What The Gun Industry Thinks Women Want

Kids have been encountering unlocked/unsupervised firearms almost since the first one was invented, when they were blued steel, stainless, black, whatever. Let’s not pretend that it’s the color of it that attracts them to it. Unless, of course, you’d like to make the case that there are more child-related accidental firearms deaths in the past, oh, let’s say 20 years since brightly colored guns became a thing.

To be clear, I’m not calling for regulation. I’m saying responsible firearm owners shouldn’t buy guns that are likely to attract toddler attention, at least if they could conceivably have kids at home. And that a gun enthusiast organization that cared about its member’s health would say as much.

Instead, we get radio silence from the NRA.

Guns don’t kill people, people kill people. Unsafe or irresponsible people kill people. Which we can see is the NRA’s core membership: the NRA loves mayhem. It leads to newspaper coverage, calls for gun control and a jizzed up membership. I mean you have to be pretty stupid or rather gullible to lack suspicion of a nonprofit that pays its leaders 5 or more times more than the competition. That’s the NRA base.

America’s armed and adorable toddlers. (Last link has sound: beware.)

Do you have any evidence that colored firearms present greater risk of injury or death of children?

Are you speaking hypothetically here? Or are you relating actual recent experiences?

[QUOTE=Measure For Measure]
To be clear, I’m not calling for regulation. I’m saying responsible firearm owners shouldn’t buy guns that are likely to attract toddler attention, at least if they could conceivably have kids at home.
[/quote]

Sounds reasonable to me.

Well, of course, there are more child-related accidental firearms deaths now than there were 20 years ago, if only because there are way more children and more guns. I don’t think that’s the argument you were trying to make, though.

Bright colors aren’t the only thing young children find attractive, of course. And once children are old enough to know what a gun is, their temptation to play with it is likely to be based less on its color than its function. However, very young children are attracted to brightly-colored toy-like objects: I don’t know why you’re twisting yourself in knots to try to deny this fairly basic fact.
Like I said, I don’t have any problem with reasonable law-abiding people owning guns, but I’m starting to wonder about shrill knee-jerk oversensitive types like you guys. We’re talking mere disapproval of a purely cosmetic feature here, and y’all are acting like it’s another assault weapons ban in the works. Not impressed.

Women police officers have been carrying pistols since they were allowed to do more than pass out parking tickets and direct traffic. I wonder how they feel about non-traditionally colored pistols as their off-duty weapons.

You are wrong.

Feel free to look up stats from CDC (for consistency, I included the age group 15-19 because historical data isn’t able to segregate out specific age groups. When running the data for just 0-17 on the more recent year, the trend holds). Here are stats for fatal unintentional firearm related incidents from 1999 to 2014:

1999 - 2014, United States
Unintentional Firearm Deaths and Rates per 100,000
All Races, Both Sexes, Ages 0 to 19
ICD-10 Codes: W32-W34


Year	Number of
Deaths	Population***	Crude
Rate
1999	214	80,039,972	0.27
2000	193	80,473,265	0.24
2001	182	80,906,541	0.22
2002	167	81,173,400	0.21
2003	151	81,425,816	0.19
2004	143	81,754,354	0.17
2005	173	82,005,260	0.21
2006	154	82,324,418	0.19
2007	138	82,749,431	0.17
2008	123	83,118,264	0.15
2009	114	83,280,391	0.14
2010	134	83,267,556	0.16
2011	140	82,840,576	0.17
2012	110	82,503,131	0.13
2013	124	82,296,428	0.15
2014	106	82,135,602	0.13

Both in total numbers and as a rate of population, figures show a significant trend. Of course, the claim was 20 years, so if we go back a bit further:
1981 - 1998, United States
Unintentional Firearm Deaths and Rates per 100,000
All Races, Both Sexes, Ages 0 to 19
ICD-9 Codes: E922


