# Where's the debate about what Biden said re Obama being tested?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [October 23, 2008, 11:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194 "2008-10-23T11:29:10Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Kalhoun](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/3bc359/32.png) [@Kalhoun](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kalhoun)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/21 "2008-10-23T13:48:22Z")

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> [@DSeid](#):
>
> So two issues: Is Biden right? And is he a doofus for saying it out loud, especially how he said it?
> 
> I am not sure that he is right but the thought itself is not a stupid one. Either one will be tested in some way and the world will be very interested in how Obama responds to his first crisis when it occurs. The world is a bit less curious about how McCain would respond; everyone already knows that he is a hot head. It won’t so much be a “test” so much as a manipulation for him. But the world will want to see if Obama can actually live up to his promise … or not.
> 
> But to say it out loud right now how he said it … that is Biden disconnecting the controls over his vocal circuits again and showing why he was never seriously in the running for President. Yeah, a doofus. A smart doofus, but a doofus.

He doof’d the fuck out of this one, but essentially, he’s right. And McCain doesn’t have a fucking clue how to respond appropriately to world issues today.

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**Author:** ![Peanut\_Gallery](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/838e76/32.png) [@Peanut\_Gallery](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Peanut_Gallery)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/22 "2008-10-23T14:10:48Z")

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> [@What\_the](#):
>
> No cite…
> 
> They immediately pulled Biden off the campaign trail.

Somebody should tell Biden…

> [@](#):
>
> Thu Oct 23, 2008 at 06:35:04 AM PDT  
> Where will the candidates be today?
> 
> Joe Biden
> 
> Charlotte, North Carolina  
> University of North Carolina - Charlotte Campus  
> Halton Arena in the Barnhardt Student Activity Center  
> Doors Open: 8:30 am (EDT)  
> Program Begins: 10:30 am (EDT)
> 
> Winston-Salem, North Carolina  
> Wake Forest University  
> Hearn Plaza outside of Reynolda Hall  
> Doors Open: 12:15 pm (EDT)  
> Program Begins: 2:15 pm (EDT)
> 
> Raleigh, North Carolina  
> Meredith College  
> McIver Amphitheater  
> Doors Open: 5:00 pm (EDT)  
> Program Begins: 7:00 pm (EDT)

[evil liberal link](http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/23/9352/2417/391/639304)

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/23 "2008-10-23T14:15:50Z")

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> [@John\_Mace](#):
>
> No, that’s not what he said. He said that an international crisis would be “generated” because of Obama’s youth (and, presumably, lack of experience). He was quite specific about referring to Obama, and not just whoever the next president would be.

Meh…

IMO he was doing what all campaigns do. They talk as if their guy WILL be the President. Not IF he will be President.

So Biden was speaking rhetorically inserting his guy as the President elect. Look at the quote again. It is spoken as though Obama as President is a foregone conclusion.

As noted Libermann said something very similar (albeit better) than Biden did. It should not come as a surprise that if the enemies of the US want to attack or generally mess with the US the best time to do it is during an administration change.

Also, as mentioned above, I think it is apparent that if McCain win the presidency countries will seek to manipulate him more than “test” him. What Obama will do is a tough call…he is a smart guy who will listen to his advisors. McCain can have his chain yanked a lot more easily which, in my view, is much more dangerous to our country.

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**Author:** ![Shodan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9f8e36/32.png) [@Shodan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shodan)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/24 "2008-10-23T14:29:36Z")

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> [@Kalhoun](#):
>
> Or not: [http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Womans\_rights\_advocate\_McCain\_sides\_with\_1008.html](http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Womans_rights_advocate_McCain_sides_with_1008.html)

Boy, you’re _really_ stretching it, aren’t you?

> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> As noted Libermann said something very similar (albeit better) than Biden did. It should not come as a surprise that if the enemies of the US want to attack or generally mess with the US the best time to do it is during an administration change.

But Biden didn’t attribute it to any administration change - he said it would happen if Obama took over. Because Obama is inexperienced, and an unknown quantity. Thus the Iranians, or some other fuckholes, will be that much more likely to try something, in hopes that he will panic or wet himself, or invade Pakistan or something.

