# What's Trump's October Surprise? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [July 17, 2020, 3:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whats-trumps-october-surprise/915544 "2020-07-17T03:13:16Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 179
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [September 21, 2020, 7:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whats-trumps-october-surprise/915544/179 "2020-09-21T19:06:18Z")
> [@GIGObuster](#): > > According to 538, Trump has gone down from having close to 30 in 100 chances for winning to 22 in 100 now. I think that that change is primarily due to the confidence intervals shrinking as we get more polls and we get closer to the election. The polls have been very steady. To the OP, I posted the following to the TACFITM thread but was it was immediately overshadowed by the news of RBG’s death. Perhaps it could find a better home here. > [@The Trump Administration: A Clusterfuck in the Making Part Deux (Part 1)](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-administration-a-clusterfuck-in-the-making-part-deux-part-1/911083/3752): > > ### [Assange lawyer says Trump offered a deal to avoid extradition in exchange for…](https://www.sunjournal.com/2020/09/18/assange-lawyer-says-trump-offered-a-deal-to-avoid-extradition-in-exchange-for-documents/?rel=related) > > The alleged “win-win” deal by President Donald Trump would allow Assange to avoid extradition to the U.S. if he revealed the source of a leak of documents from the Democratic Party ahead of the 2016 election. > > How much do you want to bet that the source of the leaks will “stunningly” be found to be Seth Rich, or the Ukrainians or Joe Biden himself. Anyone but the Russians. > > 🤢 --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whats-trumps-october-surprise/915544)._