# What if nations were not so slow to adopt aircraft carriers in WW2?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [May 25, 2012, 6:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088 "2012-05-25T18:27:59Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![smiling\_bandit](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e9a140/32.png) [@smiling\_bandit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/smiling_bandit)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/21 "2012-05-26T02:53:07Z")

</div>

> [@colonial](#):
>
> Addressed. See post #7.

No, it was not.

Japan’s ground forces were grossly outmatched by basically anybody. They were poorly trained, poorly equipped, outnumbered, and not terribly well led. The USSR and the U.S. could easily have advanced to a air-raid staging point in Asia post-Nazi defeat.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![colonial](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/34f0e0/32.png) [@colonial](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/colonial)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 4:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/22 "2012-05-26T04:39:59Z")

</div>

> [@smiling\_bandit](#):
>
> No, it was not.

Yes, it was.

The question was how the US was ever going to get a bomber base in Korea.

Here, again, from post #

> [@colonial](#):
>
> …The USSR would not allow US airbases on its land in the European war, and there is no reason to think it would have been more accomodating in Asia.

Got it now?

> [@smiling\_bandit](#):
>
> Japan’s ground forces were grossly outmatched by basically anybody. They were poorly trained, poorly equipped, outnumbered, and not terribly well led. The USSR and the U.S. could easily have advanced to a air-raid staging point in Asia post-Nazi defeat.

You do not know what you are talking about. Google Iwo Jima, Saipan  
and Okinawa for what it took to subdue Japanese defences.

Japanese ground forces were well trained, well led and everywhere  
putting up fanatical resistance.

Their armor was deficient but the insular terrain of most of the Pacific  
battlefields was unsuited for defensive use of armor. And it was taking  
the US Army and Marines weeks to subdue even small islands like Saipan  
and Iwo Jima.

Before Hiroshima the saying in the Pacific thater was “Golden Gate in '48”.  
You should be clever enough to figure out what that means about the caliber  
of the enemy resistance.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Throatwarbler\_Mangrove](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/8c91f0/32.png) [@Throatwarbler\_Mangrove](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Throatwarbler_Mangrove)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 8:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/23 "2012-05-26T08:37:15Z")

</div>

> [@colonial](#):
>
> Yes, it was.
> 
> You do not know what you are talking about. Google Iwo Jima, Saipan  
> and Okinawa for what it took to subdue Japanese defences.
> 
> Japanese ground forces were well trained, well led and everywhere  
> putting up fanatical resistance.
> 
> Their armor was deficient but the insular terrain of most of the Pacific  
> battlefields was unsuited for defensive use of armor. And it was taking  
> the US Army and Marines weeks to subdue even small islands like Saipan  
> and Iwo Jima.
> 
> Before Hiroshima the saying in the Pacific thater was “Golden Gate in '48”.  
> You should be clever enough to figure out what that means about the caliber  
> of the enemy resistance.

Google it yourself, google Guadacanal while you’re at it. Anywhere the Japanese army met Americans on land in anything approaching an equal footing they were slaughtered. The Americans having been through World War 1 were keenly aware that “fix bayonets and run at the enemy en mass” almost always ends badly against a disciplined, well armed opponent. The Japanese, not so much.

We had a pretty good idea what the caliber of the Japanese resistance would have been after the Red Army wiped out a million Japanese troops in Manchuria in 8 weeks.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 9:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/24 "2012-05-26T09:19:47Z")

</div>

The Royal Navy did develop carriers and many of the original ideas came from them. The RN’s problems was getting planes, as the Fleet Air Arm was until 1938 run by the RAF. Indeed in the early part of the Naval War in the Med it was the British Aircraft Carriers which were the decisive factors; see Taranto for instance.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![benbo1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e19adc/32.png) [@benbo1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/benbo1)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 10:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/25 "2012-05-26T10:40:25Z")

</div>

[hijack]  
1 thing I don’t understand was why didn’t we use more naval assets including carriers, in the European theater? A problem that leaps to mind is the long-range bombers having to go unescorted on missions deep into Germany (pre-Mustang). Considering that German naval power was weak and since we seem to have had enough carriers and planes for the Japanese theater, why couldn’t we & the Brits simply sent carriers into the North Sea or Med, carrying fighters to escort the bombers on missions they otherwise wouldn’t have had escorts for? Also, there are incidents of destroyers rescuing soldiers in Sicily & Italy for the landings there, when the regular artillery was still stuck on the ships. Given that Naval guns had a long range, why were they not used as part of the plan as well?  
[\hijack]

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TokyoBayer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tokyobayer/32/13989_2.png) [@TokyoBayer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TokyoBayer)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 1:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/26 "2012-05-26T13:39:50Z")

</div>

The Japanese were limited to the number of carriers by the Washington Naval Treaty until they withdrew in 1936. If they rejected it much earlier, would England or the US built more to counter them in the far east? The US may not have, given the deep isolationist sentiments.

