# What can we learn from Betfair and Intrade being out of line from one another?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 16, 2012, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885 "2012-09-16T16:46:23Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 8\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![Measure\_for\_Measure](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/measure_for_measure/32/557_2.png) [@Measure\_for\_Measure](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Measure_for_Measure)\
**Post date:** [September 26, 2012, 11:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/41 "2012-09-26T23:40:13Z")

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DJ FC: How does the daily trade volume at Intrade and Betfair compare for this market?

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**Author:** ![Simple\_Linctus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9f8e36/32.png) [@Simple\_Linctus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Simple_Linctus)\
**Post date:** [September 28, 2012, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/42 "2012-09-28T16:24:57Z")

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I wonder if DJ FC is still around?

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**Author:** ![DJ\_FC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b3f665/32.png) [@DJ\_FC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DJ_FC)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2012, 7:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/43 "2012-10-01T07:48:41Z")

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> [@Simple\_Linctus](#):
>
> DJ you don’t happen to trade at that sports arcade in canary wharf do you?

No. I trade equity derivatives in the city.

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**Author:** ![DJ\_FC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b3f665/32.png) [@DJ\_FC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DJ_FC)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2012, 7:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/44 "2012-10-01T07:49:47Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> It would appear that the money that Republicans are funneling into Intrade to keep up the appearance that Romney is not tanking… Is going to end up in the pocket of a trader in London.
> 
> I find this amusing.

I find this wonderful.

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**Author:** ![DJ\_FC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b3f665/32.png) [@DJ\_FC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DJ_FC)\
**Post date:** [October 1, 2012, 7:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/45 "2012-10-01T07:51:22Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> DJ FC: How does the daily trade volume at Intrade and Betfair compare for this market?

Hard to say without doing a bit of digging, but based on my gut and the open interest I’d say Intrade is about twice as large as Betfair. But I do most of my trading during London hours so it feels relatively even.

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**Author:** ![don\_t\_ask](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@don\_t\_ask](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/don_t_ask)\
**Post date:** [October 3, 2012, 1:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/46 "2012-10-03T13:43:21Z")

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> [@Measure\_for\_Measure](#):
>
> DJ FC: How does the daily trade volume at Intrade and Betfair compare for this market?

$8.4 million on _Betfair_ and $17.5 million on _Intrade._

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**Author:** ![Evil\_Captor](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/f17d59/32.png) [@Evil\_Captor](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Evil_Captor)\
**Post date:** [October 3, 2012, 9:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/47 "2012-10-03T21:02:42Z")

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I’m surprised the progressive media are not running with this one. It’s not a huge story but definitely an instance of Republicans using the raw power of money to influence the media during an election.

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**Author:** ![DJ\_FC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b3f665/32.png) [@DJ\_FC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DJ_FC)\
**Post date:** [October 4, 2012, 7:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-can-we-learn-from-betfair-and-intrade-being-out-of-line-from-one-another/634885/48 "2012-10-04T07:58:55Z")

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It could also be chalked up simply to the fact that Americans do not have access to Betfair and Americans think much more favorably of Republican candidates than Europeans.

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