Regards,  
Shodan

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**Author:** ![Phlosphr](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/c68b51/32.png) [@Phlosphr](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Phlosphr)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/25 "2008-10-23T14:35:21Z")

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> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Well, Obama has worked with more terrorists than McCain, so no doubt he understands them better than someone who last met one while having his arms broken.
> 
> Regards,  
> Shodan

Perhaps we should think about who is stretching what…this post here seems quite rubbery.

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**Author:** ![IClaudius](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/c37758/32.png) [@IClaudius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/IClaudius)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 2:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/26 "2008-10-23T14:50:06Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Meh…
> 
> IMO he was doing what all campaigns do. They talk as if their guy WILL be the President. Not IF he will be President.
> 
> So Biden was speaking rhetorically inserting his guy as the President elect. Look at the quote again. It is spoken as though Obama as President is a foregone conclusion.

Exactly, which is pretty standard rhetoric for any campaign that’s either a long-way-out or flush with their poll-position close to the election date.

They also do things like introduce themselves as “The Next President of the United States,” or “Your Next Vice President.”

Also, post-hoc-ergo-propter hoc fallacy; meaning, after it does NOT mean because of it. Just because Biden spoke about a hypothetical crisis under Obama’s tenure doesn’t mean you can infer any kind of attribution for that crisis to Obama. The juxtaposition of ideas is between the hypothetical crisis and the “test” created by the unforeseen, not that Obama, uniquely, creates a crisis which will test him - a forced interpretation which defies common sense.

The simple fact is life does involve unknown unknowns and the existence of these UUs encompass the possibility of a significant international crises. Admitting this publicly, no matter the awkward phrasing, is absolutely boilerplate, innocuous foreign policy received wisdom. You could trawl through decades of expert testimony on both sides of the aisle and find countless examples of such a statement issued without controversy.

Biden simply created a discordance with his words because he didn’t phrase it in neutral language, which acknowledged a counter-factual post-McCain victory UU crisis.

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**Author:** ![papaw](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/b77776/32.png) [@papaw](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/papaw)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 3:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/27 "2008-10-23T15:00:14Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> The simple fact is life does involve unknown unknowns and the existence of these potential encompasses the possibility of a significant crises. Admitting this publicly, no matter the awkward phrasing, is absolute boilerplate, innocuous foreign policy received wisdom. You could trawl through decades of expert testimony on both sides of the aisle and find countless examples of such a statement issued without controversy.
> 
> Biden simply created a discordance with his words because he didn’t phrase it in neutral language, which acknowledged a counter-factual post-McCain victory UU crisis.

Just WOW!!!

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**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 3:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/28 "2008-10-23T15:38:29Z")

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So, is this the game changer?

(rhetorical question)

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**Author:** ![Mosier](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/7ea924/32.png) [@Mosier](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mosier)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/29 "2008-10-23T16:25:57Z")

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> [@Phlosphr](#):
>
> I don’t see where any of this is of any consequence at all to Obama? What Biden said stands to reason, if Obama is tested, which Biden thinks he will, he will need the support of all of his allies. Uhh…so what? Obama is beyond ready.

I don’t know about that. I don’t think ANYONE can be ready for the aftermath of the credit meltdown and collapsing economy, combined with an Iraq withdrawal and very possibly (maybe even likely) serious, maybe even successful, terrorist attack attempts on American soil, all at the same time. The next president is in for a bunch of trouble, and will likely be in over his head.

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**Author:** ![descamisado](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e480ec/32.png) [@descamisado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/descamisado)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/30 "2008-10-23T16:33:14Z")

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> [@Mosier](#):
>
> I don’t know about that. I don’t think ANYONE can be ready for the aftermath of the credit meltdown and collapsing economy, combined with an Iraq withdrawal and very possibly (maybe even likely) serious, maybe even successful, terrorist attack attempts on American soil, all at the same time. The next president is in for a bunch of trouble, and will likely be in over his head.

Then I suppose the victory should go to the candidate who has shown that he’s better at multi-tasking, right?