Even had the Japanese had a stunning victory at Midway, they were far overextended, and did not have the men or ships for invading Hawaii or the West coast. With the IJN and IJA not talking much to each other, and the IJA deadset on their conquest of China, they did not want to divert assets to Hawaii.

The US plan was to play defensive for a couple of years, while they built up the armed forces, so while losing Midway would have made things more difficult, it still would have been a matter of time before America’s industrial strength won out.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![colonial](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/34f0e0/32.png) [@colonial](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/colonial)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/27 "2012-05-26T16:36:25Z")

</div>

> [@Throatwarbler\_Mangrove](#):
>
> Google it yourself, google Guadacanal while you’re at it. Anywhere the Japanese army met Americans on land in anything approaching an equal footing they were slaughtered. The Americans having been through World War 1 were keenly aware that “fix bayonets and run at the enemy en mass” almost always ends badly against a disciplined, well armed opponent. The Japanese, not so much.

The naval standoff made it difficult to supply Japanese units on Guadalcanal  
with reinforcements, food and ammo, and heavy equipment such as artillery  
was out of the question. Also, the US position could not be outflanked or taken  
from the rear, so US lines could not be overrun except by unsupported frontal  
assault. In such conditions, and where quality and quantity are equal the defence  
will always prevail.

Later, when the Japanese were on the defensive, the US often enjoyed complete  
air and naval dominance, but still had to slug it out in bloody fighting on land against  
an isloated, surrounded enemy who seldom gave thought to surrender.

> [@Throatwarbler\_Mangrove](#):
>
> We had a pretty good idea what the caliber of the Japanese resistance would have been after the Red Army wiped out a million Japanese troops in Manchuria in 8 weeks.

We had had our own experience with Japanese troops, thank you, and lower  
end estimates for what it would take to conquer the Japnese home islands  
were ~500,000:

[Casualty Projections for the U.S. Invasions of Japan, 1945-1946](http://home.roadrunner.com/~casualties/)

The 1945 Red Army was the greatest army in history up to that point, in both  
quality and quantity. Its artillery and armored fighting vehicles were especially  
potent, and it possessed local air dominance as well. Finally, they knew where  
the attack would occur and the Japanese did not. No defenders in the Japanese’  
shoes would have stood a chance.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 5:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/28 "2012-05-26T17:05:44Z")

</div>

> [@Throatwarbler\_Mangrove](#):
>
> Google it yourself, google Guadacanal while you’re at it. Anywhere the Japanese army met Americans on land in anything approaching an equal footing they were slaughtered. The Americans having been through World War 1 were keenly aware that “fix bayonets and run at the enemy en mass” almost always ends badly against a disciplined, well armed opponent. The Japanese, not so much.

The thing is that the tactic of just ignoring casualties and attacking often wins battles. The problem with this tactic is that all those casualties mean you lose the ability to fight future battles. You can end up winning battles and losing wars.

So “attack at all costs” tactics work good in the short term when you’ve got a lot of troops to throw away. But “minimize casualties” tactics work better in the long term as both sides begin to realize there’s not a bottomless pool of replacement soldiers.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![casdave](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/c6cbf5/32.png) [@casdave](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/casdave)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 5:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/29 "2012-05-26T17:26:16Z")

</div>

The Pacific battle was not as critical as you might think.

Although it was important, the most decisive factor was probably the US submarine campaign, as it was this that denied Japan the resources they had originally gone to war to obtain.

The lack of those resources is a very major part of the reason that they were losing the land campaign in Asia. They had the longest advance in history, but once Stillwell and Slim had properly reorganised their forces, the Japanese began the longest retreat in history.

