[QUOTE=ouryL]
Back in 70’s, a futurist told a radio talkshow host that he had a very very accurate prediction percentage…
25% :eek: :eek: :eek:
[/QUOTE]
Since most predictors have a batting average of very near 0%, 25% is extremely good.
You’re probably comparing 25% to the 50% of random chance between two choices. But the future consists of a infinite number of choices, making the proper expectation 0%. That’s why any continued success at all would be amazing enough to be worthy of the highest praise.