Year	Number of
Deaths	Population***	Crude
Rate
1981	604	71,793,753	0.84
1982	550	71,292,127	0.77
1983	504	70,856,742	0.71
1984	552	70,413,696	0.78
1985	519	70,261,185	0.74
1986	472	70,347,764	0.67
1987	467	70,557,551	0.66
1988	543	70,947,318	0.77
1989	567	71,354,692	0.79
1990	541	71,877,322	0.75
1991	551	72,515,411	0.76
1992	501	73,451,149	0.68
1993	526	74,570,487	0.71
1994	512	75,678,637	0.68
1995	440	76,645,725	0.57
1996	376	77,624,071	0.48
1997	306	78,485,092	0.39
1998	262	79,320,164	0.33

Would you look at that, the trend continues. You can look at non-fatal incidents too, though the data doesn’t go quite so far back:
Unintentional Firearm Gunshot Nonfatal Injuries and Rates per 100,000
2001 - 2014, United States
All Races, Both Sexes, Ages 0 to 19
Disposition: All Cases


Year	Number of
injuries	Population	Crude
Rate	Age-Adjusted
Rate**
2001	5,091	80,906,541	6.29	6.25
2002	4,136	81,173,400	5.09	5.03
2003	3,611	81,425,816	4.43	4.37
2004	3,950	81,754,354	4.83	4.72
2005	3,547	82,005,260	4.33	4.18
2006	3,087	82,324,418	3.75	3.62
2007	4,165	82,749,431	5.03	4.82
2008	3,998	83,118,264	4.81	4.60
2009	3,588	83,280,391	4.31	4.10
2010	3,019	83,267,556	3.63	3.50
2011	2,886	82,840,576	3.48	3.41
2012	2,683*	82,503,131	3.25	3.19
2013	3,127	82,296,428	3.80	3.73
2014	2,315	82,135,602	2.82	2.79

Is that the same knee jerk reaction that just knows you’re right, when you’re actually quite wrong? Facts aren’t a cosmetic feature.

So again:

Absolutely, if you include among “children” the group of teenagers who make up the vast majority of all firearms-related deaths and injuries for people under 18.

But that’s not really the population I was thinking of when I expressed concern about making guns look like toys.

Ya know, pink guns could be the solution to all those “Constitutional Carry” nimrods. Pass a law that says all guns sold in the US, and all accessories for them must be bright, Day-Glo pink. No exceptions and no grand-fathering in of old guns/parts. Let’s see how many of those jerks parade around carrying a pink AR-15. My bet is “None.”

I would take that bet. Plenty of people would have no issue with open carrying a pink AR-15 (and not just women or members of Pink Pistols). Hell, I would do it just for the humor of the situation - especially if I could get a matching tie for the rifle.

Tie and spats!

So rather than take the opportunity to clarify your non-standard use of English words, you avoid again the chance to present any evidence of your claim.

Here are the stats for Unintentional Firearm Deaths and Rates per 100,000; All Races, Both Sexes, Ages 0 to 19; broken up by age brackets, from 1981 to 2014:


Age	1981	1982	1983	1984	1985	1986	1987	1988	1989	1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	1996	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014
0-4	0.3	0.26	0.23	0.19	0.24	0.19	0.2	0.23	0.23	0.18	0.12	0.18	0.15	0.17	0.1	0.09	0.1	0.1	0.06	0.1	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.08	0.12	0.07	0.09	0.1	0.08	0.12	0.14	0.15	0.15	0.12
5-9	0.4	0.51	0.28	0.4	0.35	0.33	0.38	0.29	0.33	0.31	0.22	0.26	0.2	0.13	0.16	0.14	0.14	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.09	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.08	0.09	0.1	0.06	0.06	0.05	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.07
10-14	1	0.85	0.88	1.07	1.04	0.87	0.88	1.12	1.02	0.85	0.91	0.72	0.73	0.66	0.67	0.48	0.48	0.34	0.28	0.24	0.19	0.16	0.17	0.16	0.17	0.11	0.12	0.14	0.1	0.13	0.14	0.11	0.12	0.06
15-19	1.49	1.36	1.35	1.4	1.29	1.27	1.18	1.44	1.62	1.72	1.88	1.65	1.84	1.83	1.41	1.26	0.85	0.71	0.63	0.53	0.54	0.52	0.46	0.38	0.46	0.46	0.33	0.27	0.3	0.33	0.3	0.24	0.26	0.27
Total	3.19	2.98	2.74	3.06	2.92	2.66	2.64	3.08	3.2	3.06	3.13	2.81	2.92	2.79	2.34	1.97	1.57	1.32	1.06	0.96	0.9	0.81	0.74	0.69	0.83	0.73	0.64	0.57	0.54	0.63	0.66	0.53	0.6	0.52