The Japanese gave it a good shot, but they could never counter the absolutely immense resources in terms of fighting men, you are looking at all of China, plus all of Burma and all of India, and more besides.

The forces arraigned against the Japanese in Asia only ever represented a tiny percentage of what could have been available.

The only advantage Japanese forces had was morale and training, and once the training aspect was addressed, then it was all over.

This theatre had been a low priority in terms of air power, however even this was able to wreak havoc to Japanese ambitions. In addition, it had been thought that this environment was not suitable for tanks and this turned out to be completely wrong - the Lee-Grant proved to be excellent and the Japanese simply never had an answer to it.

The Pacific war finished it much much faster, but the end was just as certain.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![smiling\_bandit](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e9a140/32.png) [@smiling\_bandit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/smiling_bandit)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 6:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/30 "2012-05-26T18:35:35Z")

</div>

> [@colonial](#):
>
> Later, when the Japanese were on the defensive, the US often enjoyed complete air and naval dominance, but still had to slug it out in bloody fighting on land against an isloated, surrounded enemy who seldom gave thought to surrender.

First off, learn how to punctuate your posts. You do not need random line breaks.

Second, we didn’t need any specific islands. We were quite capable of attacking anywhere they were weak, and frankly, they could never be strong anywhere no matter how much shipping they had. Aside from whcih, their shipping was annihilated during the war; American submarines, as casdave mentioned, basically destroyed _all_ Japanese shipping by the time the Atomic bombs were dropped. Midway would not change this.

Likewise, the bloody cost of invading Japan itself was due to the assumption that the entire Japanese population would essentially fight to the death, and that near-genocidal measures woud be required to attain victory, although one an area was cut off and all resistance destroyed, the remaining population would surrender. Their ground forces were, as I explained, poorly led, poorly equipped, and poorly trained. They managed to barely win at a huge and bloody cost against Russia in the last generation, and since then had nto changed much. They were capable of defeating the China, then a backwards country with no modern military, but could not even tightly hold there. They had abslutely no chance whatsoever against the USSR or the United States. And lest you fiorget, the USSR was already knocking against Korea when the Japanese surrendered.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![md2000](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/73ab20/32.png) [@md2000](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/md2000)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 10:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/31 "2012-05-26T22:14:12Z")

</div>

One issue I though with Midway was that the Japanese did not realize the Yorktown was there and were confused at first. They thought they had all the carriers located and were surprised by extra planes and then confused by the extra carrier target.

Meanwhile, they travelled close enough together that extra carriers might have meant more sitting ducks for the US.

If Britain would not negotiate for peace during the battle of Britain, what are the odds that the USA would do so simply because they lost Midway? Or even the territory of Hawaii?

The bit about Yamamoto’s hesitancy is apparently pure fiction made up for “Tora Tora Tora”.

The Japanese locals, especially IIRC Iwo Jima, had apparently been fed the same crap about enemy atrocities and cruely that we fed our people; They were terrified of the invaders and given grenades to do suicide attacks.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![carnivorousplant](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnivorousplant/32/3563_2.png) [@carnivorousplant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carnivorousplant)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 10:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/32 "2012-05-26T22:29:43Z")

</div>

> [@md2000](#):
>
> the same crap about enemy atrocities and cruely that we fed our people;

Are you referring to the Rape of Nanking and the Bataan Death March?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![gunnergoz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/e95f7d/32.png) [@gunnergoz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gunnergoz)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 11:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/33 "2012-05-26T23:17:35Z")

</div>

What would have been more useful to the Japanese than more carrier decks would have been a better plan to train new carrier pilots, which would depend upon getting the experienced ones back in one piece to train new generations of pilots. Japan had possibly the best-trained naval aviators of its day but regarded them as generally expendable; for example, there was little organized effort made by the Japanese to locate and rescue their downed aviators. As the pool of highly trained and experienced aviators dwindled during the war, the Japanese continued to use up most of their experienced pilots on the front lines instead of bringing them home to train the next generation.  
This would not have altered the outcome of the war, but could have made the war go on longer and would have been more costly for the Americans in terms of lives and ships lost. The political impact of the latter on US domestic politics would have been important in and of itself.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![gunnergoz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/e95f7d/32.png) [@gunnergoz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gunnergoz)\
**Post date:** [May 26, 2012, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/34 "2012-05-26T23:20:59Z")

</div>

> [@md2000](#):
>
> (snip)  
> The Japanese locals, especially IIRC Iwo Jima, had apparently been fed the same crap about enemy atrocities and cruely that we fed our people; They were terrified of the invaders and given grenades to do suicide attacks.

