# When the first inoculations for Covid-19 to cure or prevent the virus in 2021 will you be first?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850>\
**Category:** The Quarantine Zone\
**Tags:** covid-quarantine\
**Created:** [March 19, 2020, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850 "2020-03-19T23:36:02Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mr\_Quatro](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/bc8723/32.png) [@Mr\_Quatro](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Quatro)\
**Post date:** [March 19, 2020, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/1 "2020-03-19T23:36:02Z")

</div>

Who will take a chance and be the first persons to receive the first shots to cure or prevent Covid-19, not due for at least another year which is Spring of 2021?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![LorieSmurf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/a587f6/32.png) [@LorieSmurf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LorieSmurf)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 12:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/2 "2020-03-20T00:25:43Z")

</div>

Me!! I want it now. I wish there was a trial going on near me, in fact. I’d want to get injected with the trial vaccine.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![needscoffee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/needscoffee/32/1076_2.png) [@needscoffee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/needscoffee)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/3 "2020-03-20T00:26:17Z")

</div>

> [@Mr\_Quatro](#):
>
> Who will take a chance and be the first persons to receive the first shots to cure or prevent Covid-19, not due for at least another year which is Spring of 2021?

> **[Photos capture the world's first human trial of a COVID-19 vaccine](https://www.businessinsider.com/photos-show-worlds-first-human-trial-of-potential-coronavirus-vaccine-2020-3)**
>
> The first four of 45 people received their first shot of a COVID-19 vaccine trial at a research institute in Seattle.

Already begun.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Telemark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/telemark/32/372_2.png) [@Telemark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Telemark)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/4 "2020-03-20T00:26:40Z")

</div>

> [@Mr\_Quatro](#):
>
> Who will take a chance and be the first persons to receive the first shots to cure or prevent Covid-19, not due for at least another year which is Spring of 2021?

People are getting trial versions right now. By the time they go into full production it will have been heavily tested in thousands of people. I’d be first in line.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![UDS](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecae2f/32.png) [@UDS](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UDS)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/5 "2020-03-20T00:35:46Z")

</div>

Presumably any vaccine will be offered first to people in the highest risk groups. You don’t get to choose to be first in line.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![panache45](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/panache45/32/64_2.png) [@panache45](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/panache45)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/6 "2020-03-20T03:02:43Z")

</div>

I’m in a high-risk group. I’ll be dead by then.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/7 "2020-03-20T03:05:28Z")

</div>

One of my earliest memories is of being in a car with a batch of other little kids, all of us enroute to get the polio vaccine as soon as it became available.

Yup, I’ll get this one as soon as it’s on the market.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lumpy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lumpy/32/446_2.png) [@Lumpy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lumpy)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/8 "2020-03-20T03:07:16Z")

</div>

> [@UDS](#):
>
> Presumably any vaccine will be offered first to people in the highest risk groups. You don’t get to choose to be first in line.

Upvoted.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 1:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/9 "2020-03-20T13:40:05Z")

</div>

> [@Telemark](#):
>
> People are getting trial versions right now. By the time they go into full production it will have been heavily tested in thousands of people. I’d be first in line.

My concern is that this presumption that this will be heavily tested, is incorrect. This Moderna vaccine linked above has already cut corners; it has exactly zero efficacy data in animal models.

I’m an immunologist. I work in this field. My answer to this question is “it depends”. Any vaccine that is available within the next 12-18 months is unlikely to have a sufficient amount of data around it that I would take it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/9de053/32.png) [@Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackknifed_Juggernaut)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 1:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/10 "2020-03-20T13:45:46Z")

</div>

Hard question for me. I just turned 50, and have never had the flu, and thus never taken a flu shot. When I get sick, it’s basically always a sore throat, headache or cough, and I can’t remember the last time I had a significant fever. But I have no idea if that history helps at all in determining how susceptible I am to COVID-19. I guess I will just have to wait and see.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Esprise\_Me](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/esprise_me/32/2947_2.png) [@Esprise\_Me](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Esprise_Me)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/11 "2020-03-20T20:29:28Z")