So what population were you talking about? If you look at all age groups individually, for all years presented, there is a single year where the rate as compared to 20 years prior increased. That would be for the age 0-4 group, comparing the rate from 1991 to 2011 where the rate went from 0.12 to 0.14. In raw numbers that would be 24 incidents to 29 incidents. All other years in all other age groups for data available showed decreases. Here’s the summary to compare the rate from the given year to the rate with a 20 year lookback:


Age	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014
0-4	-0.22	-0.2	-0.19	-0.11	-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.13	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0	-0.05
5-9	-0.31	-0.44	-0.21	-0.33	-0.27	-0.24	-0.28	-0.23	-0.27	-0.26	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-0.06
10-14	-0.81	-0.69	-0.71	-0.91	-0.87	-0.76	-0.76	-0.98	-0.92	-0.72	-0.77	-0.61	-0.61	-0.6
15-19	-0.95	-0.84	-0.89	-1.02	-0.83	-0.81	-0.85	-1.17	-1.32	-1.39	-1.58	-1.41	-1.58	-1.56

So to summarize, you were wrong with your original claim that was about children, and you’re wrong again when you isolate age brackets of children. Let’s go for try #3:

*The cite does note: Rates based on 20 or fewer deaths may be unstable. Use with caution. Many of the figures above are based on very low numbers of events so the caveat applies. In the above, there are 135 records and 31 of them are based on a rate based on 20 or fewer deaths.

Not for ACCIDENTAL firearm death.

Thanks for this, I picked up on it too. The logic and arguments against the black version of a rifle didn’t hold up. That part of of the assault weapons ban is often openly mocked, even around here. Now we have criticism of the pink version of a pistol. Does anyone expect a different result?

I can imagine the gun control advocates head will explode over one of these. That’s bad news for the bad guys. Mind tricks don’t work in real life, but this will. :wink:

Add a Gay Pride rainbow emblem and I think your idea is brilliant. On the other hand, I personally would love to have a Hello Kitty AR-15 (unfortunately, there are too many teenagers in the family needing things like freshman tuition, car insurance, and food), so there would be people like me walking around with those weapons.

Bone - that’s some nice data. I perceive a break in the 0-4 series in ~1989-1994, after which accidental deaths declined. I wonder whether this is related to the tapering off of the crack and crack house epidemic.

“Do you have any evidence that colored firearms present greater risk of injury or death of children?”
I have evidence that colored guns on occasion have been mistaken for toys by children. Mind you, that doesn’t imply that all pink guns are dangerous. It’s pretty simple actually: don’t buy toy guns that look like real guns. Don’t buy real guns that look like toy guns. Responsible firearm owners and their advocates should be able to get behind that, even in the absence of empirical evidence. Because it’s patently unsafe.

Of course empirical evidence exists. To show the preceding, you don’t need to do a multivariate analysis and if you did you would almost certainly run into a risk of false negatives. You only need examples. There are all manner of dangerous proposals (e.g. bungee jumping with turkey twine) that don’t have statistical evidence of risk.

Here’s one from 2013: Three-Year-Old Boy Accidentally Shot In The Head While Playing with Pink Gun He Thought Was a Toy. I assume Kimstu wasn’t familiar with this case when she made her point. She just applied common sense.

I am sure there are unfortunate anecdotes where children are injured or killed because of mistakes or negligence with firearms. There are also similar incidents involving adults and black colored firearms. The problem is that both you and she have concluded based on “common sense” that bright colored firearms are inherently more dangerous. Yet when looking at the data, we can see that firearm deaths of children has generally declined contrary to what Kimstu stated. And what I find even worse than making a mistake, is the complete lack of effort in validating the claims that were made.

