# What will happen in the next 10 weeks?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 7, 2020, 7:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002 "2020-11-07T19:31:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 10\
**Page:** 8

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2020, 5:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/141 "2020-11-17T17:31:30Z")

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What I read elsewhere (probably NY Times) is that once the lease is signed it would be very hard to breach it. You cannot break a contract without damn good reason. He is apparently trying to do things it will be very hard to undo, at least without congress.

He is apparently trying to get an invasion or at least a bombing of Iran started as a going away present.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2020, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/142 "2020-11-17T20:13:44Z")

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I’m not sure that he will bother with destruction for its own sake. Unless he can get something out of it or direct it against his enemies, I think it would take too much effort to leave a stinking crater.

He’s going to continue stoking his base to hysteria. I don’t think that there will be riots per-se since that doesn’t seem to the the Alt-rights MO unless they go full pogrom. Instead they tend toward organized criminal and violent acts, akin to the Witmer kidnapping or these [two idiots.](https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/crime/2020/11/06/philadelphia-police-arrest-armed-men-heading-convention-center-votes-counted/6186203002/)

The main ticking time bomb is that the government runs out of money on December 11th. Trump has no motivation to keep it running, who cares about public sentiment, his base loved the last shutdown. He will see his cooperation with Congress as a bargaining chip, and will want something pretty damn big for it.

Meanwhile Georgia will start voting on its monumentally important senate runoff 3 days later, with McConnell needing to make the case that the senate should stay in Republican hands. It will be interesting to see how McConnell tries to distance himself from Trumps obvious obstructionism without pissing off his base. In any case I lay even odds that the government will be shut down from December 11th through Jan 20th, unless there are enough Republicans willing to risk the wrath of the Trump party to overide his veto with a 2/3 majority in both houses.

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**Author:** ![KidCharlemagne](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@KidCharlemagne](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/KidCharlemagne)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2020, 9:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/143 "2020-11-17T21:22:36Z")

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He’ll bomb Iran just to leave Biden with a mess. I was wondering why the purge at the Pentagon - thought it might have been getting a loyal military to keep him in office. Nope. It’s to start a fucking war.

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2020, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/144 "2020-11-17T22:26:04Z")

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I don’t know about bombing Iran, but the immediate reason for the purge is the draw down of troops from Iraq and Afghanistan. Not saying that bombing won’t happen; it very well could, but maybe a lot closer to the inauguration.

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**Author:** ![Muffin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muffin/32/4341_2.png) [@Muffin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Muffin)\
**Post date:** [December 14, 2020, 9:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/145 "2020-12-14T09:49:14Z")

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> [@Sam\_Stone](#):
>
> There will be no right-wing riots.  
> . . . .  
> Those are my predictions.

Right wing rioting by the Proud Boys, tearing down a Black Lives Matter sign from a Black church.

> <https://twitter.com/i/status/1337968919286591488>

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**Author:** ![Senegoid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senegoid/32/6606_2.png) [@Senegoid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Senegoid)\
**Post date:** [December 14, 2020, 11:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/146 "2020-12-14T23:59:43Z")

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> [@Ann\_Hedonia](#):
>
> Right now, Trump has his little core army of batshit crazy. Rudy. Corey Lewondoski. Pam Bondi. Matt Schlapp. Matt Gaetz, Trump Jr, Eric , Ivanka, Jared, Jim Jordan, Brad Parscale , Ric Grennell and probably a half dozen more at least whose names escape me. They’ll be with him until the bitter end.
> 
> \< . . . \>
> 
> People that have defended Trump to the end before. \< . . . \>
> 
> I didn’t list Bill Barr because he’s getting fired.

Done!

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**Author:** ![Kimstu](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ecd19e/32.png) [@Kimstu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kimstu)\
**Post date:** [January 8, 2021, 8:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/147 "2021-01-08T20:00:50Z")

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> [@Sam\_Stone](#):
>
> There will be no right-wing riots.

Noted.

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [January 8, 2021, 9:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/148 "2021-01-08T21:37:50Z")

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> [@Sam\_Stone](#):
>
> Trump will ontinue to contest the election legally until he runs out of time or it becomes clear he can’t win.
> 
> Then he will sulk and claim the election was stolen, but live with the result since he has no choice.
> 
> In the meantime, he’ll do what every lame duck does: Write a few executive orders, pardon a bunch of people, and then leave office. The left and some of the right will scream bloody murder at some of the pardons, I’m guessing. Wildcard: Trump pardons Julian Assange, Edward Snowden, or both.
> 
> No one is going to prosecute him for anything, unless they go after him after he leaves office for things he did before being president. But my prediction is that once Trump is no longer in office, people will stop caring about ‘getting’ him.
> 
> If Alexandria Ocasio Cortez keeps calling for Trump’s entire administration to be investigated and charged, her own party will tell her to shut up. A lot of Democrats are blaming her and the ‘squad’ and other progressive Democrats for their terrible showing in the House and Senate, for good reason. Her star is going to fall, and the moderate Democrats will start asserting themselves again. ‘Socialism’, democratic or otherwise, will once again be a verboten word among Democrats.
> 
> There will be no right-wing riots. However, the media and big tech are going to have a lot of answering to do, since Republicans control the Senate and have investigative power. I expect hearings, and Twitter in particular has opened itself up to some serious ramifications. I wouldn’t be surprised if a lawsuit claims that Twitter stepped outside the parameters of section 230 and is liable for damages. This is especially true if it turns out the Hunter and Joe Biden accusations are real.
> 
> Those are my predictions.

This post _ **really** _ didn’t age well, on so many levels. I love it when people are so naive that they insist that Trump is psychologically normal.

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**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\
**Post date:** [January 8, 2021, 9:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/149 "2021-01-08T21:42:26Z")

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> [@Ann\_Hedonia](#):
>
> This post _ **really** _ didn’t age well, on so many levels. I love it when people are so naive that **they insist that Trump is psychologically normal.** -

He is, from a certain point of their view.

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**Author:** ![Kimstu](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ecd19e/32.png) [@Kimstu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kimstu)\
**Post date:** [January 8, 2021, 9:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-happen-in-the-next-10-weeks/925002/150 "2021-01-08T21:47:26Z")

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> [@Ann\_Hedonia](#):
>
> I love it when people are so naive that they insist that Trump is psychologically normal.

I don’t think it’s so much naivete, as I [recently noted](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/insurrection-of-2021-you-did-this/930059/6), as part of a large-scale Republican/conservative effort at “frog boiling”.

Republican/conservative minoritarian politics now depends upon concerted anti-democracy machinations to be able to win elections and block majoritarian governance. The longer they can keep stalling us that this is fine, this is normal, this is business as usual in two-party politics, the more opportunities they have to consolidate their own power before the rest of us call them out on it.

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