[QUOTE=The King of Soup]
This is one of the assertions I have trouble with. I spent some time thinking up the fundamental differences between ordinary criminals and terrorists earlier, and while they’re a mere milkshake of the available facts and my powers of reason, that’s pretty much all I have. I have to ask, why do you think this is true? And, without waiting for the evidence that it is true (it might be, I suppose, but then absolute bans vs. strict regulation might end up making even more sense), I still find myself anchored by the unproven-but-pretty-sound idea that unlike a criminal, a terrorist or group of terrorists would much prefer to commit only one crime: the one that makes headlines and kills hundreds or thousands and frightens millions. They don’t want to risk committing minor victimless crimes and getting nabbed on their way to glory. That’s the kind of thing that can expose a lot of resources. There’s also the thought lurking that we might still be able to resurrect some vestige of international cooperation for strictly defensive measures. And of course, my general rule is still that you don’t shrink away from enforcing a good law because of a vague threat that someone might try to break or circumvent it. That’s the argument made popular by that famous legalist, Attila.
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The way I really think about it, when I think like a terrorist I do think that there’s a single operation that most terrorists would like to accomplish, as opposed to the petty criminal. However, my brain says “If I were a terrorist, I’d want to do it correctly. Since I am not a petty criminal, I have a limited pool of funding (even Bin Laden’s millions will run out eventually) and so I must at least nod towards frugality if I wish my grandchildren to have the means to continue this if necessary. Additionally, given the legal climate in my current target-du-jour, I am forced to consider which is more worthwhile: Shall I spend $10,000 on a legal sniper rifle, with the object of destroying one petroleum tank farm or a few aircraft on a tarmac, with the associated risks of training to use the rifle (not easy by any means) and the suspicion that will fall on me as an arab-american with a heavy anti-material rifle. Or should I take note of the fact the US has notoriously porous borders, especially from Canada, and ship in potentially hundreds of easy-to-use RPG rocket launchers, each of which can destroy an aircraft or vehicle or small building with little to no training, albeit at a shorter range.”
If I’m the terrorist, knowing my biggest resource is lots of warm bodies and spreading the feeling of vulnerability and fear as much as possible, I’m going with the RPGs and hitting a hundred targets instead of one. You clearly disagree, but since neither of us is to my knowledge psychic, I suppose the question will remain open.
[QUOTE=The King of Soup]
Besides which, it’s impossible to ignore – Zeriel, you seem honest and sincere, but aren’t you now arguing simultaneously for a ban on certain 4-inch bullets, which presumably you think enforceable, and against a ban on 30", 30# guns, on the grounds that they would be too easy to smuggle? A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, but consistency isn’t always foolish, you know?
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Different rationale–I’m arguing from a basis of “what is the best way to implement restrictions that take away as much of the terroristic/criminal potential of a weapon as possible while retaining as much of the sporting/recreational potential as possible.” I’d frankly be perfectly happy if all such ammunition disappeared except for military storehouses. Similarly, I’m not actually at all worried about any potential consequences of widespread civilian availability of said rounds, but it’s got such a small effect on overall freedom that I’m willing to concede it.
[QUOTE=The King of Soup]
Please clarify this: if illegal weapons cause 100X the deaths that legal weapons do, then you’d agree to a ban? This doesn’t seem like much of an offer to me: why shouldn’t weapons be banned if legally-owned ones caused 100X the deaths illicit ones do? Besides, the fact that a recently developed, devastatingly powerful weapon hasn’t yet been used in the U.S. by civilian terrorists for its intended military use doesn’t sway me much. I’ll tell you what, though: are you willing to (before looking up the stats) make the same offer with respect to handguns? If not, why not?
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To clarify–in the specific class of “Fully automatic arms and military anti-material sniper rifles”, if there were so many illegal uses of registered, legal arms that said arms killed as many as 1 person for every 100 killed with illegal, unregistered arms then I’d happily ban them as even 1% of fatalities being traceable to legal guns would indicate we had a problem with legal guns being used for illegal purposes. However, the probability at present of a legal gun in this class being used for a crime is so vanishingly small (the ratio is closer to thousands to one) that it seems a silly argument to ban them from the retail channels because normal criminals are provably NOT getting them from the retail channels.
I’m actually interested in the stats on handguns, and I’ll try to look them up. I’m not necessarily willing to make the same offer for them, because the handgun form factor has (to my way of thinking) legitimate self-defense uses at the present time that are not shared by larger arms, and a correspondingly lower chance of being used in terrorist (as opposed to criminal) incidents due to lack of ability to be destructive on a multiple-person basis. I’m still very much in favor of vastly improved background checking and training–arguably, I’d want all firearms to be regulated more strictly than Title III ones are now. (and I call myself a gun rights advocate!)
As you and Duke of Rat seem to have worked out, it’s really a question of where risk assessment lies–both the Duke and I are sitting further over to the “legitimate people willing to put in the background checks and training should have access to a wide variety of arms” side of it, you’re closer to the “can we ban the bigger weapons, they’re more dangerous in potential even if never really used for that in practice YET.” side, and we’re both kinda irritated by the extreme wings of our respective positions. Risk assessment is never easy even when all the variables are known, and the unknowns in this particular conversation are mountainous.