That being said, I do think it’s important to teach the difference between toys and real firearms. But if my kids wanted a pink or purple or blue or green rifle, I’d be glad to get them one. It doesn’t make them any more or less dangerous and it could encourage interest. Getting kids passionate about anything is an uphill battle so if a bit of color helps that’s fine by me. I’d probably do the paint job myself since it seems like it would be a fun project.

Sure, you can have a hypothesis but if it turned out that after looking at the data bungee jumping with turkey twine was actually more safe or no different than traditional methods, would you reevaluate your stance?

Aside from the fact that you seem to be equating an anecdote with data, do you think the problem with that story was that the gun was pink, or that it was left unsecured where a 7 and 3 year old could access it? Because there’s only one course of action that I would take to prevent that tragedy and it’s not leaving an unsecured *black colored *gun where a 7 and 3 year old could access it.

Of course. But if you’re dealing with rare events, it’s more likely that the data would be inconclusive.

We haven’t done a multivariate analysis. But if we did, it’s unlikely to pick up such small effects. Statisticians speak of the power of a test or estimator. When you are dealing with very rare events, you will have low power tests.

I hope I’m getting this concept across. While it was appropriate and interesting for you to present that data (and I’m guessing it refuted kimstu’s claim, since the decline in accident rates among the 0-4 set was sharp enough that it probably wasn’t outweighed by a greater population), it’s highly unlikely that you were going to tease statistically significant relationships out of noisy data.

Safety experts speak of layered defense strategies. So you do both. There’s no contradiction between not buying guns that look like toys and keeping them secure from kids.

One problem with modern gun enthusiasts is that they attack the very concept of a layered defense strategy. Not merely ignore. That’s unusual. You can see it with the emphasis on the 3 rules of gun safety. Pedagogically, the 3 rules are laudable. But to say that gun safety ends with the 3 rules is irresponsible. AFAIK, only gun enthusiasts take such a wacko stance and I maintain it’s because they are marinated in extremist literature. These are people that are far more concerned with protecting an idea than protecting their lives, health or personal safety.

As for anecdotes, they provide firm evidence of potential risk. They don’t provide evidence of substantial risk.

As I indicated, small occurrences in certain years may be unstable.

First - who knows what the claim was because she was using English words in non-standard ways and seems to not want to clarify her actual claim. Second - given any common understanding of English, her claim was refuted. Safety experts speak of layered defense strategies. So you do both. There’s no contradiction between not buying guns that look like toys and keeping them secure from kids.

First, it’s 4 rules for adults, and 3 rules for children. Second, no one takes this so called wacko stance that you suggest, though if the rules were followed nearly all incidents of unintentional injury or death would be avoided. Third, your constant denigration of your make believe boogeyman is tiresome.

What’s being attacked isn’t the concept of layered defense, what’s being attacked are factual errors. Have you concluded that the potential cost of colored firearms outweighs the potential benefits? How have you done that?

Actual experiences.

Blythe’s sports in Griffith, Indiana was a very good experience. First of all, when I walked in the salespeople greeted me. I was asked why I was interested in a firearm (personal defense? Home defense? Hunting? Collecting? Target shooting?). I was asked if I had any preferences regarding appearances or style. The salesman showed me their range of shotguns and when I held them made intelligent comments on whether or not the gun and stock physically fit me, which ones could be ordered with shorter/different stocks, noted that I was a left-handed shooter, and briefly reminded me of the pertinent laws and regulations for that type of firearm in my state. I was very, very pleased overall.

Westforth Sports, in unincorporated Calumet Township, I got much more of a “hur-hur - little lady wants a gun! Here, we have a tiny two-shot pistol in pink for you”. I will not be going back.

The Cabela’s the spouse and I went to in Highland was also a good experience. Again, I felt I was treated as a serious adult. They did have a selection of “girly” guns, which the salesman pointed out but made no further mention of when I said I liked black and blued steel. I’d feel comfortable going back to them, and their room full of collector’s and antiques was quite impressive (and quite out of my price range!). Cabela’s was also very good about have accessories that fit someone my size. Cabela’s also has a nice selection of bows, including crossbows (I own a crossbow already) which were fun to look at.

So, really, 2 out of 3 aren’t bad at all.