</div>

I’ll get it as soon as I can. I’m ticking every box for lower-risk groups so far: young, healthy, [female](https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2020/03/19/coronavirus-kills-more-men-than-women/), [type O blood](https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/world/china-covid-19-study-blood-type-o-are-more-resistant-type-a-are-more-susceptible-to-infection/ar-BB11m7SA?li=BBr8YXK). I won’t push grandpa out of the way but I’ll be next in line. I’m a big believer in vaccines as a general social necessity. Yes, there are risks, and for some vulnerable individuals the risks are too great. But for the rest of us, taking on those risks is the right thing to do.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Kovitlac](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/2bfe46/32.png) [@Kovitlac](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kovitlac)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 8:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/12 "2020-03-20T20:42:43Z")

</div>

Once it becomes widely recommended AND available, I’ll get mine asap. I’m not shoving people out of the way though - if there are limited numbers to start with, others are going to be way more at-risk than I am (31 and in good health).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 10:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/13 "2020-03-20T22:27:55Z")

</div>

I will be first in line assuming I live so long. At 83 my chances of survival if I get it are poor.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 10:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/14 "2020-03-20T22:29:33Z")

</div>

I’d volunteer for the trial and I’d get a regular one as soon as reasonable.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Dale\_Sams](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/779978/32.png) [@Dale\_Sams](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dale_Sams)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 10:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/15 "2020-03-20T22:30:32Z")

</div>

Last. I don’t trust the procedure that will certainly be rushed. Y’all gonna make some Resident Evil shit or that Stephen King short story where everyone became idiots.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Triskadecamus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b19c9b/32.png) [@Triskadecamus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Triskadecamus)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 10:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/16 "2020-03-20T22:39:32Z")

</div>

I am such an oddball. I figure I will get the vaccine, like all such preventative medical procedures, and drugs when my physician advises me that it is available, and warranted. I suppose I could start checking Youtube, and Facebook for my medical decisions, but, well, I’m not all that modern.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thudlow\_Boink](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thudlow_boink/32/320_2.png) [@Thudlow\_Boink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thudlow_Boink)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 10:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/17 "2020-03-20T22:40:44Z")

</div>

Not me. If there’s a limited supply, I’m not going to butt in line ahead of other people who need it more.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiendish_astronaut/32/3295_2.png) [@Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiendish_Astronaut)\
**Post date:** [March 20, 2020, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/18 "2020-03-20T23:00:53Z")

</div>

> [@Hari\_Seldon](#):
>
> I will be first in line assuming I live so long. At 83 my chances of survival if I get it are poor.

Your chances of survival from the data so far for over 80s are 85%. Sure that’s absolutely not a percentage you should be satisfied with but it’s not as gloomy as you suggest. And if you don’t have particular underlying health conditions it’ll be into the mid/high 90s.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TruCelt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/trucelt/32/523_2.png) [@TruCelt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TruCelt)\
**Post date:** [March 21, 2020, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/19 "2020-03-21T02:11:17Z")

</div>

> [@Esprise\_Me](#):
>
> I’ll get it as soon as I can. I’m ticking every box for lower-risk groups so far: young, healthy, [female](https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2020/03/19/coronavirus-kills-more-men-than-women/), [type O blood](https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/world/china-covid-19-study-blood-type-o-are-more-resistant-type-a-are-more-susceptible-to-infection/ar-BB11m7SA?li=BBr8YXK). I won’t push grandpa out of the way but I’ll be next in line. I’m a big believer in vaccines as a general social necessity. Yes, there are risks, and for some vulnerable individuals the risks are too great. But for the rest of us, taking on those risks is the right thing to do.

I’m in most of the high-risk groups. Over 50, asthma, high blood pressure, type A blood. I’ll be one of the first in line for the vaccine. After three months if I’ve had no bad effects then Celtling will get it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [March 21, 2020, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850/20 "2020-03-21T02:37:27Z")

</div>

> [@needscoffee](#):
>
> [https://www.businessinsider.com/photos-show-worlds-first-human-trial-of-potential-coronavirus-vaccine-2020-3](https://www.businessinsider.com/photos-show-worlds-first-human-trial-of-potential-coronavirus-vaccine-2020-3)  
> Already begun.

According to the caption, that is a Phase 1 trial, which means they don’t even care if it works, or expect it to; it’s a rudimentary safety test. So that lady can’t even expect to get immunity from this test.

I mean, it’s progress. They’re past the lab stage, at least. Quite some distance away though. Don’t bother volunteering until Phase 3.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/when-the-first-inoculations-for-covid-19-to-cure-or-prevent-the-virus-in-2021-will-you-be-first/849850.md?page=2)
