Well, nobody has since the term was coined in 1812.
Gerrymandering has been around a long time, but new technology and better mapping information makes it more efficient than it was in the past. It will take a +7 percent vote advantage for Democrats to gain a simple majority in the House.
It would have to have been produced by the constitution in the first place, or it wouldn’t be in a position to act against or outside it.
As indeed in the UK after the Civil War, to the point that the army was only authorised to exist by an Act of Parliament that had to be debated and voted annually - right up to 1955 if memory serves!
One can trace a number of the founding principles of your constitution back to the thinking of the Civil War and post-Civil War period in England - in this case, the Parliamentarians had the memory of a king raising an army to suppress their rights, and the Royalists the memory of parliamentary rule descending into more or less a military dictatorship - and radical democrats had the memory of oppression by both. Likewise, the objections raised in 1688 to James VII/II permitting Catholic landed gentry to bear arms, but taking away that right from the lower orders (Protestant and Catholic alike).
But the question still remains, what might fail in the system of checks and balances to permit Caesarism to happen, and what way is there to deal with it, short of recourse to arms?
The trouble with that is the moment you fire the first shot you become a criminal and the government can go after you with everything it has.
I agree and depending on how widespread or how popular the rebellion there would probably be defectors from both law enforcement and the military who could lend their expertise and possibly supply military grade equipment to the rebellion. Almost every nation on Earth would have an interest in the outcome of an American rebellion. It’s safe to assume some would lend financial support or supply arms to the side they thought best matched their own interests.
Perhaps you don’t understand the use of ‘I don’t think’ and ‘I personally think’…these generally indicate someone giving their opinion. Your opinion is that it’s already happened based on your read of history. I think these are indications that our system has grown stronger over time, able to shift with the shifting attitudes, culture and mores of the citizens and been able, over time, to at least shift our system in better ways. We haven’t solved all the problems, but IN MY HONEST OPINION, it’s gotten progressively better over time…and will continue to do so. And IN MY HONEST OPINION we have progressed past the stage where the whole thing will fall apart into some banana republic fascist nightmare. And IN MY HONEST OPINION, you are wrong.
See how that works? BTW, where did you get that last bit of horseshit about arming everyone and letting god sort things out from anything I said or wrote? Just curious.
Well, the entire history of US voting has been a progression of technology changing the game, and each side attempting to game it for their own ends. In the latest round the Republicans seemed to have come out on top, to be sure, but I have every confidence that they are smart enough to figure something out at some point.
(emphasis added)
Sure, but would the military all line up behind a dictator who abrogated the Constitution?
I mean, if it got so damn bad there was a mass civilian armed uprising, I’d expect many members of the military to join in, even whole units like the National Guard.
So it would be another Civil war, but with few geographical boundaries.
What about the situation we have now in Georgia where the GOP candidate is using his current position as Secretary of State to prevent blacks from voting in a transparent attempt to “win” an election through undemocratic means; do you believe violence is reasonable to restore democracy?
Have you seen Afghanistan recently (or even not recently)? Is that what we want for our country?
People have to be in pretty desperate situation in order to strap a bomb onto their chest and blow themselves up.
In any case, they are not winning the war. Are we anywhere near surrendering to Afghanistan?
Puerto Rico doesn’t pay federal income tax. D.C. does have a more justified complaint, but they have stopped at making snarky comments on their license plates.
I have always said that I would never take up arms against a country that has free and fair elections.
Has it ever been the case in history that oppressors have stopped oppressing because the oppressed asked nicely enough?
Military grade equipment? Does that include planes, tanks and helicopters? If so, does that include the logistical supply chain to keep that equipement in repair?
Our military is far bigger than anyone else’s by a significant enough margin that I don’t think that anyone would even dare get involved, for fear of ending up supporting the losing side. If there is any involvement from overseas, it will be to assist the side that most appears able to win to further suppress their population.
I don’t think the point is that this is what anyone would want for the country. No one wanted a Civil War, either. Certainly they have to be pretty desperate to do the whole semi-intelligent guided bomb thingy, but that’s kind of what we’d be talking about.
I’d say currently, it’s a draw at best. But here is the thing…IIRC, the Taliban has less than 100k actual fighters. Even if we double that it’s only 200k (this is being way generous too…I’ve heard they might have as few as 30k). And most of them are pretty untrained, since the cream of the crop has been continually worn away by attacks. Think about those numbers for a moment. Then consider…in Afghanistan, the Taliban are holding their own against a coalition of forces, using modern integrated ground, sea and air attacks and they have very little modern support. THEY don’t have the integrated systems or advanced technology…mainly, they have a bunch of guys with guns, improvised explosives and maybe some old Soviet era tanks that are held together with bailing wire and duct tape, with a smattering of some heavy (old ass) guns, again from the Soviet era.
