# What will be Wednesday’s headline {Poll added to OP}

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [November 3, 2024, 7:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623 "2024-11-03T19:03:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 11:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/41 "2024-11-03T23:15:58Z")

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“No Clear Winner Of Presidential Race As Charges Of Fraud And Vote-Stealing Fly.”  
“Key Swing States Still Up For Grabs; Absentee Ballot Counting Delayed In Some Areas. Trump Lawyers File Brief With Supreme Court.”

Or just “TRUMP WINS, PLEDGES TO LEAD AMERICA OUT OF DARKNESS”\*

\*N Y. Times headline.

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**Author:** ![Ferris](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ferris/32/11573_2.png) [@Ferris](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ferris)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 11:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/42 "2024-11-03T23:43:32Z")

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**Elderly man taken into custody on public nuisance charges**

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**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 11:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/43 "2024-11-03T23:55:37Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Apparently mail-in votes are very high this year too but it is uncertain who those voters are this time since COVID is not an issue.
> 
> Even if there are no shenanigans (and it is a really good bet there will be shenanigans) I doubt we would have a sense of who won until Thursday or Friday barring a landslide at the polls.

This is the most realistic assessment.

IMO the number of mail-in ballots in the many states that don’t count them until after Tue, essentially precludes _knowing_ who won in those many states. If they are foregone conclusions (CA=D, KS=R) the news media can make fairly safe assumptions.

But as was demonstrated in 2016, mail-in voting is a different demographic than same-day voting. I do not know exactly how early in-person voting is handled. Are those ballots stored uncounted like mail-in until Wed, or are they tallied in real time same as cast-in-person ballots on Tue itself are done.

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**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/44 "2024-11-03T23:57:40Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> I did try… my iPad did not want to cooperate.

I can do that for you if you want, but it’ll be down here at post 40-something.

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**Author:** ![ParallelLines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/parallellines/32/3575_2.png) [@ParallelLines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParallelLines)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/45 "2024-11-04T00:01:52Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> So, Wednesday morning it looked like Trump walked away with it. Then the mail-in votes changed it all over the next few days. This is a big reason (the main reason) Trump felt the election was stolen from him.

IIRC, another part of the problem is that counting is done easily and quickly (comparatively) in smaller, rural counties with low populations, classic Trump country. Heavily populated urban areas, with a (duh) large number of votes take a lot longer to complete and update by sheer volume, and lean more (D). So as vote after vote gets counted in metro areas, the votes turn bluer (generally) from the earlier completed precincts that are distinctly red.

Trump can see those early results, but ignores the whole “10% of the estimated votes in” when 70+% of the votes may be in those urban areas.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/46 "2024-11-04T00:03:02Z")

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> [@LSLGuy](#):
>
> Are those ballots stored uncounted like mail-in until Wed, or are they tallied in real time same as cast-in-person ballots on Tue itself are done.

I _think_ the ballots are registered as being cast but not counted (so you can check online that your ballot was received). You just know there will be some insider who would spill the beans on who is winning either to the media or to a campaign.

So, my understanding is they are not counted until after the polls close. Too much temptation for that info to get out.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/47 "2024-11-04T00:03:51Z")

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Definitely that too.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/48 "2024-11-04T00:08:09Z")

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Respectfully, I think some of you are still letting yourselves be traumatized by 2000. I expect that we will have a winner by midnight Pacific time.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/49 "2024-11-04T00:10:30Z")

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2020 was called four days after the election (Saturday).

It seems likely Trump will try to muddy this election too unless he walks away a winner.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/50 "2024-11-04T00:11:52Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> It seems likely Trump will try to muddy this election too unless he walks away a winner.

He can roll around in the mud all he wants. It will neither delay nor change the outcome.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/51 "2024-11-04T00:12:26Z")

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It sure did in 2020. Maybe not the outcome but it delayed it. Presumably republicans have learned a thing or two since that election and will be better at it this time.

Trump’s sycophants are mostly idiots but I think the conservative think tanks have smart people who read the tea leaves.

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**Author:** ![candide](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/46a35a/32.png) [@candide](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/candide)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/52 "2024-11-04T00:14:50Z")

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Mine is for a tabloid. And since newspapers are largely gone, it is for the erstwhile Philadelphia Daily News:

**Don Loses!**** For 2025, Orange is the new Blue!**

And Don is photoshopped into a tailored suit in penitentiary orange with a navy blue tie down to his penis. He’s shackled at the waist and ankles.

At the bottom is the sub-headline:

**The women of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Philadelphia Counties tell the President, "Fuck you, Don! We can take care of ourselves!!**

Maybe Philadelphia Newspapers will put out a special edition?

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/53 "2024-11-04T00:22:03Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> It sure did in 2020. Maybe not the outcome but it delayed it.

