There is much to learn, but there’s no reason to believe the heat flow from the Earth’s interior to the surface varies much, especially not on the timescales we’re talking about and without a noticeable change in geologic activities.
Everybody’s got beliefs. Do you have any cites to support yours?
Urban Heat Islands … all the black asphalt and black roofs seem to increase surface temperatures in our cities during specific weather patterns … this isn’t going to change the global average temperature, but it’s perfectly acceptable in climatology to select a spot and average the temperature over a month … we can say things like “the average temperature for Chicago, in July over the past fifty years, in increasing because of human activity due to urbanification of the countryside” …
Arbor day is coming, this can be mitigated by planting trees in the cityscapes …
Let’s just say for the sake of argument that Magiver produces the magic bullet here: let’s say there was a discussion that peak oil was true, imminent, affected all oil supplies, and we couldn’t drill our way out of it. Now we’ve learned that there are massive, non-traditional oil supplies (“tight oil”, in particular), which can significantly increase our supply and materially delay the peak. So what? What effect would this have on the question in this thread, which is the degree to which science is certain about that climate change is real and anthropogenic?