Finally, consider what the average American would have access too in comparison. Next time you are in a store, look around. Then consider…if enough citizens really rose up against the government, whether for a noble cause or not, some percentage of the US military (and police) are going to as well. The US military isn’t the Pretorian guard…it’s comprised of folks just like you, me and everyone else in this thread. Hell, I’m guessing I’m not the only one who is former military in this thread alone. These folks aren’t in lock step, and they can certainly decide for themselves which side they are on. And you can bet that some percentage of them are going to be on the side opposing the government, just as a percentage of them will be on the governments side…and a percentage of them will be on the fence. Just like the citizens.
So, taking that into account, this is why Afghanistan and other such uprisings are brought up…because real life isn’t a movie. In real life, things are complicated and messy, instead of black and white, a few stupid bible thumpin’ gun nuts fighting out in the open Red Dawn style so the military can keep things high and tight and be home by supper verse reality, where potentially millions of armed citizens are fighting potentially millions of other armed citizens with the military and police taking sides as well.
You seem to have taken my post as some kind of personal attack, which I assure was not the intent. However, the notion of private citizens armed with small arms and IEDs enjoining in an uprising to overthrow a tyrannical regime is at best fanciful and at worst foments exactly the kind of radicalization which an oppressive government could use to justify the creation of a police state. Textual Innuendo actually has it right; all of the self-proclaimed “patriots” and “sovereign citizens” who insist an absolute right to own whatever weapons they wish as some kind of check against dictatorship have well abrogated any presumed responsibility they have for doing so when the government openly acknowledged engaging in warrantless wiretapping, affirming the right of “corporate persons” to engage in politically chicanery while their benefactors remain anonymous, and various other acts that undermine the essential democratic norms upon which our assurances that the Constitution is worth more than just a ragged piece of parchment rest. The only “horseshit” is maintaining the idea that these are the people who are going to save the US from tyranny by engaging in some kind of armed rebellion, doubtless resulting in their deaths and those of many other innocent people to no good end.
It is true that the general protection of personal rights has improved dramatically over the history of the nation, from literally enslaving a demographic and denying approximately half the population the right to vote or often even own property to near-universal suffrage and the use of federal authority to assure that rights are protected even when the leaders a particular region view some people as not deserving of those rights. But it is also the case that we’ve seen some pretty dramatic reversals of that trend toward a liberal (in the classical, not political sense) democracy, and they have all been the result of actions by one party. The “both sides do it” argument doesn’t really hold water beyond partisan gerrymandering, which is a pervasive and probably unsolvable issue, and even there it is clear that one side is gerrymandering in a more systematic and concerted fashion.
If you are expecting a military uprising against a would-be dictator, then you don’t really need those partisan rebels very much, do you? But military revolts tend to take on their own character, typically (though not always) resulting in a military dictatorship that is reluctant to hand over power to an elected leader. Regardless, citizens armed with small arms and whatever IEDs they can MacGyver together without blowing their fingers off aren’t going to have much of a say against a military force for or against them, and especially if the military controls logistics, transportation, and borders.
Returning to the claims that non-soldier combatants in Afghanistan, Iraq, et cetera have effectively held out from concerted military force, this is true, but it is also true that they haven’t actually formed any kind of stable government (and in the case of Afghanistan, do not want one beyond tribal alliances that have actually been the governing force for centuries). I suppose if you want to live in a lawless near-wasteland with mob rule and no infrastructure, education, or hope, then that might seem appealing. I would rather work to avoid that kind of scenario, though, as most of the developed world (aside from the former Czechoslovakia) has for the last seven decades.
Stranger
I think you mean Yugoslavia. Czechoslovakia managed to split up entirely peacefully.
Goddamnit…yes, Yugoslavia. For some reason my brain keeps getting the two confused.
Stranger
On the other hand, once Robespierre went down, everyone stepped back from the edge and started to go a better direction. And while the outcome of the assassination of Arch-duke Ferdinand was not pleasant, it did send things in a different direction.
The point is not that assassinations work or coups work or revolutions work or whatever else, it’s that context matters.
Your argument was, “This will be a pitched battle on an open field between the entire army of the United States against a disorganized group of random citizens with pistols. And that being true, the citizens have no hope. Ergo, the Second Amendment is useless.”
That argument is, simply, stupid. You have excluded so much middle that you’re barely even leaving a paper-thin fraction of rind.
There are an infinite number of ways that everything could play out. And even if we say that in a majority of those cases an armed populace would not help, that still doesn’t mean that the fractions are the same between armed and unarmed. Almost certainly, the populace has less of a disadvantage when they’re armed. And what the politicos feel comfortable doing on the road from here to there is different when any one of them could be gunned down in the street by an angry citizen.
