# Where is that predicted Stock Market CRASH?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/where-is-that-predicted-stock-market-crash/820330>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [August 27, 2018, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/where-is-that-predicted-stock-market-crash/820330 "2018-08-27T01:32:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 51

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**Author:** ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)\
**Post date:** [January 3, 2019, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/where-is-that-predicted-stock-market-crash/820330/51 "2019-01-03T18:09:27Z")

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Following are the average annual gains (Feb-to-Feb) in the S&P-500 index for each 4-year period since Grant. Since red/blue are used as party colors AND as bear/bull stock market codes, it seemed fun to note that the worst 4-year decline and four of the five 4-year (red) declines since Wilson occurred when the President was also red.

Grant…-10.26%  
Hayes…16.58%  
Arthur…-8.26%  
Cleveland…4.94%  
Harrison…0.98%  
Cleveland…-6.67%  
McKinley…14.76%  
Roosevelt…4.96%  
Roosevelt…0.00%  
Taft…0.48%  
Wilson…0.17%  
Wilson…-5.97%  
Harding…10.88%  
Coolidge…23.71%  
Hoover…-29.28%  
Roosevelt…30.47%  
Roosevelt…-14.04%  
Roosevelt…8.96%  
Truman…1.45%  
Truman…15.03%  
Eisenhower…13.87%  
Eisenhower…9.36%  
Kennedy…8.69%  
Johnson…4.00%  
Nixon…2.99%  
Ford…-3.02%  
Carter…6.18%  
Reagan…8.95%  
Reagan…12.91%  
Bush…10.71%  
Clinton…15.95%  
Clinton…13.09%  
Bush…-2.10%  
Bush…-9.49%  
Obama…17.07%  
Obama…11.41%  
**Trump** (incomp.)…3.15%

Give the Orange President some credit: the stock index hasn’t fallen on his watch. Yet.

> [@still less than one year into Trump's presidency -- who gets credit for the stock market uptick?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/still-less-than-one-year-into-trumps-presidency-who-gets-credit-for-the-stock-market-uptick/790487/13):
>
> The left really underestimates the drag regulations can impose on an economy. Under Obama, regulations had been ramping up steadily year after year, and in my opinion they have held back growth in the market, depressed confidence in the economy by investors and stunted small business startup rates.

How’s that deregulation working out for all y’all?

If the 14.5% average annual growth during Clinton’s 8 years and Obama’s 8 years show a “dragged” economy and growth “held back” I’ll eat your MAGA hat!

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