What are you referring to? Nothing Trump did in 2020 delayed the counting of votes or the projection of a winner. Every single one of his court challenges were summarily tossed out and his whining failed to prevent the media from reporting the results as they came in.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/54 "2024-11-04T00:28:15Z")

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We have a fairly long thread in P&E about republican attempts to tilt the election.

Why you think this will have no effect come election day I am not sure. Such attempts will take more time to resolve and thus the election won’t be settled in a night (probably…I hope it is).

> [@Actual attempts of Republicans trying to steal the upcoming presidential election in 2024](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/actual-attempts-of-republicans-trying-to-steal-the-upcoming-presidential-election-in-2024/1007533):
>
> I know Trump went in with stealing an election but, really it was him who was trying to steal the election in 2020. So, let’s list here how republicans are trying to steal the 2024 election (if someone wants to start a democrats stealing the election in 2024 go for it). I’ll start: [Georgia election board orders hand count of votes in US presidential contest](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/georgia-election-board-may-order-hand-count-votes-us-presidential-contest-2024-09-20/) Georgia’s Republican-controlled election board voted on Friday to require a labor-intensive hand count of potentially millions of ball…

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/55 "2024-11-04T00:33:51Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> We have a fairly long thread in P&E about republican attempts to tilt the election.

Which have, by and large, NOT gone their way, including the one mentioned in the OP you linked;

> **[Judge invalidates election rules passed by Trump-backed board in Georgia](https://apnews.com/article/georgia-election-rules-court-challenges-e24b1e6ecbdb44d97f81c91a4238d579)**
>
> A Georgia judge has declared that seven new election rules recently passed by the State Election Board are “illegal, unconstitutional and void.”

There’s no “stop counting the votes before they’re all counted” button and no judge is going to create one. 2024 is not 2000.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/56 "2024-11-04T00:34:27Z")

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But they delayed the final results.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/57 "2024-11-04T00:34:59Z")

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How? Please point to a specific action Trump or his team took in 2020 that delayed the winner of the election being known.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/58 "2024-11-04T00:38:20Z")

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One of these things is not like the other. I wonder what the difference was? Also, it is clear Trump means to challenge any results not in his favor. I am curious what makes you think they’ll figure the winner in a day or so?

(And 2000, of course, which was unique)

* * *

From: [https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4954203-heres-when-past-presidential-elections-were-called/](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4954203-heres-when-past-presidential-elections-were-called/)

## 2020

[President Biden](https://thehill.com/people/joe-biden/)was [projected](https://www.ap.org/elections/our-role/how-we-call-races/) the winner by the AP at 11:26 a.m. EST on Saturday, Nov. 7 — four days after Election Day.

## 2016

[President Trump](https://thehill.com/people/donald-trump/)was [projected](https://blog.ap.org/behind-the-news/calling-the-presidential-race-state-by-state) the winner by the AP at 2:29 a.m. EST on Wednesday, Nov. 9 — the day after Election Day.

## 2012

[President Obama](https://thehill.com/people/barack-obama/)was [projected](https://www.ap.org/media-center/press-releases/2012/ap-calls-the-presidential-race-state-by-state/) the winner by the AP at 11:38 p.m. EST on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6.

## 2008

President [Obama](https://thehill.com/people/obama/)was [projected](https://www.theguardian.com/world/deadlineusa/2008/nov/04/uselections2008-johnmccain) the winner around 11 p.m. on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 4, according to The Guardian, which noted that Republican nominee [John McCain](https://thehill.com/people/john-mccain/)conceded the race at 11:18 p.m. EST.

## 2004

Democratic challenger [John Kerry](https://thehill.com/people/john-kerry/)called President [George W. Bush](https://thehill.com/people/george-w-bush-2/)shortly after 11 a.m. EST to concede, [according](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/03/uselections2004.usa23) to AP.

## 2000

There was no call from the AP. Supreme Court [ended](https://constitutioncenter.org/amp/blog/on-this-day-bush-v-gore-anniversary) the Florida recount vote in the White House race between George W. Bush and Al Gore on December 12, 2000. Gore conceded to Bush on December 13, 2000 after 36 days, [according](https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/bush-gore-2000-election-results-studies/index.html) to CNN.

## 1996

[President Clinton](https://thehill.com/people/bill-clinton/)was projected the winner by AP at 9 p.m. EST on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, AP’s vice president [told](https://www.npr.org/2020/10/30/929402276/how-the-associated-press-calls-winners-during-the-election) NPR in 2020.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/59 "2024-11-04T00:40:00Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Also, it is clear Trump means to challenge any results not in his favor.

Which will result in the same thing it did last time - summary dismissal for lack of standing.

> [@](#):
>
> I am curious what makes you think they’ll figure the winner in a day or so?

It’s not going to be a close finish.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2024, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-be-wednesday-s-headline-poll-added-to-op/1009623/60 "2024-11-04T00:41:30Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> It’s not going to be a close finish.

I sure hope you are right. I really, really do.

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