I’m going to resurrect this zombie as it is still topical, given that this week GM made the news twice:
Cash reserves down to $16 billion. Compare this with Huerta’s letter saying GM had $21 billion in cash. Bankruptcy is possible by end of year. I don’t envy Richard Wagoner his job.
Deutsche Bank says that GM shares were given a price target of $0.00 per.
I pretty much agree with everybody in this thread, especially those comments that referenced “accountants becoming President” because if you want to point to the one man who made the downfall of GM inevitable, you need look no further than Roger Smith, of Roger and Me fame. This guy was so bad at his job that he warrants nomination in the category of Worst Corporate Executive of All Time. Where do we begin?
… When he began his reign in 1981, GM had 46% of the US market. At the end (1990) it had dropped to 35%… this after creating a separate car company (Saturn) at a cost of $20 billion.
… He became obsessed with the concept of automation and robotics and spent no less than $25 billion on them, with financially disasterous results. One automated “plant of the future”, at Hamtramck, cost a minimum of $500 million to retool, with robots being front and center to the “answer” to Japanese competition - one of Roger Smith’s favorite sayings was “we’ve gotta automate away from these assholes” (workers). It didn’t work: the robots were very unreliable, even to the point of breaking windshields, and a car that came out of the Hamtramck factory had anywhere from $500 - $1,500 in extra costs sunk into it.
… In 1984 he paid $2.5 billion for Electronic Data Systems (EDS) and saddled GM with a crantankerous H. Ross Perot, who Smith then paid an additional $700+ million of GM’s money to get rid of him. GM spun off EDS 11 years later to a profit of $18 billion… not that it helped them in the long run.
… He was obsessed with the Org chart, believing that GM’s organizational structure was part of the problem. It was, but his solution (based on car size) was worse, one that effectively shut down the company for over a year.
… With all this money, over $45 billion, GM could have bought both Toyota and Nissan.
Roger Smith was a horrible executive, who could be counted on to make the wrong decision at the wrong time. GM didn’t have to fail in the 2000s if Roger Smith could’ve been forward-thinking enough to truly address the retirement benefit issue.
Perhaps the $20 billion spent on Saturn could’ve gone to strengthening the balance sheet. Who knows what would’ve happened then, had GM sunk $20 billion into shoring up its retirement fund by buying into the start of the biggest equity boom of our lifetimes?