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**Author:** ![Phlosphr](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/c68b51/32.png) [@Phlosphr](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Phlosphr)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/31 "2008-10-23T16:36:17Z")

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> [@Mosier](#):
>
> I don’t know about that. I don’t think ANYONE can be ready for the aftermath of the credit meltdown and collapsing economy, combined with an Iraq withdrawal and very possibly (maybe even likely) serious, maybe even successful, terrorist attack attempts on American soil, all at the same time. The next president is in for a bunch of trouble, and will likely be in over his head.

I agree. Probably why I trust in my one vote. I would not want to be the person to clean up after the Bush administration. That’s the point really, many people think McCain would simply lift the carpet and brush the dirt under it…where Obama will orchestrate a cleaning crew and hazmat team to deal with the mess.

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**Author:** ![mlees](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba8739/32.png) [@mlees](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mlees)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 4:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/32 "2008-10-23T16:52:46Z")

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Why did Biden include this request:

> [@](#):
>
> And the kind of help he’s gonna need is, he’s gonna need you - not financially to help him - we’re gonna need you to use your influence, your influence within the community, to stand with him. Because it’s not gonna be apparent initially, it’s not gonna be apparent that we’re right."

So, we’re (potentially) not going to like whatever solution might come along?

How is it different than “Trust me. Victory is right around the corner. The next six months will be crucial.”?

If I were to don my conspiracy theory hat, it sounds like Biden is building an escape clause for his administration to decide (in the future) to renig on a campaign promise or two. (Like the withdrawal from Iraq in the first couple years of the new administration.)

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**Author:** ![Marley23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@Marley23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marley23)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/33 "2008-10-23T17:08:44Z")

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> [@mlees](#):
>
> So, we’re (potentially) not going to like whatever solution might come along?
> 
> How is it different than “Trust me. Victory is right around the corner. The next six months will be crucial.”?

“The next six months will be crucial” is columnist Tom Friedman, not Bush. But anyway this isn’t the same kind of statement. Biden is asking Obama supporters to stand with him even if not everybody else believes in what Obama is doing. That part of the statement is pretty unobjectionable in my opinion. “Victory is right around the corner”-type remarks become a problem when somebody keeps saying them and the corner is never turned in spite of repeated assurances.

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**Author:** ![Ramira](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ramira/32/344_2.png) [@Ramira](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ramira)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 5:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/34 "2008-10-23T17:54:34Z")

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> [@Shodan](#):
>
> Well, Obama has worked with more terrorists than McCain, so no doubt he understands them better than someone who last met one while having his arms broken.
> 
> Regards,  
> Shodan

Neither a former domestic terrorist become professor and nor vietnames prison guards engaging in torture are not the same as the Al Qaeda, you have a strange manner of thinking.

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**Author:** ![mlees](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba8739/32.png) [@mlees](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mlees)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/35 "2008-10-23T17:58:29Z")

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> [@Marley23](#):
>
> “The next six months will be crucial” is columnist Tom Friedman, not Bush. But anyway this isn’t the same kind of statement. Biden is asking Obama supporters to stand with him even if not everybody else believes in what Obama is doing. That part of the statement is pretty unobjectionable in my opinion. “Victory is right around the corner”-type remarks become a problem when somebody keeps saying them and the corner is never turned in spite of repeated assurances.

Right. I know neither Obama nor Biden ever said “Victory around the corner/next six months”. That wasn’t exactly what I was asking about.

My point was that Biden said that whatever solution to a hypothetical future crisis may not be immediately popular (or apparent) with the (I assume) American citizens. He is laying the groundwork for any unpopular decisions that he may see become possible in the future. (Which, as a Senator, he is going to have more access to info the regular shmoes like me does not.)

The same message, generally, has been said (by Bush and others) about the war on terror, and Iraq. “This is going to be a long hard road.” etc etc.

Why does he (Biden) feel the need to prep the masses this way?

Is he concerned that the Democratic supporters may have unrealistic expectations, in regards to the foreign policy decisions Obama/Biden may have to make?

Is he concerned that there is a real (i.e. probable) chance of crap hitting the fan, somewhere (Iran? Russia/Ukraine? Struggle for power in N. Korea?)?

Is there a chance that the “change” that Obama/Biden will bring (in regards to foreign affairs) can only be a small, incremental one, and he know’s it?

