may still end up with McCain’s seat.

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