I’d love to hear more from you about “the same crap…that we fed our people:” especially what, precisely are the sources you’ve encountered which justify your conclusion.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 4:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/35 "2012-05-27T04:46:26Z")

</div>

> [@md2000](#):
>
> The Japanese locals, especially IIRC Iwo Jima, had apparently been fed the same crap about enemy atrocities and cruely that we fed our people; They were terrified of the invaders and given grenades to do suicide attacks.

The Japanese civilians were basically told that they would be treated by the US as Japan had treated civilians in areas it had control, so they were scared to death, because they were all quite well aware of just how cruel and evil they were. Unlike the holocaust, it was openly known and celebrated amongst their culture.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![carnivorousplant](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnivorousplant/32/3563_2.png) [@carnivorousplant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carnivorousplant)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 5:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/36 "2012-05-27T05:01:46Z")

</div>

Md2000?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/37 "2012-05-27T05:02:30Z")

</div>

> [@colonial](#):
>
> The war would probably have been lengthened and US losses much greater if,  
> other things being equal, Japan had built ~4 carriers rather than the BB _Yamato_  
> and\* Musashi.\* With 8 instead of 4 Japanese carriers at Midway it is hard to imagine  
> a US victory at sea, or a Japanese failure to take Midway Island.
> 
> S

What would they have put on them and who would have flown them? The IJN had more carriers than it could use, later in the war. They even used some as decoys.

As **gunnergoz** sez, the IJN, much like Germany, had a poor system of training their pilots, leaving the best always on the front lines instead of sending some of them home to train other pilots. That did mean, at the early parts, the IJN had better pilots that we did. But later they (and the Luftwaffe) were sending dudes out who had only a handful of hours flying. And in both cases, they had a poorly thought out way to recover those super aces whilst the USN was sending out a Sub just to recover one down aviator.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 5:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/38 "2012-05-27T05:45:41Z")

</div>

> [@md2000](#):
>
> The Japanese locals, especially IIRC Iwo Jima, had apparently been fed the same crap about enemy atrocities and cruely that we fed our people; They were terrified of the invaders and given grenades to do suicide attacks.

I would say it was a justified [fear considering](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allied_war_crimes_during_World_War_II#United_States_2)

> [@](#):
>
> American soldiers in the Pacific often deliberately killed Japanese soldiers who had surrendered. According to Richard Aldrich, who has published a study of the diaries kept by United States and Australian soldiers, they sometimes massacred prisoners of war.[59] Dower states that in “many instances … Japanese who did become prisoners were killed on the spot or en route to prison compounds.”[47] According to Aldrich it was common practice for U.S. troops not to take prisoners.[60] This analysis is supported by British historian Niall Ferguson,[61] who also says that, in 1943, “a secret [U.S.] intelligence report noted that only the promise of ice cream and three days leave would … induce American troops not to kill surrendering Japanese.”…  
> **U.S. historian James J. Weingartner attributes the very low number of Japanese in U.S. POW compounds to two important factors, a Japanese reluctance to surrender and a widespread American "conviction that the Japanese were “animals” or “subhuman’”** and unworthy of the normal treatment accorded to POWs.[64] The latter reason is supported by Ferguson, who says that “Allied troops often saw the Japanese in the same way that Germans regarded Russians—as Untermenschen.”[61]

Even death[would not be enough](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_mutilation_of_Japanese_war_dead)

> [@](#):
>
> The mutilation of Japanese service personnel included the taking of body parts as “war souvenirs” and “war trophies”. Teeth and skulls were the most commonly taken “trophies”, although other body parts were also collected.  
> The phenomenon of “trophy-taking” was widespread enough that discussion of it featured prominently in magazines and newspapers, and F**ranklin Roosevelt himself was reportedly given, by a US Congressman, a gift of a letter-opener made of a man’s arm (Roosevelt later ordered that the gift be returned and called for its proper burial).**[3][4] The behavior was officially prohibited by the U.S. military, which issued additional guidance as early as 1942 condemning it specifically.[5] Nonetheless, the behavior continued throughout the war in the Pacific Theater, and has resulted in continued discoveries of “trophy skulls” of Japanese combatants in American possession

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![colonial](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/34f0e0/32.png) [@colonial](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/colonial)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/39 "2012-05-27T17:44:11Z")

</div>

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> First off, learn how to punctuate your posts. You do not need random line breaks.