(This is coming from someone who has a slight cynicism of _all_ our beltway politicians.)

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**Author:** ![mlees](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba8739/32.png) [@mlees](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mlees)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 6:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/36 "2008-10-23T18:07:14Z")

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Allow me to further calrify.

Obama/Biden promise to be different in attitude and policy from Bush/McCain.

If McCain had come out saying that there will be unpopular or “tough” decisions that he will have to make (in regards to foreign polciy) in the future, it would not get a raised eyebrow out of me. No one expects McCain to make radical changes in this way.

But here is Biden saying it. That’s why I’m going “Hmmm? Wait. Are you suggesting you may not be able to make (foreign policy) changes after all?”

Why the escape hatch?

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**Author:** ![Marley23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@Marley23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marley23)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 6:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/37 "2008-10-23T18:09:24Z")

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> [@mlees](#):
>
> The same message, generally, has been said (by Bush and others) about the war on terror, and Iraq. “This is going to be a long hard road.” etc etc.

That’s the same message most politicians give on everything. ‘It’s going to be hard work, but with your support, we’ll make it happen,’ etc. It’s being conservative. If you say something is easy and don’t do it, you look like an idiot.

> [@](#):
>
> Why does he (Biden) feel the need to prep the masses this way?

Like I said - especially when he’s speaking off the cuff, as I think he probably was here - Biden’s reasons for speaking are usually obvious to him and nobody else. But I think I gave a fair guess at why he said what he did. He’s not telling people their expectations for Obama are too high, he’s saying that his supporters should trust him and stay with him because not everybody else will.

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**Author:** ![Marley23](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/45deac/32.png) [@Marley23](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marley23)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 6:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/38 "2008-10-23T18:10:07Z")

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> [@mlees](#):
>
> But here is Biden saying it. That’s why I’m going “Hmmm? Wait. Are you suggesting you may not be able to make (foreign policy) changes after all?”

He says nothing about not being able to make changes, though.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mlees](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba8739/32.png) [@mlees](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mlees)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 6:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/39 "2008-10-23T18:54:04Z")

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> [@Marley23](#):
>
> He says nothing about not being able to make changes, though.

No, but I could infer that they (Obama/Biden) think that they may possibly (if unlikely) have to backtrack on a campaign promise (say, for example, withdrawal from Iraq).

That _would_ be a policy decision that runs counter to the expectations that have been raised in the campaign. It _would_ be a decision that would be unpopular with his own supporters.

The thing is, I doubt that reasonable people expect either Obama or McCain to have a crystal ball in regards to Russia, Iran, North Korea, etc. If something unexpected comes up, and Obama/Biden have to make a tough decision on that new “testing crisis”, most of us will say “Crap. Well… whatcha gonna do?”.

For example, North Korea. Let’s say it turns out Kim Jong is sick, ands ends up dying in the next six months. A power struggle ensues, and the UN Security council eventually decides to station “peacekeepers” in N. Korea (and including US troops). I don’t think it would be fair to whine about Obama failing to reduce oversea US military commitments. It was an unexpected emergency.

Senator Biden does not need to apologise for things that he can’t control (he can’t read minds, he can’t forsee the future 100% accurately), but here, he says “We may have to make unpopular decisions.” Why the warning? It seems odd to me.

I’m not outraged. It just makes me curious in the vein of “What do you know that I don’t, Senator?”

If the sectarion violence re-erupts in Iraq, and the Obama/Biden administration decides that US troops need to remain commited to Iraq past 2010, how many here, on this forum, would find this to be an unpopular decision? (_That_ is the kind of situation I could see Senator Biden having to lay some preparatory ground work for… 😉 )

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**Author:** ![descamisado](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e480ec/32.png) [@descamisado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/descamisado)\
**Post date:** [October 23, 2008, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wheres-the-debate-about-what-biden-said-re-obama-being-tested/469194/40 "2008-10-23T19:26:04Z")

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Why couldn’t Biden simply have been thinking about and speaking on the fact the there’s a deep hole left for our future president to dig the country out of in general and asking for people to recognize that fact and not judge to early or harshly – just simply give Big Ears a chance.

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