Well, talking about how terrible it would be may have some small effect of preventing people from deciding it to be a viable option.
They live in mountainous and nasty terrain. Hard to control and contain. It would be like all your “freedom fighters” heading up to the Rocky Mountains and holing up. Who cares what they do up there, when all the productive areas are secured?
The fact that we have all these nice things is part of the reason why we would not revolt. Take all these things away, and we may revolt, but then we don’t have all these things with which to revolt anymore.
I don’t know how the military will react, but I do think that most military will follow the direction given by their commanders. Deserters, if they are not caught and prosecuted, are not going to be creating a military force to oppose the US military, they will be, at best, hiding in the mountains.
We’ve killed thousands of civilians in Afghanistan, and our military isn’t fracturing over it. In Afghanistan, there are hundreds, maybe thousands killed for every US soldier.
If we have millions of civilians taking up guns and going out and fighting each other in the streets, then when are we going to have any time at all to overthrow the government?
I can’t tell if folks are being deliberately obtuse, or if they really can’t see it. It’s like people think that the military and police will be in lockstep and that the rebels will be some compilation of Avatar natives riding into fire on horses and a replaying of those idiots in Waco or Ruby Ridge. Just some idiotic bible thumpin’ gun nuts, standing in a field, waiting for the gubbermint to mow them down.
I mean, you guys seem to realize that in Afghanistan, a bunch of guys (a few 10’s of thousands, MAYBE 100k) with guns have pretty much fought the US to a standstill. And that similar things happened in, oh, say Vietnam and Iraq. Somehow, it’s impossible for you guys to make any sort of connection there. And it really IS impossible for you guys to even think that the military and police might not be in total lockstep with the government. Oh, sure…some individual deserters or something. What can they do against the might of the US? So, a few deserter types and some bible thumpers with guns…easy meat! The military would just mow those civilians down probably while slapping each other on the back and saying USA!! USA!! USA!!
Except that reality isn’t an Avatar movie. James Cameron is a good story teller, but knows dick all about the military. In reality, you could have whole regiments, even divisions breaking away to join the rebels. You could have whole towns doing so. You don’t NEED to have a couple schlubs up in the Rockies playing out Red Dawn…we live on a freaking continent sized nation. Look the fuck around…even if the military and police were in total lock step, there is no way they could lock down a nation this sized unless it really was your strawman of a couple of gun nuts beating off on their bibles. But it wouldn’t be…and we haven’t even started getting into who else might be helping the rebels. Perhaps everyone would be too frightened about the big, bad US wolf if we had a new civil war, but I seriously doubt it. China and Russia would almost certainly, and just for shits and giggles be willing to smuggle in support.
I just want to end here with some reality check numbers, since this seems to be going over folks heads. There are over 250 million guns in the US…probably double that. There are, currently, over 40 million gun owners in the US. And there are over 300 million citizens. If 1% of those gun owners ALONE decide to kick in with the rebels, that’s 400k armed people (consider that in the context of what we were talking about wrt the Taliban). Even if all of the government is in lockstep to put them down as hard as they can, that’s going to be a hell of a task in a country this sized. If 1% of the total population decides to join in that’s 3 MILLION people…there are guns enough to arm them many times over. That’s going to be impossible to lock down, even if they all just stupidly came out on their horses painted blue and charging at every military base or police station in the country.
Try and consider, for just a moment, that perhaps, just perhaps, a few military and police might join them…and what that would mean. Just try and set aside your visions of movies and preconceptions about gun nuts and bibles for just a moment and think about it. Whether they would win or lose, it’s not going to be a cake walk or turkey shoot, even if you get robotic soldiers and police willing to mow down hapless civilians by the boatload.
I’m sorry by my memory is not what it once was. You’ll have to remind me where in the Federalist Papers or other writings of the Founding Fathers they discussed the need for an armed citizenry to conduct political assassination.
As for Robespierre, I think you need to do some reading up on dissent within the National Convention and the Thermidorian Reaction. The arrest and execution of Maximilien Robespierre was hardly a singular incident that brought down the Committee for Public Safety and the French Revolutiuon; it was one in a series of internal conflicts and disagreements that were longstanding within the National Convention and associated groups.
Citing the resulting war that was ostensibly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand hardly makes the case for the positive impact of political assassination, but again that killing took place within a larger context of nations already at each other’s throats, and if it had not been the unwarranted assassination (Ferdinand was actually an advocate for expanded rights to Czechs and Slavs within the Austro-Hungarian Empire) there would doubtless have been some other casus belli that would have kicked off a war over tensions that had been boiling for sixty-odd years with the rise of the Kingdom of Prussia.
Stranger