First off, I will format my posts to please myself.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> Second, we didn’t need any specific islands. We were quite capable of attacking anywhere they were weak,

Eventual US strategy was to bypass as many strongpoint’s as possible (e.g. Rabaul, Truk, Taiwan).  
However, the Japanese were only relatively weak elsewhere, as US casualty figures prove.

It might be most informative at this point to mention Betio (Tarawa). There the initial assault  
was nearly repulsed, despite extensive naval bombardment. The Japanese had discovered that  
slow-burning, non-splintering palm logs, stacked several feet thick, were proof even against battleship guns.

The US suffered 1,000 dead in the first two days of combat on Betio.

Of over 2,000 military defenders only 17 surrendered.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> and frankly, they could never be strong anywhere no matter how much shipping they had.

Nonsense addressed above.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> Aside from which, their shipping was annihilated during the war; American submarines, as casdave mentioned, basically destroyed all Japanese shipping by the time the Atomic bombs were dropped. Midway would not change this.

Yes, Midway and all other successful defenses and captures island _would_ change it, by allowing  
the American combat radius to draw progressively closer to Japanese supply routes, and to create  
breaks in them.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> Likewise, the bloody cost of invading Japan itself was due to the assumption that the entire Japanese population would essentially fight to the death, and that near-genocidal measures woud be required to attain victory, although one an area was cut off and all resistance destroyed, the remaining population would surrender.

The assumption was that the Japanese military would fight to the death.

That assumption was soundly based on past experience on every past encounter  
with Japanese ground forces.

The 17 POWs taken at Betio were typical; at Iwo Jima 217 POW were taken out  
of a garrison of over 20,000. NB the US lost over 6,000 dead in 35 days on Iwo Jima,  
and mind you Iwo Jima is only 8 square miles in area.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> Their ground forces were, as I explained, poorly led, poorly equipped, and poorly trained. They managed to barely win at a huge and bloody cost against Russia in the last generation, and since then had nto changed much. They were capable of defeating the China, then a backwards country with no modern military, but could not even tightly hold there.

In 1942 Japanese ground forces defeated the US in the Philippines, and the UK  
in Malaya/Singapore/Burma.

The Japanese PI campaign had heavy going, but it was up against one of the best  
Allied generals.

The Malay-Singapore campaign was brilliantly conducted by Gen. Yamashita, who  
would show up late in the PI, where he surrendered with 50,000 troops only on 9/2/41,  
the same day as the overall surrender.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> They had abslutely no chance whatsoever against the USSR or the United States.

This is not an issue here.

> [@smiling bandit](#):
>
> And lest you fiorget, the USSR was already knocking against Korea when the Japanese surrendered.

The insignificance of this has been addressed.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![colonial](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/34f0e0/32.png) [@colonial](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/colonial)\
**Post date:** [May 27, 2012, 6:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088/40 "2012-05-27T18:00:05Z")

</div>

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> What would they have put on them and who would have flown them? The IJN had more carriers than it could use, later in the war. They even used some as decoys.

Tis extent of pilot shortage occurred only after 2+ years attrition.

Also, Yamato and Musashi were manned by ~2,500 men each.  
Shokaku-class AC carried about 1,000 less, including only ~75 pilots

> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> As **gunnergoz** sez, the IJN, much like Germany, had a poor system of training their pilots, leaving the best always on the front lines instead of sending some of them home to train other pilots. That did mean, at the early parts, the IJN had better pilots that we did. But later they (and the Luftwaffe) were sending dudes out who had only a handful of hours flying. And in both cases, they had a poorly thought out way to recover those super aces whilst the USN was sending out a Sub just to recover one down aviator.

Neither Germany nor Japan could afford the luxury of rotating pilots.  
That is one reason their defeat was assured.

However, it is reasonable to assume Japan could have had 2-3 times more  
fully manned AC to begin with, and that the Pacific war would have been  
consequently prolonged.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088.md?page=1)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-if-nations-were-not-so-slow-to-adopt-aircraft-carriers-in-ww2/623088.md?page=3)
