# What will you do if Trump wins in November? **URL:** \ **Category:** In My Humble Opinion\ **Tags:** trump\ **Created:** [February 7, 2024, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-you-do-if-trump-wins-in-november/997214 "2024-02-07T01:52:22Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 125
**Author:** ![Machine\_Elf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/82dd89/32.png) [@Machine\_Elf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Machine_Elf)\ **Post date:** [February 8, 2024, 8:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-you-do-if-trump-wins-in-november/997214/125 "2024-02-08T20:00:02Z")
> [@thorny\_locust](#): > > The other thing to watch out for is that life expectancies taken from birth are different from life expectancy for people who’ve already made it to a later age. An average taken from birth is going to be brought down by all the people who died anywhere from immediately after birth all the way through to the current age. > > Plus which, even an average taken from 80 includes all the people who at 80 are alive but significantly ill; as well as the ones who, whether apparently already ill or not, are without good access to medical care. About ten years ago I compiled a bunch of demographic data and compiled my own conditional probability tables, i.e. given you are X years old, what is your probability of surviving for another 1/5/10 years: > [@Life expectancy histogram?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/life-expectancy-histogram/567949): > > Life expectancy in the US is approaching 80 years. This is of course an average; some people die shortly after being born, while others live for well over a century, and everyone else dies at some in-between age. Anyone know where I can view something like a life expectancy histogram, for the US and/or the world? This might be a complicated thing, since life expectancy is often calculated differently depending on one’s current age. How about something simpler: is there a histogram showing th… My numbers are somewhere between what @WalterBishop and @Riemann cited. Given that Joe Biden is 81 right now, I show he’s got a 56% chance of surviving to 86 (i.e. completing a second term as President), and a 47% chance of surviving to 87, i.e. his remaining life expectancy (without considering any other info) is somewhere between five and six years. If you add in the fact that he’s got access to great health care, is not socially isolated, and seems to get at least a bit of exercise, I think he’s probably got pretty good odds of making it into his 90s. That said, he’s already moving and speaking more slowly than he did when he was campaigning in 2020; I’d rather see him in office than Trump for the next four years, but I am concerned about what kind of condition he’ll be in as he approaches the end of a second term. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/what-will-you-do-if-trump-wins-in-november/997214)._